International Business Machines Corporation

WBAG:IBM Stock Report

Market Cap: €197.9b

International Business Machines Valuation

Is IBM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of IBM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: IBM (€217.25) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€318.51)

Significantly Below Fair Value: IBM is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for IBM?

Key metric: As IBM is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for IBM. This is calculated by dividing IBM's market cap by their current earnings.
What is IBM's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio32.4x
EarningsUS$6.37b
Market CapUS$206.53b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does IBM's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for IBM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average30.4x
ACN Accenture
30.3x8.5%US$229.2b
TCS Tata Consultancy Services
31.8x10.2%₹15.1t
INFY Infosys
29x8.1%₹8.0t
HCLTECH HCL Technologies
30.4x9.0%₹5.2t
IBM International Business Machines
32.4x10.5%€206.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: IBM is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.4x) compared to the peer average (30.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does IBM's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European IT Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
IBM 32.4xIndustry Avg. 17.3xNo. of Companies24PE01224364860+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: IBM is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.4x) compared to the European IT industry average (17.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is IBM's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

IBM PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio32.4x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate IBM's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst IBM forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€217.25
€209.42
-3.6%
18.1%€250.77€134.07n/a17
Dec ’25€216.10
€197.67
-8.5%
18.3%€239.93€128.27n/a18
Nov ’25€193.02
€197.67
+2.4%
18.3%€239.93€128.27n/a18
Oct ’25€197.82
€177.73
-10.2%
15.1%€225.85€125.57n/a18
Sep ’25€179.86
€169.42
-5.8%
13.7%€199.53€116.84n/a19
Aug ’25€176.46
€172.13
-2.5%
14.2%€205.02€120.06n/a19
Jul ’25€163.34
€167.49
+2.5%
13.4%€200.25€121.08n/a19
Jun ’25€151.38
€167.42
+10.6%
13.9%€199.71€120.76n/a18
May ’25€154.64
€171.43
+10.9%
12.9%€201.09€121.59n/a18
Apr ’25€176.60
€171.67
-2.8%
15.6%€206.82€115.41n/a18
Mar ’25€172.50
€168.65
-2.2%
15.2%€208.79€116.51n/a19
Feb ’25€170.25
€164.23
-3.5%
16.3%€206.08€115.00n/a19
Jan ’25€148.35
€137.31
-7.4%
14.9%€190.22€99.64n/a17
Dec ’24€146.80
€136.63
-6.9%
11.2%€166.94€102.59€216.1016
Nov ’24€137.25
€138.41
+0.8%
11.3%€169.55€104.19€193.0216
Oct ’24€133.45
€137.78
+3.2%
12.0%€176.36€103.19€197.8216
Sep ’24€136.45
€132.49
-2.9%
10.3%€160.49€100.88€179.8615
Aug ’24€129.80
€130.36
+0.4%
10.0%€157.75€99.15€176.4616
Jul ’24€122.35
€129.08
+5.5%
8.4%€150.06€101.89€163.3414
Jun ’24€120.55
€126.14
+4.6%
8.3%€147.24€99.98€151.3814
May ’24€114.50
€126.60
+10.6%
8.3%€147.02€99.83€154.6414
Apr ’24€119.74
€134.57
+12.4%
9.0%€153.91€102.61€176.6015
Mar ’24€120.00
€131.69
+9.7%
8.9%€150.20€100.13€172.5015
Feb ’24€122.62
€131.69
+7.4%
8.9%€150.20€100.13€170.2515
Jan ’24€132.00
€134.43
+1.8%
9.2%€157.29€105.82€148.3515
Dec ’23€140.96
€140.82
-0.1%
8.5%€160.53€111.37€146.8015

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

Discover undervalued companies

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 00:39
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

International Business Machines Corporation is covered by 73 analysts. 18 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
James KelleherArgus Research Company
Josep BoriAtlantic Equities LLP
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research