Microchip Technology Incorporated

WBAG:MCHP Stock Report

Market Cap: €45.8b

Microchip Technology Valuation

Is MCHP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MCHP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MCHP (€86.17) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€95.76)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MCHP is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MCHP?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

MCHP key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue6.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA13.4x
PEG Ratio-2.7x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MCHP's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MCHP vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average32.4x
IFX Infineon Technologies
14.1x8.0%€41.9b
2454 MediaTek
18.1x10.3%NT$1.6t
STMPA STMicroelectronics
10.4x6.8%€33.5b
MPWR Monolithic Power Systems
87x20.7%US$35.7b
MCHP Microchip Technology
21.5x-7.9%€49.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MCHP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.5x) compared to the peer average (33.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MCHP's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Semiconductor Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a18.3%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a18.3%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MCHP is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.5x) compared to the European Semiconductor industry average (15.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MCHP's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MCHP PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio21.5x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate MCHP's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MCHP forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€86.17
€87.03
+1.0%
8.9%€98.43€71.50n/a23
Apr ’25€82.82
€85.69
+3.5%
8.8%€97.35€69.53n/a25
Mar ’25€79.60
€85.69
+7.7%
8.8%€97.35€69.53n/a25
Feb ’25€77.86
€85.98
+10.4%
9.1%€96.60€69.00n/a23
Jan ’25€82.00
€82.54
+0.7%
10.6%€100.90€66.96n/a24
Dec ’24€77.28
€81.44
+5.4%
10.1%€100.25€66.53n/a24
Nov ’24€66.40
€90.06
+35.6%
9.4%€103.61€74.41n/a24
Oct ’24€74.22
€91.86
+23.8%
8.3%€104.05€76.33n/a24
Sep ’24€76.20
€88.53
+16.2%
7.8%€99.96€77.24n/a24
Aug ’24€84.56
€89.81
+6.2%
10.2%€113.68€72.75n/a24
Jul ’24€81.80
€88.29
+7.9%
12.1%€116.15€70.62n/a23
Jun ’24€70.94
€86.31
+21.7%
12.0%€113.41€68.95n/a23
May ’24€64.96
€88.54
+36.3%
10.4%€113.95€72.02€86.9323
Apr ’24€76.79
€92.32
+20.2%
10.1%€118.51€74.90€82.8224
Mar ’24€75.87
€90.98
+19.9%
10.1%€116.89€73.87€79.6024
Feb ’24€72.42
€77.08
+6.4%
12.3%€115.04€64.42€77.8624
Jan ’24€65.26
€79.42
+21.7%
14.2%€121.06€60.05€82.0024
Dec ’23€74.62
€79.42
+6.4%
14.2%€121.06€60.05€77.2824
Nov ’23€63.46
€83.52
+31.6%
17.3%€125.44€62.22€66.4023
Oct ’23€64.07
€86.10
+34.4%
16.0%€124.44€66.70€74.2223
Sep ’23€63.43
€84.53
+33.3%
16.0%€122.91€65.88€76.2024
Aug ’23€67.26
€81.99
+21.9%
19.7%€124.03€59.53€84.5624
Jul ’23€53.67
€81.40
+51.7%
17.2%€119.70€64.16€81.8024
Jun ’23€66.91
€82.46
+23.2%
16.3%€118.88€63.72€70.9424
May ’23€63.86
€87.03
+36.3%
14.7%€116.66€65.33€64.9624

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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