Groupon, Inc.

WBAG:GRP2 Stock Report

Market Cap: €306.7m

Groupon Valuation

Is GRP2 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GRP2 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GRP2 (€7.63) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€121.52)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GRP2 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GRP2?

Key metric: As GRP2 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for GRP2. This is calculated by dividing GRP2's market cap by their current earnings.
What is GRP2's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio17.9x
EarningsUS$19.32m
Market CapUS$322.91m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GRP2's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GRP2 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average40.7x
8237 Matsuya
14x0.6%JP¥46.1b
301001 Shanghai Kaytune IndustrialLtd
100.5xn/aCN¥1.9b
600858 Inzone GroupLtd
25.1x9.7%CN¥2.4b
000715 Zhongxing Shenyang Commercial Building GroupLtd
23.3x-9.3%CN¥2.5b
GRP2 Groupon
17.9x37.7%€322.9m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GRP2 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.9x) compared to the peer average (39.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GRP2's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Multiline Retail Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GRP2 17.9xIndustry Avg. 19.6xNo. of Companies21PE01632486480+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GRP2 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.9x) compared to the Global Multiline Retail industry average (19.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GRP2's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GRP2 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17.9x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate GRP2's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GRP2 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€7.63
€14.52
+90.4%
35.5%€19.89€7.58n/a3
Nov ’25€9.79
€16.68
+70.4%
33.0%€23.77€10.06n/a4
Oct ’25€8.66
€16.85
+94.5%
33.0%€24.01€10.16n/a4
Sep ’25€12.41
€16.85
+35.9%
33.0%€24.01€10.16n/a4
Aug ’25€11.72
€16.85
+43.8%
33.0%€24.01€10.16n/a4
Jul ’25€14.37
€16.72
+16.4%
39.5%€26.01€11.15n/a3
Jun ’25€14.77
€16.72
+13.2%
39.5%€26.01€11.15n/a3
May ’25€10.93
€16.72
+53.0%
38.7%€25.76€11.04n/a3
Apr ’25€12.42
€16.72
+34.6%
38.7%€25.76€11.04n/a3
Mar ’25€17.23
€15.40
-10.6%
51.0%€25.87€6.93n/a3
Feb ’25€12.56
€15.49
+23.3%
43.7%€25.70€6.88n/a4
Jan ’25€11.56
€13.04
+12.8%
57.1%€25.36€4.53n/a5
Dec ’24€10.84
€13.37
+23.4%
56.7%€25.82€4.61n/a5
Nov ’24€12.36
€14.06
+13.8%
63.6%€28.49€3.80€9.795
Oct ’24€13.11
€10.29
-21.5%
56.4%€17.78€3.74€8.664
Sep ’24€11.21
€8.31
-25.8%
57.1%€17.36€3.65€12.415
Aug ’24€6.63
€7.09
+6.8%
79.7%€17.76€2.80€11.725
Jul ’24€5.52
€7.09
+28.4%
79.7%€17.76€2.80€14.375
Jun ’24€4.94
€7.08
+43.3%
78.9%€17.51€2.76€14.775
May ’24€3.51
€8.89
+153.3%
56.8%€17.42€3.67€10.935
Apr ’24€3.68
€9.23
+151.0%
55.5%€17.72€3.73€12.425
Mar ’24€6.48
€12.14
+87.3%
60.1%€25.41€5.65€17.235
Feb ’24€7.60
€12.14
+59.8%
60.1%€25.41€5.65€12.565
Jan ’24€6.80
€12.14
+78.6%
60.1%€25.41€5.65€11.565
Dec ’23€8.18
€14.39
+76.0%
53.9%€26.80€5.96€10.845
Nov ’23€7.74
€17.05
+120.3%
41.1%€29.08€10.03€12.365

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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