Simon Property Group, Inc.

WBAG:SPGR Stock Report

Market Cap: €62.6b

Simon Property Group Valuation

Is SPGR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SPGR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SPGR (€165.75) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€243.94)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SPGR is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SPGR?

Key metric: As SPGR is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SPGR. This is calculated by dividing SPGR's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SPGR's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio22.9x
EarningsUS$2.45b
Market CapUS$65.26b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SPGR's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SPGR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average43.7x
O Realty Income
53.2x18.9%US$46.6b
KIM Kimco Realty
44.5x13.4%US$15.9b
REG Regency Centers
34.3x4.1%US$13.6b
SCG Scentre Group
42.7x21.7%AU$18.3b
SPGR Simon Property Group
22.9x-0.3%€65.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SPGR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.9x) compared to the peer average (43.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SPGR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Retail REITs Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SPGR 22.9xIndustry Avg. 21.2xNo. of Companies4PE01632486480+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SPGR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.9x) compared to the European Retail REITs industry average (21.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SPGR's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SPGR PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio22.9x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate SPGR's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SPGR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€165.75
€175.76
+6.0%
8.1%€209.35€142.74n/a18
Dec ’25€175.35
€167.39
-4.5%
9.4%€208.23€141.98n/a17
Nov ’25€155.50
€156.14
+0.4%
7.1%€184.56€138.42n/a17
Oct ’25€151.25
€149.93
-0.9%
7.5%€179.18€129.91n/a17
Sep ’25€149.80
€148.37
-1.0%
8.9%€179.94€130.46n/a17
Aug ’25€141.50
€146.89
+3.8%
8.5%€175.28€133.76n/a17
Jul ’25€136.65
€147.36
+7.8%
8.3%€175.45€133.89n/a17
Jun ’25€138.00
€147.36
+6.8%
8.3%€175.45€133.89n/a17
May ’25€134.45
€147.56
+9.8%
7.7%€169.18€133.47n/a17
Apr ’25€143.75
€144.83
+0.8%
8.1%€166.86€131.63n/a17
Mar ’25€136.95
€142.49
+4.0%
8.3%€166.10€124.58n/a17
Feb ’25€126.60
€138.93
+9.7%
8.9%€166.19€119.11n/a17
Jan ’25€128.80
€127.19
-1.2%
12.2%€155.71€107.73n/a16
Dec ’24€117.35
€121.05
+3.2%
10.0%€147.01€101.07€175.3516
Nov ’24€106.25
€122.31
+15.1%
10.9%€151.18€103.94€155.5016
Oct ’24€102.95
€124.36
+20.8%
10.6%€149.74€102.95€151.2516
Sep ’24€106.30
€121.30
+14.1%
11.6%€146.96€97.36€149.8016
Aug ’24€113.80
€119.43
+5.0%
10.8%€144.77€95.91€141.5017
Jul ’24€105.05
€121.22
+15.4%
11.5%€147.78€97.90€136.6516
Jun ’24€96.74
€122.37
+26.5%
11.3%€149.39€98.97€138.0017
May ’24€99.74
€120.13
+20.4%
9.5%€144.88€100.51€134.4518
Apr ’24€101.14
€123.27
+21.9%
9.5%€148.54€103.05€143.7518
Mar ’24€112.28
€124.52
+10.9%
9.1%€150.06€103.17€136.9517
Feb ’24€116.74
€118.54
+1.5%
10.9%€147.36€95.78€126.6017
Jan ’24€109.30
€119.34
+9.2%
12.2%€150.70€92.31€128.8017
Dec ’23€114.68
€120.20
+4.8%
13.4%€154.80€94.82€117.3517

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/27 14:22
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/27 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Simon Property Group, Inc. is covered by 45 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Jacob KilsteinArgus Research Company
Ross SmotrichBarclays
William AchesonBenchmark Company