MetLife Valuation

Is METL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of METL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: METL (€65.88) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€114.86)

Significantly Below Fair Value: METL is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for METL?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

METL key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA15.3x
PEG Ratio1.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does METL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for METL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.7x
AFL Aflac
9.5x-14.3%US$51.1b
VIG Vienna Insurance Group
6.8xn/a€3.8b
PRU Prudential Financial
20.2x15.0%US$43.2b
6178 Japan Post Holdings
18.1x15.9%JP¥4.9t
METL MetLife
23.8x19.0%€51.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: METL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.8x) compared to the peer average (13.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does METL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Insurance Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.6%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.6%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: METL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.8x) compared to the European Insurance industry average (11x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is METL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

METL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio23.8x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate METL's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst METL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€65.88
€75.88
+15.2%
9.1%€91.15€60.77n/a13
May ’25€66.80
€77.46
+16.0%
10.8%€97.87€62.11n/a14
Apr ’25€68.60
€73.58
+7.3%
8.0%€81.42€61.06n/a14
Mar ’25€64.19
€73.58
+14.6%
8.0%€81.42€61.06n/a14
Feb ’25€60.36
€72.51
+20.1%
8.4%€80.96€57.96n/a15
Jan ’25€59.86
€70.83
+18.3%
7.9%€78.89€57.79n/a15
Dec ’24€58.57
€70.40
+20.2%
8.6%€79.28€58.08n/a15
Nov ’24€56.57
€72.66
+28.4%
8.6%€80.48€59.65n/a14
Oct ’24€59.86
€72.45
+21.0%
8.7%€79.87€59.20n/a14
Sep ’24€59.42
€70.45
+18.6%
10.9%€78.68€53.69n/a14
Aug ’24€57.09
€66.30
+16.1%
11.6%€75.60€51.59n/a14
Jul ’24€51.75
€67.81
+31.0%
10.7%€78.04€53.25n/a14
Jun ’24€46.83
€70.31
+50.1%
11.3%€79.53€56.14€65.8814
May ’24€54.17
€68.76
+26.9%
10.0%€76.97€54.33€66.8016
Apr ’24€53.11
€74.51
+40.3%
10.1%€83.95€55.97€68.6016
Mar ’24€67.53
€75.08
+11.2%
7.2%€82.47€57.73€64.1916
Feb ’24€66.67
€75.64
+13.5%
7.6%€85.65€58.02€60.3616
Jan ’24€68.01
€76.63
+12.7%
6.8%€82.58€59.80€59.8615
Dec ’23€73.31
€78.61
+7.2%
7.0%€84.43€61.14€58.5715
Nov ’23€75.00
€78.63
+4.8%
5.9%€84.96€64.49€56.5716
Oct ’23€63.24
€77.41
+22.4%
7.8%€84.34€56.90€59.8616
Sep ’23€64.39
€76.52
+18.8%
7.9%€83.50€56.34€59.4216
Aug ’23€61.06
€72.82
+19.3%
7.7%€78.53€54.97€57.0916
Jul ’23€59.69
€72.21
+21.0%
8.3%€80.43€52.99€51.7516
Jun ’23€62.28
€71.57
+14.9%
10.0%€79.78€52.56€46.8316

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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