The Allstate Corporation

WBAG:ALLS Stock Report

Market Cap: €41.8b

Allstate Valuation

Is ALLS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ALLS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ALLS (€158.45) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€398.36)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ALLS is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ALLS?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

ALLS key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA60x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does ALLS's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for ALLS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.3x
VIG Vienna Insurance Group
0.3x9.7%€3.7b
TRV Travelers Companies
1.1x3.0%US$48.9b
8766 Tokio Marine Holdings
1.4x1.4%JP¥9.7t
ACGL Arch Capital Group
2.5x8.7%US$34.0b
ALLS Allstate
0.8x4.5%€44.9b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: ALLS is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x) compared to the peer average (1.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ALLS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Insurance Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a8.0%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a8.0%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: ALLS is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x) compared to the European Insurance industry average (0.9x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ALLS's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ALLS PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.8x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate ALLS's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ALLS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€158.45
€168.89
+6.6%
12.4%€195.25€121.45n/a19
Apr ’25€161.00
€164.00
+1.9%
12.5%€194.58€113.58n/a19
Mar ’25€143.00
€156.78
+9.6%
11.7%€180.87€112.58n/a19
Feb ’25€143.00
€148.57
+3.9%
12.3%€177.35€102.92n/a19
Jan ’25€126.00
€128.82
+2.2%
10.9%€148.58€95.45n/a18
Dec ’24€126.00
€127.13
+0.9%
11.5%€146.69€97.18n/a17
Nov ’24€123.00
€123.82
+0.7%
12.3%€147.62€94.63n/a17
Oct ’24€106.00
€120.10
+13.3%
11.5%€144.21€93.64n/a17
Sep ’24€103.00
€116.55
+13.2%
11.9%€140.68€91.35n/a17
Aug ’24€103.00
€118.10
+14.7%
13.2%€147.50€91.05n/a17
Jul ’24€100.00
€122.18
+22.2%
11.6%€143.22€91.22n/a16
Jun ’24€102.00
€128.00
+25.5%
11.4%€146.90€93.57n/a15
May ’24€105.00
€127.66
+21.6%
13.0%€160.56€91.23n/a16
Apr ’24€103.00
€130.53
+26.7%
12.2%€162.36€95.94€161.0016
Mar ’24€120.00
€134.58
+12.2%
11.9%€164.28€97.07€143.0016
Feb ’24€117.00
€132.51
+13.3%
11.8%€160.21€95.58€143.0016
Jan ’24€128.00
€134.08
+4.7%
13.5%€176.93€94.11€126.0015
Dec ’23€128.00
€137.45
+7.4%
13.0%€182.45€97.05€126.0016
Nov ’23€128.00
€141.62
+10.6%
13.9%€190.43€101.29€123.0016
Oct ’23€130.00
€141.83
+9.1%
13.0%€187.29€109.58€106.0016
Sep ’23€123.00
€141.83
+15.3%
13.0%€187.29€109.58€103.0016
Aug ’23€113.00
€140.31
+24.2%
13.0%€184.54€107.98€103.0016
Jul ’23€120.00
€138.20
+15.2%
12.1%€177.89€111.65€100.0017
Jun ’23€126.00
€135.97
+7.9%
12.3%€175.16€108.08€102.0017
May ’23€123.00
€139.80
+13.7%
12.5%€178.94€110.41€105.0016
Apr ’23€127.00
€123.69
-2.6%
13.3%€149.41€95.08€103.0015

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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