Mastercard Incorporated

WBAG:MAST Stock Report

Market Cap: €402.1b

Mastercard Valuation

Is MAST undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MAST when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MAST (€433.15) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€417.31)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MAST is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MAST?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

MAST key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue17.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA28.5x
PEG Ratio3.1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MAST's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MAST vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average31.8x
V Visa
30.3x10.0%US$549.3b
FI Fiserv
28.2x13.6%US$91.2b
PYPL PayPal Holdings
16.4x3.5%US$69.4b
ADYEN Adyen
52.4x19.2%€36.6b
MAST Mastercard
38.4x12.3%€430.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MAST is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38.4x) compared to the peer average (31.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MAST's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Diversified Financial Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a-4.5%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a-4.5%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MAST is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38.4x) compared to the European Diversified Financial industry average (11.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MAST's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MAST PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio38.4x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate MAST's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MAST forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€433.15
€480.08
+10.8%
6.2%€574.66€384.97n/a36
Apr ’25€444.00
€469.94
+5.8%
5.3%€530.90€380.40n/a36
Mar ’25€438.00
€467.75
+6.8%
5.5%€531.36€380.73n/a37
Feb ’25€421.80
€452.97
+7.4%
7.1%€493.12€379.04n/a36
Jan ’25€386.20
€414.46
+7.3%
6.5%€472.16€372.28n/a35
Dec ’24€382.20
€409.76
+7.2%
5.1%€446.20€374.29n/a34
Nov ’24€357.20
€421.33
+18.0%
5.0%€457.33€383.63n/a35
Oct ’24€377.40
€433.52
+14.9%
5.8%€500.86€384.40n/a33
Sep ’24€384.80
€418.50
+8.8%
6.1%€487.74€358.66n/a34
Aug ’24€359.60
€409.78
+14.0%
6.1%€481.07€353.76n/a34
Jul ’24€357.40
€396.34
+10.9%
4.4%€436.11€356.40n/a34
Jun ’24€342.00
€403.87
+18.1%
4.7%€443.73€362.63n/a33
May ’24€335.80
€392.86
+17.0%
4.5%€430.23€354.57n/a34
Apr ’24€333.75
€393.12
+17.8%
4.8%€435.14€358.62€444.0033
Mar ’24€329.25
€395.00
+20.0%
5.6%€439.95€335.56€438.0035
Feb ’24€338.00
€387.58
+14.7%
6.3%€434.19€326.56€421.8035
Jan ’24€324.50
€374.18
+15.3%
7.5%€445.28€292.45€386.2034
Dec ’23€339.50
€381.12
+12.3%
7.9%€455.67€299.27€382.2035
Nov ’23€332.75
€400.85
+20.5%
7.7%€477.85€313.84€357.2035
Oct ’23€296.55
€425.67
+43.5%
8.0%€481.68€318.40€377.4035
Sep ’23€321.70
€415.01
+29.0%
6.7%€464.21€362.91€384.8034
Aug ’23€343.60
€409.36
+19.1%
8.3%€462.09€296.64€359.6035
Jul ’23€298.50
€409.65
+37.2%
7.5%€452.70€342.40€357.4034
Jun ’23€335.90
€402.77
+19.9%
7.4%€449.09€334.01€342.0034
May ’23€350.60
€412.58
+17.7%
6.4%€455.14€338.51€335.8033
Apr ’23€332.35
€392.16
+18.0%
6.6%€434.64€325.98€333.7533

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies

Price

7D

1Y

Mkt cap

PS

E.Growth

Analysts Target

Price

7D

1Y

Mkt cap

PS

E.Growth

Analysts Target

Price

7D

1Y

Mkt cap

PS

E.Growth

Analysts Target

Price

7D

1Y

Mkt cap

PS

E.Growth

Analysts Target

Simply Wall Street Pty Ltd (ACN 600 056 611), is a Corporate Authorised Representative (Authorised Representative Number: 467183) of Sanlam Private Wealth Pty Ltd (AFSL No. 337927). Any advice contained in this website is general advice only and has been prepared without considering your objectives, financial situation or needs. You should not rely on any advice and/or information contained in this website and before making any investment decision we recommend that you consider whether it is appropriate for your situation and seek appropriate financial, taxation and legal advice. Please read our Financial Services Guide before deciding whether to obtain financial services from us.