NIKE Valuation

Is NKE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NKE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NKE (€69.35) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€68.21)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NKE is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NKE?

Key metric: As NKE is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for NKE. This is calculated by dividing NKE's market cap by their current earnings.
What is NKE's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio20.6x
EarningsUS$5.30b
Market CapUS$110.01b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NKE's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NKE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average25x
DECK Deckers Outdoor
30.6x8.7%US$26.8b
300979 Huali Industrial Group
21.5x13.7%CN¥80.6b
7936 ASICS
33.6x9.0%JP¥2.0t
SKX Skechers U.S.A
14.4x12.3%US$9.2b
NKE NIKE
20.6x3.2%€110.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NKE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.6x) compared to the peer average (25.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NKE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Luxury Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
NKE 20.6xIndustry Avg. 14.1xNo. of Companies7PE0816243240+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NKE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.6x) compared to the European Luxury industry average (14.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NKE's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NKE PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio20.6x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate NKE's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NKE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€70.93
€86.32
+21.7%
15.0%€113.26€53.80n/a34
Nov ’25€71.45
€83.83
+17.3%
14.7%€109.76€52.14n/a34
Oct ’25€80.33
€83.20
+3.6%
15.9%€111.36€51.19n/a34
Sep ’25€74.59
€81.96
+9.9%
16.2%€110.79€53.61n/a34
Aug ’25€68.54
€84.51
+23.3%
17.0%€114.51€55.41n/a33
Jul ’25€70.10
€89.52
+27.7%
17.0%€120.14€55.88n/a33
Jun ’25€86.03
€103.13
+19.9%
12.4%€120.51€69.53n/a34
May ’25€86.95
€104.89
+20.6%
12.8%€128.50€70.11n/a35
Apr ’25€87.61
€105.06
+19.9%
12.4%€126.97€69.28n/a37
Mar ’25€96.00
€113.74
+18.5%
11.2%€131.79€81.67n/a37
Feb ’25€93.01
€113.48
+22.0%
11.5%€137.84€80.86n/a37
Jan ’25€99.50
€111.76
+12.3%
11.7%€135.53€79.51n/a36
Dec ’24€102.62
€110.88
+8.0%
13.0%€137.54€80.69n/a35
Nov ’24€95.36
€114.40
+20.0%
13.2%€141.74€83.15€71.4533
Oct ’24€90.08
€116.76
+29.6%
13.2%€141.89€83.24€80.3333
Sep ’24€94.04
€118.99
+26.5%
11.6%€140.59€85.16€74.5933
Aug ’24€99.79
€116.09
+16.3%
11.7%€136.90€82.93€68.5433
Jul ’24€101.44
€119.16
+17.5%
11.2%€139.17€87.06€70.1034
Jun ’24€97.19
€125.91
+29.5%
11.6%€148.10€87.93€86.0333
May ’24€112.52
€123.68
+9.9%
11.4%€146.38€89.66€86.9533
Apr ’24€112.00
€123.91
+10.6%
11.8%€147.50€90.35€87.6133
Mar ’24€110.90
€123.06
+11.0%
13.9%€173.73€79.82€96.0034
Feb ’24€116.40
€119.78
+2.9%
13.6%€170.26€78.23€93.0134
Jan ’24€109.24
€118.77
+8.7%
13.3%€174.01€79.95€99.5034
Dec ’23€105.62
€105.82
+0.2%
19.5%€177.86€74.03€102.6233
Nov ’23€95.34
€110.37
+15.8%
19.8%€185.67€77.28€95.3632

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


Discover undervalued companies