Varta Valuation

Is VAR1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of VAR1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: VAR1 (€2.44) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€38.26)

Significantly Below Fair Value: VAR1 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for VAR1?

Key metric: As VAR1 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for VAR1. This is calculated by dividing VAR1's market cap by their current revenue.
What is VAR1's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.1x
Sales€829.97m
Market Cap€108.05m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does VAR1's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for VAR1 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.2x
ZAG Zumtobel Group
0.2xn/a€211.4m
CLEN Cleen Energy
0.2xn/a€3.2m
FKA Frauenthal Holding
0.2xn/a€182.2m
SEM Semperit Holding
0.3x6.3%€232.9m
VAR1 Varta
0.1x4.3%€108.1m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: VAR1 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the peer average (0.2x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does VAR1's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Electrical Industry?

19 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.1.0x7.1%
VAR1 Varta
0.1x4.3%US$114.10m
VAR1 0.1xIndustry Avg. 1.0xNo. of Companies26PS012345+
19 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.1.0x15.7%
VAR1 Varta
0.1x78.6%US$114.10m
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: VAR1 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the European Electrical industry average (1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is VAR1's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

VAR1 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.1x
Fair PS Ratio0.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: VAR1 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst VAR1 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€2.44
€3.75
+53.4%
173.2%€15.00€0n/a4
Nov ’25€3.14
€3.75
+19.3%
173.2%€15.00€0n/a4
Oct ’25€1.47
€3.75
+155.6%
173.2%€15.00€0n/a4
Sep ’25€1.76
€3.75
+113.4%
173.2%€15.00€0n/a4
Aug ’25€2.04
€3.75
+84.2%
173.2%€15.00€0n/a4
Jul ’25€8.71
€15.32
+76.0%
42.1%€22.00€7.00n/a5
Jun ’25€10.92
€15.32
+40.3%
42.1%€22.00€7.00n/a5
May ’25€9.00
€15.32
+70.2%
42.1%€22.00€7.00n/a5
Apr ’25€14.74
€19.23
+30.5%
17.0%€25.00€15.00n/a7
Mar ’25€15.35
€19.23
+25.3%
17.0%€25.00€15.00n/a7
Feb ’25€17.49
€19.37
+10.8%
16.0%€25.00€16.00n/a7
Jan ’25€20.69
€19.37
-6.4%
16.0%€25.00€16.00n/a7
Dec ’24€20.45
€19.37
-5.3%
16.0%€25.00€16.00n/a7
Nov ’24€19.29
€18.66
-3.3%
20.9%€25.00€13.00€3.147
Oct ’24€18.02
€18.51
+2.7%
21.7%€25.00€13.00€1.477
Sep ’24€20.39
€18.51
-9.2%
21.7%€25.00€13.00€1.767
Aug ’24€20.38
€19.51
-4.2%
25.8%€30.00€15.00€2.047
Jul ’24€18.78
€21.79
+16.0%
29.3%€31.00€15.00€8.717
Jun ’24€14.10
€21.79
+54.5%
29.3%€31.00€15.00€10.927
May ’24€23.45
€26.29
+12.1%
19.4%€31.00€18.00€9.008
Apr ’24€25.18
€26.56
+5.5%
17.6%€31.00€18.50€14.748
Mar ’24€28.29
€27.06
-4.3%
21.5%€35.00€17.50€15.358
Feb ’24€28.07
€27.06
-3.6%
21.5%€35.00€17.50€17.498
Jan ’24€22.43
€27.19
+21.2%
21.7%€35.00€17.50€20.698
Dec ’23€28.86
€29.69
+2.9%
32.4%€50.00€17.50€20.458
Nov ’23€29.33
€36.69
+25.1%
30.4%€50.00€19.00€19.298

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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