3M Valuation

Is MMM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MMM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MMM (€123.32) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€245.38)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MMM is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MMM?

Key metric: As MMM is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MMM. This is calculated by dividing MMM's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MMM's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio13.3x
EarningsUS$5.32b
Market CapUS$70.68b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MMM's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MMM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18.4x
6501 Hitachi
26.4x12.1%JP¥17.8t
HON Honeywell International
26.2x10.0%US$148.9b
SIE Siemens
16.9x5.9%€143.3b
267 CITIC
4.2x7.0%HK$261.5b
13.3x-2.1%€70.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MMM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.3x) compared to the peer average (18.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MMM's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Industrials Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MMM 13.3xIndustry Avg. 16.8xNo. of Companies6PE01224364860+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MMM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.3x) compared to the European Industrials industry average (16.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MMM's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MMM PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.3x
Fair PE Ratio13.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MMM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MMM forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€123.32
€139.45
+13.1%
16.7%€175.02€84.66n/a18
Nov ’25€118.36
€132.21
+11.7%
16.2%€166.10€82.13n/a18
Oct ’25€123.26
€119.60
-3.0%
15.0%€146.35€80.40n/a18
Sep ’25€120.12
€116.23
-3.2%
13.5%€136.08€80.74n/a17
Aug ’25€115.64
€116.80
+1.0%
15.0%€139.01€82.48n/a17
Jul ’25€93.79
€101.84
+8.6%
11.7%€131.08€81.46n/a17
Jun ’25€90.90
€97.97
+7.8%
11.1%€129.63€80.55n/a16
May ’25€89.86
€95.07
+5.8%
7.6%€104.75€81.37n/a17
Apr ’25€97.66
€97.28
-0.4%
10.2%€117.31€78.20n/a17
Mar ’25€84.93
€100.02
+17.8%
9.1%€117.36€78.55n/a17
Feb ’25€87.44
€101.29
+15.8%
7.9%€114.76€80.52n/a18
Jan ’25€99.00
€102.00
+3.0%
13.3%€143.03€75.61n/a17
Dec ’24€91.09
€99.87
+9.6%
14.4%€143.28€75.75n/a17
Nov ’24€85.33
€103.39
+21.2%
14.4%€148.57€78.54€118.3617
Oct ’24€88.87
€108.85
+22.5%
11.8%€150.76€89.89€123.2618
Sep ’24€98.90
€108.35
+9.6%
11.6%€148.39€88.48€120.1217
Aug ’24€101.42
€104.98
+3.5%
12.4%€146.59€87.41€115.6418
Jul ’24€91.08
€101.08
+11.0%
13.2%€144.76€84.29€93.7918
Jun ’24€87.73
€104.40
+19.0%
12.5%€146.85€88.29€90.9018
May ’24€94.50
€106.42
+12.6%
17.5%€164.04€86.10€89.8618
Apr ’24€96.03
€112.54
+17.2%
20.4%€181.34€92.05€97.6618
Mar ’24€104.10
€114.71
+10.2%
19.2%€181.61€96.80€84.9318
Feb ’24€104.94
€114.71
+9.3%
19.2%€181.61€96.80€87.4418
Jan ’24€112.88
€126.47
+12.0%
19.0%€196.56€102.96€99.0018
Dec ’23€119.78
€128.04
+6.9%
19.2%€199.50€104.50€91.0918
Nov ’23€127.18
€135.21
+6.3%
19.2%€212.56€111.34€85.3319

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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