Pampa Energía Future Growth

Future criteria checks 6/6

Pampa Energía is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 52.6% and 29.6% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 54.9% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 68.1% in 3 years.

Key information

52.6%

Earnings growth rate

54.9%

EPS growth rate

Electric Utilities earnings growth	11.5%
Revenue growth rate	29.6%
Future return on equity	68.1%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	17 Apr 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

BASE:PAMP - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (ARS Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	2,212,402	368,848	513,810	736,291	3
12/31/2025	1,899,622	346,695	363,395	619,928	7
12/31/2024	1,706,078	273,264	95,725	548,743	6
12/31/2023	513,727	34,488	-15,545	177,099	N/A
9/30/2023	818,408	236,872	55,439	292,591	N/A
6/30/2023	564,173	167,667	47,512	209,213	N/A
3/31/2023	422,141	111,912	34,395	149,263	N/A
12/31/2022	242,182	64,859	28,042	81,197	N/A
9/30/2022	287,167	64,009	46,119	102,163	N/A
6/30/2022	227,138	45,142	43,766	83,297	N/A
3/31/2022	182,728	46,297	50,006	78,037	N/A
12/31/2021	144,641	34,226	52,677	72,029	N/A
9/30/2021	156,022	43,002	68,072	85,934	N/A
6/30/2021	131,769	35,697	66,221	79,047	N/A
3/31/2021	109,299	23,292	58,718	68,900	N/A
12/31/2020	90,222	18,919	47,928	58,270	N/A
9/30/2020	45,389	14,763	56,661	75,343	N/A
6/30/2020	60,831	13,914	38,999	61,232	N/A
3/31/2020	74,755	25,371	30,194	55,282	N/A
12/31/2019	80,231	29,638	22,513	48,019	N/A
9/30/2019	134,345	42,768	2,437	34,949	N/A
6/30/2019	121,009	30,853	-1,069	30,678	N/A
3/31/2019	111,784	7,619	-4,194	24,810	N/A
12/31/2018	54,070	1,054	5,912	22,968	N/A
9/30/2018	131,725	4,397	-1,191	22,779	N/A
6/30/2018	113,870	9,337	2,380	22,626	N/A
3/31/2018	98,591	15,413	3,436	22,194	N/A
12/31/2017	82,008	12,692	-1,655	16,635	N/A
9/30/2017	43,046	3,716	N/A	9,490	N/A
6/30/2017	39,528	1,600	N/A	6,471	N/A
3/31/2017	32,023	916	N/A	5,053	N/A
12/31/2016	25,110	-83	N/A	5,945	N/A
9/30/2016	20,071	1,069	N/A	3,696	N/A
6/30/2016	12,074	2,041	N/A	4,152	N/A
3/31/2016	9,665	2,771	N/A	3,938	N/A
12/31/2015	7,106	3,065	N/A	4,366	N/A
9/30/2015	6,977	1,731	N/A	3,775	N/A
6/30/2015	6,699	1,787	N/A	3,291	N/A
3/31/2015	6,442	2,035	N/A	2,675	N/A
12/31/2014	6,101	743	N/A	2,193	N/A
9/30/2014	5,919	-83	N/A	2,565	N/A
6/30/2014	5,725	-333	N/A	2,037	N/A
3/31/2014	5,374	281	N/A	1,874	N/A
12/31/2013	5,335	413	N/A	1,656	N/A
9/30/2013	5,532	280	N/A	1,485	N/A
6/30/2013	5,989	188	N/A	1,136	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: PAMP's forecast earnings growth (52.6% per year) is above the savings rate (8.2%).

Earnings vs Market: PAMP's earnings (52.6% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the AR market (48.5% per year).

High Growth Earnings: PAMP's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: PAMP's revenue (29.6% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the AR market (6.7% per year).

High Growth Revenue: PAMP's revenue (29.6% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: PAMP's Return on Equity is forecast to be very high in 3 years time (68.1%).

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Pampa Energía Future Growth

Future criteria checks 6/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 4,641%

Consensus revenue estimates increase by 19%, EPS downgraded

Price target decreased by 14% to AR$1,393

Price target increased by 22% to AR$1,015

Price target increased by 24% to AR$833

Price target increased by 16% to AR$673

Recent updates

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 4,641%

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 15%

New minor risk - Profit margin trend

Pampa Energía S.A., Annual General Meeting, Apr 29, 2024

Consensus revenue estimates increase by 19%, EPS downgraded

Pampa Energía S.A. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on May 08, 2024

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 23%

Price target decreased by 14% to AR$1,393

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16%

New minor risk - Share price stability

Third quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$0.11 (vs US$0.12 in 3Q 2022)

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 22%

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 22%

Less than half of directors are independent

Pampa Energía S.A. Announces Resignation of Darío Epstein as Director

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 18%

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 29%

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

Second quarter 2023 earnings released

Price target increased by 22% to AR$1,015

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16%

Price target increased by 24% to AR$833

Pampa Energía S.A. to Report Q2, 2023 Results on Aug 09, 2023

First quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$0.10 (vs US$0.067 in 1Q 2022)

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 18%

Price target increased by 16% to AR$673

Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: AR$46.97 (vs AR$25.44 in FY 2021)

Price target increased by 25% to AR$713

Price target decreased to AR$270

Now 24% undervalued

Pampa Energía S.A. Announces Director Appointments

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Pampa Energía S.A. (BASE:PAMP) reached an agreement to acquire Arauco II Wind Farm from Parque Eólico Arauco SAPEM for approximately $170 million.

Price target increased to AR$402

Pampa Energía S.A., Annual General Meeting, Dec 27, 2022

Third quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: AR$0.13 (vs AR$9.06 in 3Q 2021)

Less than half of directors are independent

Third quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: US$0.13 (vs US$0.092 in 3Q 2021)

Price target increased to AR$291

Price target increased to AR$263

Consensus forecasts updated

Second quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: US$0.048 (vs US$0.10 in 2Q 2021)

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 16%

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Pampa Energía S.A. Reports Unaudited Consolidated Impairment Charges for the Quarter Ended March 31, 2022

Consensus forecasts updated

First quarter 2022 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind

Pampa Energía S.A. (BASE:PAMP) announces an Equity Buyback for $30 million worth of its shares.

Price target increased to AR$174

Less than half of directors are independent

Pampa Energía S.A. to Report Q4, 2022 Results on Mar 13, 2023

Pampa Energía S.A. to Report Q1, 2022 Results on May 12, 2022

Full year 2021 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Price target increased to AR$168

Price target increased to AR$124

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Pampa Energía S.A. (BASE:PAMP) announces an Equity Buyback for $30 million worth of its shares.

Third quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS AR$9.23 (vs AR$3.89 in 3Q 2020)

Price target increased to AR$103

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Consensus forecasts updated

Second quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS AR$10.24 (vs AR$0.14 in 2Q 2020)

Consensus revenue estimates fall to AR$1.78b

Price target decreased to AR$82.65

Empresa de Energía del Cono Sur S.A. completed the acquisition of an additional 51.4% in Empresa Distribuidora y Comercializadora Norte Sociedad Anónima (BASE:EDN) from Pampa Energía S.A. (BASE:PAMP).

Consensus forecasts updated

Investor sentiment improved over the past week