Ternium Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of TXR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

TXR (ARS14520) is trading below our estimate of [[future cash flow value]] (ARS20862.41)

Is TXR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

Below Future Cash Flow Value
Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of TXR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

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Below Future Cash Flow Value: TXR (ARS14520) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value (ARS20862.41)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: TXR is trading below future cash flow value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TXR?

Key metric: As TXR is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for TXR. This is calculated by dividing TXR's market cap by their current earnings.
What is TXR's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	18.4x
Earnings	US$425.23m
Market Cap	US$7.76b

TXR key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	0.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	8.1x
PEG Ratio	0.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TXR's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TXR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	41.3x
TXAR Ternium Argentina	35.3x	n/a	AR$2.9t
001203 Dazhong Mining	83.5x	34.41%	CN¥56.2b
SAIL Steel Authority of India	22.2x	29.54%	₹618.9b
5411 JFE Holdings	24x	27.99%	JP¥1.3t
TXR Ternium	18.4x	21.41%	AR$7.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TXR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.4x) compared to the peer average (40.9x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TXR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Metals and Mining Industry?

2 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

2 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TXR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.4x) compared to the South American Metals and Mining industry average (12.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TXR's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TXR PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	18.4x
Fair PE Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate TXR's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

AnalystPriceTarget

Community Contributor

AR$14.64k

Fair Value

0.8% undervalued

Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2026/03/10 08:02
End of Day Share Price	2026/03/10 00:00
Earnings	2025/12/31
Annual Earnings	2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Ternium S.A. is covered by 18 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Leonardo Correa	Barclays
Alessandro Abate	Berenberg
Caio Ribeiro	BofA Global Research