Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited

BASE:HMYD Stock Report

Market Cap: US$5.9b

Harmony Gold Mining Valuation

Is HMYD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HMYD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HMYD ($9.7) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($6.04)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HMYD is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HMYD?

Key metric: As HMYD is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for HMYD. This is calculated by dividing HMYD's market cap by their current earnings.
What is HMYD's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio12.5x
EarningsR8.59b
Market CapR107.25b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HMYD's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HMYD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average23.9x
ALUA Aluar Aluminio ArgentinoI.C
21.9xn/aAR$2.4t
EVN Evolution Mining
23.9x9.6%AU$10.0b
1818 Zhaojin Mining Industry
31.4x34.7%HK$40.6b
LUG Lundin Gold
18.3x21.4%CA$7.8b
HMYD Harmony Gold Mining
12.5x29.4%US$107.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HMYD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.5x) compared to the peer average (23.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HMYD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Metals and Mining Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
HMYD 12.5xIndustry Avg. 8.2xNo. of Companies5PE0612182430+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HMYD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.5x) compared to the South American Metals and Mining industry average (8.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HMYD's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HMYD PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.5x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate HMYD's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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