BHP Group Limited

BASE:BHPD Stock Report

Market Cap: US$125.7b

BHP Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

BHP Group's revenue is forecast to decline at 3.1% per annum while its annual earnings are expected to grow at 6.1% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 4.5% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 19.4% in 3 years.

Key information

6.1%

Earnings growth rate

4.5%

EPS growth rate

Metals and Mining earnings growth4.3%
Revenue growth rate-3.1%
Future return on equity19.4%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated24 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

BASE:BHPD - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
6/30/202749,18611,2187,85017,85315
6/30/202650,87312,2008,98619,31717
6/30/202552,48011,8809,31019,40817
6/30/202456,0277,89711,39220,665N/A
3/31/202455,8427,64411,70420,740N/A
12/31/202355,6567,39112,01520,815N/A
9/30/202354,92010,15611,81719,758N/A
6/30/202354,18412,92111,61818,701N/A
3/31/202357,37815,57615,51322,184N/A
12/31/202260,56418,23119,40725,667N/A
9/30/202262,98819,23822,73528,921N/A
6/30/202265,41520,24526,06332,174N/A
3/31/202264,65718,08925,72231,658N/A
12/31/202163,90315,93225,38131,142N/A
9/30/202160,57913,73123,40629,188N/A
6/30/202157,25511,52921,43027,234N/A
3/31/202147,0339,23517,62222,434N/A
12/31/202044,9507,15610,86717,633N/A
9/30/202044,0877,5569,46716,670N/A
6/30/202039,1537,8489,53915,706N/A
3/31/202044,8128,7049,12316,873N/A
12/31/201945,8329,45210,17918,039N/A
9/30/201945,0609,04710,46417,955N/A
6/30/201944,5728,64110,74817,871N/A
3/31/201943,7128,739N/AN/AN/A
12/31/201843,6498,83612,02318,392N/A
9/30/201843,5187,73112,31618,427N/A
6/30/201843,1296,62612,60818,461N/A
3/31/201842,0725,580N/A17,456N/A
12/31/201737,6875,005N/A16,450N/A
9/30/201737,0165,684N/A16,627N/A
6/30/201735,9476,362N/A16,804N/A
3/31/201736,6824,189N/A14,933N/A
12/31/201634,6982,488N/A13,062N/A
9/30/201633,027-1,948N/A11,844N/A
6/30/201629,005-490N/A10,625N/A
3/31/201633,653-6,248N/A12,379N/A
12/31/201535,936-6,111N/A14,133N/A
9/30/201540,527-1,344N/A16,715N/A
6/30/201545,1243,422N/A19,296N/A
12/31/201448,4199,320N/A23,928N/A
9/30/201452,82111,442N/A24,646N/A
6/30/201457,31413,563N/A25,364N/A
3/31/201467,54714,365N/A25,102N/A
12/31/201367,87014,897N/A24,840N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: BHPD's forecast earnings growth (6.1% per year) is below the savings rate (8.7%).

Earnings vs Market: BHPD's earnings (6.1% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the AR market (2.2% per year).

High Growth Earnings: BHPD's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: BHPD's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-3.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: BHPD's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-3.1% per year).

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: BHPD's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (19.4%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/26 20:38
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/16 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

BHP Group Limited is covered by 67 analysts. 17 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Varun SikkaAlphaValue
David ColemanArgus Research Company
Ayan GhoshAvior Capital Markets