YPF Sociedad Anónima

BASE:YPFD Stock Report

Market Cap: AR$32.8t

YPF Sociedad Anónima Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

YPF Sociedad Anónima is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 52.5% and 6.1% per annum respectively.

Key information

52.5%

Earnings growth rate

n/a

EPS growth rate

Oil and Gas earnings growth8.8%
Revenue growth rate6.1%
Future return on equityn/a
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated03 Jun 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update • May 31

YPFD: Cautious Oil Price Reliance Will Limit Future Upside Potential

Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for YPF Sociedad Anónima to ARS 71,000 from ARS 60,000, reflecting updated views on profit margins, discount rate, and future P/E after a series of recent price target increases from ARS 36 to ARS 48 in Street research. Analyst Commentary Recent price target revisions on YPF Sociedad Anónima have generally moved higher, but commentary around those changes still carries a cautious tone.
Narrative Update • May 10

YPFD: Higher Oil Price Scenarios Will Support Future Earnings Repricing

Analyst price targets for YPF Sociedad Anónima have been raised to ARS 109,461, supported by updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and P/E expectations that reflect recent Street research discussing potential upside risks for oil prices. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on YPF Sociedad Anónima points to a cluster of raised price targets, with bullish analysts citing updated assumptions for discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and P/E expectations, alongside potential upside risks for oil prices.
Narrative Update • Apr 22

YPFD: Oil Price Upside And LNG Project Will Shape A Balanced Outlook

Analysts have lifted the YPF Sociedad Anónima price target to ARS 40 from ARS 36. The change is supported by updated assumptions around oil price upside, a lower discount rate, modestly higher revenue growth and profit margin forecasts, and a slightly lower future P/E multiple.
Narrative Update • Apr 08

YPFD: Higher Oil Price Scenarios Will Support Future Share Upside

Analysts have raised their price target for YPF Sociedad Anónima to ARS 40 from ARS 36, citing upside risks to oil prices and updated estimates for regional oil peers as the main drivers of the revision. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on YPF Sociedad Anónima points to a more constructive tone from several research desks, with a focus on higher oil price assumptions and updated peer benchmarks in Latin America.
Narrative Update • Mar 25

YPFD: Oil Price Assumptions And LNG Project Will Shape A Fair Outlook

Analysts now place fair value for YPF Sociedad Anónima at ARS 60,000, up from ARS 55,000. This reflects updates to oil price assumptions and related earnings estimates cited in recent Street research.
Narrative Update • Mar 10

YPFD: LNG Expansion And Margin Execution Will Support Future Upside

Narrative Update: YPF Sociedad Anónima The updated analyst work trims YPF Sociedad Anónima's fair value estimate by ARS 400 to ARS 84,420, as analysts incorporate a lower discount rate, adjust revenue growth expectations, factor in a slightly higher profit margin, and revise the assumed future P/E multiple in line with the recent ARS 3 price target increase cited in Street research. Analyst Commentary Street research around YPF Sociedad Anónima currently centers on the recent US$3 price target increase reported by JPMorgan, alongside the updated fair value estimate of ARS 84,420.
Narrative Update • Feb 24

YPFD: LNG Push And Vaca Muerta Exports Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have raised their ARS price target on YPF Sociedad Anónima by ARS 3, reflecting updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and a revised future P/E outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on YPF Sociedad Anónima, including a price target increase of ARS 3 cited in a JPMorgan report, points to a more constructive stance from bullish analysts who are updating their models for the stock.
Narrative Update • Feb 09

YPFD: Export Agreements And Governance Changes Will Shape A Fairly Valued Outlook

Analysts have raised their price target on YPF Sociedad Anónima from AR$47,800 to AR$55,000, citing revised assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E as key drivers of the updated view. What's in the News A board meeting is set for November 18, 2025, with the agenda not yet publicly detailed.
Narrative Update • Jan 25

YPFD: Long-Term Vaca Muerta Export Deals Will Underpin Future Upside

Analysts have raised their price target for YPF Sociedad Anónima from AR$65,000 to AR$109,461, citing updated assumptions that include a lower discount rate, revised expectations for revenue growth and profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News YPF and partners Vista Energy Lach, Shell Argentina, Equinor Argentina and ENAP signed long term agreements for shale oil exports from Vaca Muerta, with contracts valid until June 2033 and an initial combined volume of up to 70,000 barrels per day, which is expected to generate an estimated US$12b in revenues for Argentina over the term of the contracts (Key Developments).
Narrative Update • Jan 10

YPFD: Refined Assumptions Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts trimmed their price target on YPF Sociedad Anónima to US$44 from US$47, citing updated modeling assumptions that refine estimates for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary centers on how the updated model feeds into valuation rather than a change in overall stance.
Narrative Update • Dec 27

YPFD: Future Export Agreements Will Support Efficiency Gains And Forward Momentum

Analysts have modestly lowered their price target on YPF Sociedad Anónima to $44 from $47, reflecting updated models that incorporate stronger top line growth but more conservative assumptions on profitability and valuation multiples. Analyst Commentary Analysts describe the modest price target reduction as a recalibration rather than a shift in fundamental conviction.
Narrative Update • Dec 13

YPFD: Lower Projected Upside Will Constrain Future Share Price Performance

Analysts modestly cut their price target on YPF Sociedad Anónima from $47.80 to $44.00, reflecting updated models that incorporate a slightly lower fair value despite improved projected revenue growth, profit margins, and a more attractive future price-to-earnings multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates suggest that, while the overall rating on YPF Sociedad Anónima remains constructive, the recalibration of price targets signals a more cautious stance on the balance of risk and reward at current levels.
Narrative Update • Nov 27

YPFD: Improved Margins Will Drive Efficiency And Support Forward Momentum

Analysts have raised YPF Sociedad Anónima's fair value estimate from $57,100 to $70,000, citing improved profit margins and a lower discount rate. This revision comes despite a moderated revenue growth outlook.
Narrative Update • Aug 15

Vaca Muerta Expansion Will Unlock Long Term Export Potential

The upward revision in YPF Sociedad Anónima’s price target reflects improved valuation as indicated by a lower future P/E ratio, despite a modest decline in net profit margin, resulting in a consensus analyst target increase from ARS53,800 to ARS57,100. What's in the News YPF is nearing an agreement to acquire shale oil assets from France’s TotalEnergies, potentially valued between $400 million and $500 million.
User avatar
New Narrative • Nov 18

Vaca Muerta's Shale Boom Sparks Revenue Boost Amidst PE Challenges And Efficient Restructuring

Strategic focus on Vaca Muerta and midstream expansions aims to boost margins, manage cash flow, and reduce financial leverage.

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

BASE:YPFD - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (ARS Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202829,848,1843,995,3071,294,3718,966,01910
12/31/202729,043,7903,502,402252,5257,996,61710
12/31/202629,617,2283,093,822-958,1528,525,3709
3/31/202625,325,776-461,5681,549,6598,208,987N/A
12/31/202523,240,162-1,087,72141,8876,481,040N/A
9/30/202521,465,436-523,917-323,0435,491,011N/A
6/30/202520,186,7531,127,195-352,7955,385,857N/A
3/31/202519,163,6551,520,528-138,2785,417,615N/A
12/31/202417,895,0312,077,482213,4285,599,148N/A
9/30/202415,204,649760,020147,6604,629,172N/A
6/30/202411,619,517-699,04520,7413,512,774N/A
3/31/20248,266,415-1,082,69368,4992,556,503N/A
12/31/20235,484,544-1,561,217183,2731,774,199N/A
9/30/20234,117,211144,18543,6891,270,456N/A
6/30/20233,386,133301,660123,0881,034,110N/A
3/31/20232,945,340321,020184,018879,675N/A
12/31/20222,526,466289,057204,532736,660N/A
9/30/20222,151,285236,426233,447632,068N/A
6/30/20221,762,291167,030198,165522,591N/A
3/31/20221,482,19428,926184,605459,395N/A
12/31/20211,315,633257165,213400,014N/A
9/30/20211,091,79419,652169,187360,715N/A
6/30/2021911,721-38,314166,572303,918N/A
3/31/2021729,406-77,927133,795243,511N/A
12/31/2020692,514-69,64994,600209,216N/A
9/30/2020688,623-124,36086,320214,791N/A
6/30/2020695,587-101,62071,325226,351N/A
3/31/2020722,358-19,67453,987233,452N/A
12/31/2019678,595-34,071N/A217,137N/A
9/30/2019617,460-6,245N/A187,505N/A
6/30/2019558,19919,684N/A159,408N/A
3/31/2019490,90424,361N/A146,272N/A
12/31/2018435,82038,613N/A125,058N/A
9/30/2018359,65933,273N/A102,035N/A
6/30/2018304,50520,163N/A83,377N/A
3/31/2018271,63318,382N/A68,750N/A
12/31/2017252,81312,340N/A71,974N/A
9/30/2017237,7572,051N/A66,208N/A
6/30/2017227,572-28,253N/A69,377N/A
3/31/2017220,169-29,208N/A63,008N/A
12/31/2016210,100-28,237N/A49,183N/A
9/30/2016196,488-31,653N/A43,849N/A
6/30/2016180,695408N/A36,910N/A
3/31/2016167,9393,448N/A40,298N/A
12/31/2015156,1364,579N/A41,404N/A
9/30/2015152,9297,657N/A41,475N/A
6/30/2015151,0829,019N/A49,942N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: YPFD is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (8.9%).

Earnings vs Market: YPFD is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: YPFD is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: YPFD's revenue (6.1% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the AR market (13.2% per year).

High Growth Revenue: YPFD's revenue (6.1% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if YPFD's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/14 14:50
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/12 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

YPF Sociedad Anónima is covered by 18 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Matias CattaruzziAdCap Securities Argentina S.A.
Leonardo MarcondesBofA Global Research
Vicente Falanga NetoBradesco S.A. Corretora de Títulos e Valores Mobiliários