Emirates NBD Bank PJSC Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of EMIRATESNBD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

EMIRATESNBD (AED19.4) is trading above our estimate of [[fair value]] (AED11.71)

Is EMIRATESNBD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of EMIRATESNBD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: EMIRATESNBD (AED19.4) is trading above our estimate of fair value (AED11.71)

Significantly Below Fair Value: EMIRATESNBD is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for EMIRATESNBD?

Key metric: As EMIRATESNBD is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for EMIRATESNBD. This is calculated by dividing EMIRATESNBD's market cap by their current earnings.
What is EMIRATESNBD's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	5.4x
Earnings	د.إ22.50b
Market Cap	د.إ122.54b

EMIRATESNBD key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	n/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	n/a
PEG Ratio	-1.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does EMIRATESNBD's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for EMIRATESNBD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	8.2x
FAB First Abu Dhabi Bank P.J.S.C	9.2x	1.9%	د.إ148.8b
ADCB Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank PJSC	8.1x	2.5%	د.إ70.6b
ADIB Abu Dhabi Islamic Bank PJSC	8.5x	4.4%	د.إ46.6b
DIB Dubai Islamic Bank P.J.S.C	6.8x	-3.5%	د.إ47.6b
EMIRATESNBD Emirates NBD Bank PJSC	5.4x	-4.5%	د.إ122.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: EMIRATESNBD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.4x) compared to the peer average (8.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does EMIRATESNBD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Banks Industry?

3 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

3 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: EMIRATESNBD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.4x) compared to the Asian Banks industry average (8.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is EMIRATESNBD's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

EMIRATESNBD PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	5.4x
Fair PE Ratio	7.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: EMIRATESNBD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst EMIRATESNBD forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	د.إ19.40	د.إ23.53 +21.3%	10.7%	د.إ28.50	د.إ19.50	n/a	15
Nov ’25	د.إ19.35	د.إ23.53 +21.6%	10.7%	د.إ28.50	د.إ19.50	n/a	15
Oct ’25	د.إ20.20	د.إ23.37 +15.7%	11.2%	د.إ28.60	د.إ19.50	n/a	15
Sep ’25	د.إ19.70	د.إ23.37 +18.6%	11.2%	د.إ28.60	د.إ19.50	n/a	15
Aug ’25	د.إ19.30	د.إ23.17 +20.0%	10.1%	د.إ27.50	د.إ19.50	n/a	15
Jul ’25	د.إ16.40	د.إ22.53 +37.4%	10.2%	د.إ27.50	د.إ19.50	n/a	15
Jun ’25	د.إ15.55	د.إ22.46 +44.4%	10.4%	د.إ27.50	د.إ19.50	n/a	15
May ’25	د.إ16.90	د.إ22.32 +32.1%	10.8%	د.إ27.50	د.إ19.50	n/a	14
Apr ’25	د.إ17.45	د.إ22.40 +28.4%	10.7%	د.إ27.20	د.إ19.50	n/a	14
Mar ’25	د.إ17.25	د.إ21.82 +26.5%	11.1%	د.إ27.20	د.إ17.30	n/a	13
Feb ’25	د.إ17.80	د.إ21.61 +21.4%	11.0%	د.إ27.20	د.إ17.30	n/a	13
Jan ’25	د.إ17.30	د.إ21.02 +21.5%	9.9%	د.إ24.60	د.إ17.30	n/a	13
Dec ’24	د.إ17.50	د.إ21.18 +21.0%	9.4%	د.إ24.60	د.إ17.30	n/a	13
Nov ’24	د.إ17.25	د.إ20.73 +20.2%	10.7%	د.إ24.60	د.إ17.30	د.إ19.35	12
Oct ’24	د.إ17.80	د.إ20.05 +12.6%	8.1%	د.إ24.00	د.إ18.10	د.إ20.20	10
Sep ’24	د.إ16.70	د.إ19.55 +17.1%	10.9%	د.إ24.00	د.إ16.00	د.إ19.70	10
Aug ’24	د.إ17.10	د.إ18.61 +8.8%	11.2%	د.إ24.00	د.إ16.00	د.إ19.30	12
Jul ’24	د.إ14.85	د.إ17.09 +15.1%	13.9%	د.إ19.70	د.إ9.60	د.إ16.40	14
Jun ’24	د.إ13.65	د.إ17.04 +24.8%	14.0%	د.إ19.70	د.إ9.60	د.إ15.55	14
May ’24	د.إ13.95	د.إ16.68 +19.6%	13.6%	د.إ19.00	د.إ9.60	د.إ16.90	14
Apr ’24	د.إ13.15	د.إ16.98 +29.2%	14.7%	د.إ20.70	د.إ9.60	د.إ17.45	13
Mar ’24	د.إ13.60	د.إ16.87 +24.0%	15.2%	د.إ20.70	د.إ9.60	د.إ17.25	12
Feb ’24	د.إ13.25	د.إ16.46 +24.2%	15.1%	د.إ20.70	د.إ9.60	د.إ17.80	12
Jan ’24	د.إ13.00	د.إ16.51 +27.0%	15.1%	د.إ20.80	د.إ9.60	د.إ17.30	12
Dec ’23	د.إ13.25	د.إ17.17 +29.6%	6.9%	د.إ19.80	د.إ15.00	د.إ17.50	11
Nov ’23	د.إ13.25	د.إ17.09 +29.0%	5.5%	د.إ19.60	د.إ16.10	د.إ17.25	10

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.