Update as of 13 May: Amidst the tariff chaos and thus increased uncertainty about underlying growth trends, and after Balfour's recent quarterly report, I lowered exp. revenue growth to 12 per cent p.a., increased profit margins just a notch to 3.5 per cent and reduced the discount rate slightly to 9 per cent, still resulting in a fair value close to 600p.
Key Takeaways Strategic focus on energy, defense, and tech-enabled infrastructure projects, combined with selective bidding, drives margin expansion and improved revenue visibility. Shifting risk away from core operations and investing in digital and sustainable solutions strengthens earnings resilience while diversifying revenue through US market and priority sectors.
Key Takeaways Selective bidding, digital innovation, and sector leadership in green infrastructure are driving sustainable margin expansion, robust cash flow, and long-term earnings growth potential. Strong capital allocation and balance sheet position support increased shareholder returns and strategic acquisitions, enhancing market share and profitability through industry cycles.
Key Takeaways Skills shortages and an aging workforce threaten project execution, increasing costs and risking delays that could erode margins and constrain future revenue growth. Greater regulatory burdens, legal liabilities, and supply chain shocks will inflate project costs, undermine profitability, and expose the company to heightened market volatility.
Balfour Beatty plc finances, develops, builds, maintains, and operates infrastructure in the United Kingdom, the United States, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Construction Services, Support Services, Infrastructure Investments. The company constructs buildings, including commercial, healthcare, education, retail, and residential assets; and infrastructure assets comprising highways and railways, as well as other large-scale infrastructure assets, such as waste, water, and energy plants. It also offers a range of services, including design and/or build, mechanical and electrical engineering, shell and core and/or fit-out, and interior refurbishment; support services to various utility assets comprising servicing of power transmission and distribution assets, as well as construction and maintenance of electricity networks, including replacement or new build of overhead lines, underground cabling, cable tunnels, and offshore wind farm maintenance; and maintenance, asset and network management, and design services for highways, railways, and other assets. In addition, the company operates a portfolio of service concession assets comprising roads, healthcare, student accommodation, biomass, and waste and offshore transmission sectors; offers real estate management services, such as property development and asset management services; and develops housing units on land. Balfour Beatty plc was founded in 1909 and is based in London, the United Kingdom.
