TAL Share Price Performance
CA$0.55
-0.16 (-22.54%)
35.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
CA$0.85
Fair Value
Price CA$0.55
Klim CA$0.85
Canderous CA$1.81
Fair ValueCA$0.85
Share Pricen/a
New Narrative • Aug 11
PetroTal Corp. Stock Price
- 2 Narratives written by author
- 1 Comments on narratives written by author
- 106 Fair Values set on narratives written by author
TAL Community Narratives
KL
Fair Value
·Fair Value CA$0.85 35.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
PetroTal: Betting On a Production Recovery
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CA
Fair Value
·Fair Value CA$1.81 69.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
Beyond 2026, Beyond a Double
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PetroTal: Betting On a Production Recovery
PetroTal’s oil output has slid because it stopped drilling, and the big question is whether a new round of wells can turn that drop around. If production rebounds as planned, the company could start throwing off more cash and potentially restart its shareholder payouts—but delays, weaker wells, or lower oil prices could derail the story.Read more
KL
CA$0.85
35.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
Fair Value
For my valuation I am using free cash flow instead of EPS because PetroTal's main issue is whether it can fund its drilling program while still returning cash to shareholders.
My base case assumes production recovers to around 20,000 barrels per day with Brent averaging around US$75.
At that level I estimate PetroTal could generate around US$185 million of annual cash flow before capital spending. Assuming roughly US$100 million of annual capex would leave around US$85 million of free cash flow.
With around 920 million shares outstanding that works out to about US$0.09 of free cash flow per share.
Using a 7x multiple gives a value of around US$0.63 per share or roughly C$0.85 per share.
Because of this I would put my fair value at around C$0.85 per share.
This valuation mainly depends on PetroTal successfully recovering production towards 20,000 barrels per day. If production remains below that level then I would lower my valuation.
Beyond 2026, Beyond a Double
PetroTal looks like a beaten-down oil producer that could bounce back if it keeps output steady and the export routes in Peru stay open. The catch is that local protests, transport bottlenecks, and a weaker oil market could quickly erase profits and leave the shares stuck near asset value.Read more
CA
CA$1.81
69.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
Fair Value
Revenue
7% p.a.
Profit Margin
30%
Future PE
14x
Price in 2031
CA$2.41
Trending Discussion
No trending discussion available.
Recently Updated Narratives
KL
PetroTal: Betting On a Production Recovery
Fair Value: CA$0.85 35.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
2 fair values setusers have set this as their fair value
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CA
PetroTal's Stock is Set to Double by 2028 with Oil Prices at $95 base
Fair Value: CA$1.81 69.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
36 fair values setusers have set this as their fair value
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Snowflake Analysis
PetroTal Corp. Key Details
About TAL
- Founded
- n/a
- Employees
- 234
- CEO
- WebsiteView website
PetroTal Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, appraisal, development, and production of oil and natural gas properties in Peru. Its flagship property is the 100%-owned Bretaña Norte oil field located within Block 95 in the Marañón Basin of northern Peru. The company was formerly known as Sterling Resources Ltd. and changed its name to PetroTal Corp. in June 2018. PetroTal Corp. is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
