Absa Group Toekomstige groei
Future criteriumcontroles 2/6
Absa Group zal naar verwachting groeien in winst en omzet met respectievelijk 12.5% en 10% per jaar. De winst per aandeel zal naar verwachting groeien met 12.7% per jaar. Het rendement op het eigen vermogen zal over 3 jaar naar verwachting 16.6% zijn.
Belangrijke informatie
12.5%
Groei van de winst
12.67%
Groei van de winst per aandeel
| Banks winstgroei | 12.6% |
| Inkomstengroei | 10.0% |
| Toekomstig rendement op eigen vermogen | 16.61% |
| Dekking van analisten | Good |
| Laatst bijgewerkt | 14 May 2026 |
Recente toekomstige groei-updates
Recent updates
Narratiefupdate • Apr 28
ABG: Dividend Strength And Digital Remittances Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have kept Absa Group's fair value estimate broadly unchanged at about ZAR273.25 per share, reflecting only marginal tweaks to assumptions such as the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E. What's in the News Declared a final ordinary dividend of ZAR8.50 per share for the financial period ended 31 December 2025, with the last day to trade cum dividend on 21 April 2026, ex-dividend date on 22 April 2026, record date on 24 April 2026, and payment on 28 April 2026 (Key Developments).Narratiefupdate • Apr 10
ABG: Dividend Outlook And Digital Payments Expansion Will Shape Future Returns
Analysts have slightly raised their Absa Group price target to about ZAR273.25 from ZAR271.91, reflecting updated inputs on the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News Absa Group declared a final ordinary dividend of ZAR8.50 per share for the financial period ended 31 December 2025, with the last day to trade cum dividend on 21 April 2026 and payment scheduled for 28 April 2026 (company announcement).Narratiefupdate • Mar 27
ABG: Dividend Strength And Higher P/E Expectations Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have adjusted their price target for Absa Group to ZAR271.91 from ZAR265.05, reflecting updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margin, and a slightly higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Absa Group declared a final ordinary dividend of 850 cents per share for the financial period ended 31 December 2025, with the last day to trade cum dividend on 21 April 2026 and payment scheduled for 28 April 2026 (Key Developments).Narratiefupdate • Mar 12
ABG: Dividend Momentum And Higher Profitability Assumptions Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have modestly adjusted their fair value price target for Absa Group to ZAR265.05. This reflects updated assumptions around a slightly lower discount rate, marginally higher revenue growth, stronger profit margins and a reduced future P/E multiple.Narratiefupdate • Feb 26
ABG: Larger Domestic Stake And Revised Assumptions Will Support Measured Future Returns
Analysts have nudged their price target on Absa Group higher to ZAR265.05 from ZAR260.61, citing updated fair value estimates and slight adjustments to the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News Public Investment Corporation Limited completed the acquisition of an additional minority stake in Absa Group Limited, taking its holding to 15.32% as of December 10, 2025 (Key Developments).Narratiefupdate • Feb 11
ABG: Larger Domestic Stake Will Support Balanced Revenue Mix And Measured Shareholder Returns
Analysts have nudged their ZAR based price target for Absa Group higher to ZAR260.61 from ZAR259.61, reflecting updated assumptions around fair value, a slightly lower discount rate, and a modestly reduced future P/E multiple. What's in the News Public Investment Corporation Limited increased its minority stake in Absa Group Limited, reaching a 15.32% holding after completing an additional share acquisition on December 10, 2025 (Key Developments).Narratiefupdate • Jan 28
ABG: Larger Domestic Stake Will Support Stable Mix Shift And Measured Shareholder Returns
Analysts have nudged their price target for Absa Group higher by about R9, citing updated assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E as the key drivers of the change. What's in the News Public Investment Corporation Limited completed the purchase of an additional minority stake in Absa Group Limited on December 10, 2025, increasing its holding to 15.32% of the company (Key Developments).Narratiefupdate • Jan 12
ABG: Larger Domestic Stake Will Support Moderate Revenue Mix Shift And Shareholder Returns
Analysts have kept their fair value estimate for Absa Group steady at R250.61 per share. A slightly lower discount rate and a marginally adjusted future P/E assumption help explain the modest refinement in their price target rationale.Narratiefupdate • Dec 24
ABG: Larger Domestic Stake Will Support Future Margins And Measured Shareholder Returns
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Absa Group from R243.84 to approximately R250.61. They cite slightly stronger expected profitability and a marginally higher future valuation multiple, while growth and risk assumptions remain largely unchanged.Narratiefupdate • Dec 10
ABG: Larger Domestic Stake Will Support Margins And Measured Shareholder Returns
Analysts have raised their price target for Absa Group to R243.84 from R235.28, citing slightly stronger projected revenue growth, modestly higher expected profit margins and a small uplift in future valuation multiples. What's in the News Public Investment Corporation Limited completed the acquisition of an additional minority stake in Absa Group Limited on December 10, 2025, increasing its shareholding to 15.32 percent (Key Developments) The larger strategic stake held by Public Investment Corporation Limited is expected to strengthen Absa Group's local institutional shareholder base and potentially enhance long term governance stability (Key Developments) Market observers note that the heightened ownership by a major domestic investor may influence Absa Group's capital allocation priorities and future engagement with regulators and policymakers (Key Developments) Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate increased slightly from ZAR 235.28 to ZAR 243.84 per share, reflecting a modestly higher intrinsic valuation.Narratiefupdate • Nov 26
ABG: Sustained Profit Margin Improvement Will Drive Shareholder Value Into September
Narrative Update on Absa Group Analysts have raised their price target for Absa Group to R235.28 from R227.82. They cite sustained improvements in profit margin and a stable discount rate as key drivers behind the upward revision.Narratiefupdate • Nov 12
ABG: Dividend Announcement Will Drive Greater Shareholder Value Into September
Narrative Update: Absa Group Price Target Adjustment Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Absa Group from R224.19 to R227.82. This change is attributed to incremental improvements in growth assumptions and a slightly lower discount rate.Narratiefupdate • Sep 04
Pan-African Integration And Digital Transformation Will Unlock Potential
With both the Future P/E ratio and Consensus Revenue Growth forecasts for Absa Group holding steady, the analyst price target likewise remains unchanged at ZAR224.19. What's in the News Absa Group declared an interim ordinary dividend of 785 cents per share for the period ended 30 June 2025, payable on 15 September 2025.Analyseartikel • Aug 21
Absa Group's (JSE:ABG) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year
The board of Absa Group Limited ( JSE:ABG ) has announced that it will be paying its dividend of ZAR7.85 on the 15th of...
Nieuw narratief • Feb 09
Expansion Into African Markets And Digital Initiatives Will Boost Future Performance
Expansion into African markets and digital channels is set to drive capital-light revenue growth, enhancing profitability and shareholder value.Winst- en omzetgroeiprognoses
| Datum | Inkomsten | Inkomsten | Vrije kasstroom | Geldmiddelen uit operationele activiteiten | Gem. Aantal analisten |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 140,165 | 32,598 | N/A | N/A | 5 |
| 12/31/2027 | 131,390 | 30,258 | N/A | N/A | 6 |
| 12/31/2026 | 122,779 | 27,201 | N/A | N/A | 6 |
| 12/31/2025 | 102,195 | 22,214 | -96,411 | -89,351 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 100,823 | 22,569 | -122,871 | -115,271 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 99,450 | 22,923 | -148,825 | -140,685 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 97,540 | 22,230 | -123,708 | -115,230 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 95,629 | 21,537 | -99,098 | -90,282 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 93,248 | 20,241 | -119,081 | -109,375 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 90,867 | 18,944 | -139,065 | -128,468 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 89,987 | 19,418 | -102,427 | -93,559 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 89,107 | 19,891 | -65,790 | -58,651 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 87,278 | 20,282 | -44,634 | -39,265 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 85,449 | 20,672 | -23,479 | -19,879 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 84,239 | 20,469 | -35,596 | -30,854 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 83,028 | 20,265 | -47,714 | -41,829 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 82,530 | 20,126 | -68,045 | -62,643 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 82,032 | 19,986 | -88,376 | -83,458 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 79,687 | 18,875 | -97,697 | -93,032 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 77,342 | 17,763 | -107,018 | -102,607 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 74,651 | 15,660 | -111,579 | -107,446 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 71,863 | 13,557 | -116,115 | -112,260 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 66,446 | 9,719 | -112,163 | -107,791 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 61,029 | 5,880 | -108,211 | -103,322 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 61,779 | 6,490 | 11,159 | 10,556 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 62,529 | 7,100 | 16,149 | 15,778 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 67,411 | 10,678 | 14,929 | 14,744 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 72,292 | 14,256 | 13,709 | 13,709 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 71,852 | 14,281 | N/A | 15,641 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 71,411 | 14,305 | N/A | 17,572 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 70,782 | 14,111 | N/A | 15,728 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 70,153 | 13,917 | N/A | 13,884 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 69,060 | 13,818 | N/A | 5,402 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 67,966 | 13,718 | N/A | -3,081 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 67,117 | 13,803 | N/A | -1,807 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 66,268 | 13,888 | N/A | -534 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 65,548 | 14,500 | N/A | 5,448 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 64,828 | 15,112 | N/A | 11,429 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 64,173 | 14,910 | N/A | 13,242 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 63,517 | 14,708 | N/A | 15,054 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 63,039 | 14,644 | N/A | -15,124 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 62,560 | 14,580 | N/A | -45,302 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 61,402 | 14,456 | N/A | -46,064 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 60,243 | 14,331 | N/A | -46,827 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 59,410 | 14,076 | N/A | -22,879 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 58,577 | 13,820 | N/A | 1,069 | N/A |
Toekomstige groeivoorspellingen analisten
Verdiensten versus spaarpercentage: De verwachte winstgroei ABG ( 12.5% per jaar) ligt boven de spaarquote ( 9.8% ).
Winst versus markt: De winst van ABG ( 12.5% per jaar) zal naar verwachting langzamer groeien dan de markt ZA ( 15.8% per jaar).
Hoge groeiwinsten: De winst van ABG zal naar verwachting groeien, maar niet aanzienlijk.
Omzet versus markt: De omzet van ABG ( 10% per jaar) zal naar verwachting sneller groeien dan de markt ZA ( 6.9% per jaar).
Hoge groei-inkomsten: De omzet van ABG ( 10% per jaar) zal naar verwachting langzamer groeien dan 20% per jaar.
Groeiprognoses winst per aandeel
Toekomstig rendement op eigen vermogen
Toekomstige ROE: Het rendement op eigen vermogen ABG zal naar verwachting over 3 jaar laag zijn ( 16.6 %).
Ontdek groeibedrijven
Bedrijfsanalyse en status van financiële gegevens
| Gegevens | Laatst bijgewerkt (UTC-tijd) |
|---|---|
| Bedrijfsanalyse | 2026/05/23 12:56 |
| Aandelenkoers aan het einde van de dag | 2026/05/22 00:00 |
| Inkomsten | 2025/12/31 |
| Jaarlijkse inkomsten | 2025/12/31 |
Gegevensbronnen
De gegevens die gebruikt zijn in onze bedrijfsanalyse zijn afkomstig van S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. De volgende gegevens worden gebruikt in ons analysemodel om dit rapport te genereren. De gegevens zijn genormaliseerd, waardoor er een vertraging kan optreden voordat de bron beschikbaar is.
| Pakket | Gegevens | Tijdframe | Voorbeeld Amerikaanse bron * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Financiële gegevens bedrijf | 10 jaar |
| |
| Consensus schattingen analisten | +3 jaar |
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| Marktprijzen | 30 jaar |
| |
| Eigendom | 10 jaar |
| |
| Beheer | 10 jaar |
| |
| Belangrijkste ontwikkelingen | 10 jaar |
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* Voorbeeld voor effecten uit de VS, voor niet-Amerikaanse effecten worden gelijkwaardige formulieren en bronnen gebruikt.
Tenzij anders vermeld zijn alle financiële gegevens gebaseerd op een jaarperiode, maar worden ze elk kwartaal bijgewerkt. Dit staat bekend als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) of Last Twelve Month (LTM) gegevens. Meer informatie.
Analysemodel en Snowflake
Details van het analysemodel dat is gebruikt om dit rapport te genereren zijn beschikbaar op onze Github-pagina. We hebben ook handleidingen over hoe je onze rapporten kunt gebruiken en tutorials op YouTube.
Leer meer over het team van wereldklasse dat het Simply Wall St-analysemodel heeft ontworpen en gebouwd.
Industrie en sector
Onze industrie- en sectormetrics worden elke 6 uur berekend door Simply Wall St, details van ons proces zijn beschikbaar op Github.
Bronnen van analisten
Absa Group Limited wordt gevolgd door 16 analisten. 7 van deze analisten hebben de schattingen van de omzet of winst ingediend die zijn gebruikt als input voor ons rapport. Inzendingen van analisten worden de hele dag door bijgewerkt.
| Analist | Instelling |
|---|---|
| Ilan Stermer | Anchor Stockbrokers Proprietary Limited |
| Jaap Meijer | Arqaam Capital Research Offshore S.A.L. |
| Adrienne Damant | Avior Capital Markets |