Dropbox, Inc.

NasdaqGS:DBX Voorraadrapport

Marktkapitalisatie: US$6.0b

Dropbox Inkomsten in het verleden

Verleden criteriumcontroles 3/6

Dropbox is de winst gegroeid met een gemiddeld jaarlijks percentage van 25.7%, terwijl de Software industrie de winst jaarlijks groeide met 22.1%. De inkomsten zijn gegroeid met een gemiddelde van 4.7% per jaar.

Belangrijke informatie

25.70%

Groei van de winst

30.58%

Groei van de winst per aandeel

Software Groei van de industrie17.33%
Inkomstengroei4.70%
Rendement op eigen vermogenn/a
Nettomarge18.71%
Laatste winstupdate31 Mar 2026

Recente prestatie-updates uit het verleden

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • May 11

Dropbox: Paid User Stabilization And FCF Boost Are Encouraging (Rating Upgrade)

Summary Dropbox earns a rating upgrade to neutral as Q1 results show stabilization and improved cash flow guidance. DBX now trades at just 6.0x FY26 EV/FCF, offering a compelling ~17% FCF yield with limited dilution. While growth remains choppy and competitive risks persist, the company's durable cash flows and AI resistance support valuation. Management lifted FY26 guidance, with revenue decline narrowing to -0.9% to -0.4% and FCF guidance raised to $1.055+ billion. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narratiefupdate • Apr 23

DBX: Future Earnings Will Depend On Core Resilience And Ongoing Buybacks

Analysts have trimmed Dropbox's implied price target to about $25.50, reflecting a modest adjustment to valuation assumptions as Street research cites mixed recent results, slower growth trends into 2026, and the need for clearer traction from newer products such as Dash. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Dropbox reflects a more cautious stance, with several firms lowering price targets and adjusting ratings as they reassess growth, execution on new products like Dash, and how much investors are willing to pay for the story.
Narratiefupdate • Apr 09

DBX: Future Earnings Profile Will Rely On Core Stability And Capital Returns

Analysts have trimmed their average price targets on Dropbox to a range centered around $25 to $27. This reflects ongoing concerns about growth challenges, mixed recent results, and the need for clearer traction from products like Dash before considering a more constructive stance.
Narratiefupdate • Mar 26

DBX: Execution And Buybacks Will Shape Future Earnings Multiple Constraints

For Dropbox, the analyst price target in this framework increases from $20.00 to $21.00 as analysts factor in recent target cuts from Citi, UBS, RBC Capital, and JPMorgan, along with updated assumptions for growth, profitability, and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Dropbox reflects a cautious tone, with several bearish analysts trimming price targets and one downgrade in coverage.
Narratiefupdate • Mar 11

DBX: Future Earnings Profile Will Depend On Core Stability And New Product Execution

Our updated narrative trims the analyst price target for Dropbox from $28.57 to $25.50, reflecting a series of recent target cuts from $30 to $27, $27 to $23, $35 to $30, and $29 to $25 as analysts point to ongoing growth challenges, mixed results, and limited evidence of traction from newer products like Dash. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a more cautious stance on Dropbox, with several firms trimming their price targets and emphasizing execution on growth initiatives and new products like Dash as key swing factors for valuation.
Narratiefupdate • Feb 25

DBX: Buybacks And AI Investment Will Support Higher Future Pricing

The analyst price target for Dropbox has been reduced from $35 to $30 as analysts factor in mixed recent results, ongoing growth challenges, and questions around the pace of adoption and monetization for new products like Dash. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Dropbox reflects a cautious stance overall, but there are still some constructive signals for investors who are focused on execution and valuation.
Narratiefupdate • Feb 11

DBX: Execution And Competitive Pressures Will Constrain Future Earnings Multiple

Analysts kept their $20.00 fair value estimate for Dropbox steady while slightly adjusting assumptions around discount rate, revenue growth, margins and future P/E to reflect updated views on the risk profile and earnings power, without changing the overall valuation anchor. Analyst Commentary While the fair value estimate for Dropbox remains unchanged at $20.00, some elements of Street research highlight risks that readers should keep in mind when thinking about valuation and execution.
Narratiefupdate • Jan 26

DBX: Q3 Margin Strength And Guidance Shifts Will Shape Fair Value Outlook

Analysts have inched their fair value estimate for Dropbox higher to $28.57 from $28.13, reflecting updated assumptions around a slightly higher discount rate, a modest decline in expected revenue growth, a marginally stronger profit margin, and a lower future P/E multiple in light of recent research that includes RBC Capital's price target move to $38 after what it called decent Q3 results. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Dropbox has focused on how the latest quarterly results line up against expectations and what that might mean for valuation.
Narratiefupdate • Jan 11

DBX: Q3 Outperformance And Buybacks Will Support Higher Future Pricing

Analysts raised their fair value estimate for Dropbox to US$35 from US$32, citing the recent price target increase from US$35 to US$38 at RBC Capital and research that highlights stronger than expected Q3 revenue, billings, and operating margins, despite slightly softer annual recurring revenue. Analyst Commentary For Dropbox, bullish analysts are pointing to the recent price target increase to US$38 as a sign of confidence in how the company is executing against expectations.
Narratiefupdate • Dec 13

DBX: Rising Execution Risks Will Pressure Long Term Earnings Multiple

Analysts have modestly reduced their fair value estimate for Dropbox from $23.00 to $20.00 per share, reflecting a higher assumed discount rate, while also acknowledging slightly better long term margin prospects and a lower future earnings multiple. Analyst Commentary While recent earnings have demonstrated resilient profitability and solid execution, bearish analysts continue to flag a disconnect between Dropbox's share price and its long term fundamental outlook.
Seeking Alpha • Mar 21

Dropbox: Losing Customers, Market Share, And Revenue

Summary Dropbox has faced near-zero growth and a stiff decline, struggling to compete with rivals like Box, which shows better growth rates. Despite a 10% gain over the past year, Dropbox's poor Q4 earnings and bleak FY25 outlook signal continued customer loss and revenue decline. Dropbox's subsidiary FormSwift is underperforming, and the company's AI product, Dropbox Dash, lacks compelling differentiation, worsening its competitive stance. Despite a cheap FCF multiple under 10x, given Dropbox's poor outlook and lack of growth prospects, it's advisable to steer clear and invest elsewhere. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 26

Dropbox: I Expect Further Downside

Summary Dropbox shares are down around 15% since reporting Q4'24, guiding for revenue and user decline in 2025. The core business looks to be deteriorating with a vulnerable 80% gross margin and increased competition from other cloud storage providers. Dropbox Dash, the company's pivot to universal search, is so far not generating revenue and the product will likely face competition from other AI and big tech alternatives. I previously rated shares a sell at around $31, but I expect more downside from here. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 18

Dropbox: Low Growth, Fair Valuation And Competition Risks

Summary Dropbox operates in a competitive market, showing strong features but limited EPS growth, leading to a "hold" rating. The company enhances governance and collaboration, reduces capex, and uses gen AI for productivity. Financially, Dropbox has better gross margins than Box but lags in revenue growth and efficiency, issuing significant debt for buybacks. Workforce restructuring and improved data governance in Dash AI present opportunities, but low growth and competition pose risks. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 29

Dropbox: Terminal Value Component Remains An Enduring Question Mark

Summary Dropbox's attractive financials are overshadowed by concerns about terminal value risk, leading to market discounting and heightened stock volatility. Management's continued R&D spending despite stagnant growth raises questions, highlighted by a frustrating earnings call comparison to Netflix's evolution. Dropbox's efforts like Paper, Spaces, and Dash reflect survivorship bias, with many initiatives failing to reignite growth. We anticipated more aggressive acquisitions, but recent moves seem tangential, prompting us to step back and reconsider our investment stance. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 27

Dropbox: Redundant With No Credible Pivots

Summary Dropbox is priced as a premium service but offers little more than its competitors. Growth in paying users has come to almost a halt, and canceling subscribers are unlikely to return. DBX's model was made for a different age. Today, users increasingly expect cloud storage to be free or as a benefit of signing up to a big tech ecosystem. Shares traded down to around $20 this year after DBX reported a decline in paying users in Q4'23 and guided below street expectations. Since then, shares have, in my opinion, unjustifiably rallied back to around $30. My outlook for Dropbox suggests shares should be valued at around $16 presenting a significant downside. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Nov 12

Dropbox: This Situation Is A Falling Knife

Summary Dropbox's user growth has nearly halted, with revenue growth sliding to low single digits and customer acquisition faltering, signaling more downside ahead. Dropbox faces stiff competition from Box and Google Drive, leading to an existential crisis and a major slowdown in user acquisition. Despite large free cash flows, Dropbox maintains a net debt position and lowered its cash flow guidance, pushing it further from its $1 billion FCF goal. AI features haven't boosted Dropbox's top-line growth, and increased churn rates question the stickiness and value of its subscription revenue base. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Oct 03

Dropbox: Business Has A Poor Competitive Position

Summary My recommendation for Dropbox is a hold rating due to its structurally disadvantaged position against larger competitors like OneDrive and Google Drive. Despite its competitive challenges, DBX remains a cash-generative business, with management actively returning capital to shareholders through buybacks and exploring ways to improve its FCF profile. DBX is not able to compete effectively, especially in a challenging macro environment. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Sep 02

Dropbox: A Buyout Might Save This From The Stall Warning (Technical Analysis)

Summary Lyn Alden is neutral on Dropbox, citing stalled revenue growth but noting it's priced cheaply and could be an acquisition target. Our methodology focuses on human behavioral patterns in price structures, differing from traditional technical analysis. Current Dropbox chart analysis suggests a bearish scenario, with potential downside plays and risk defined by recent highs. Embrace our unique approach to market analysis for reliable guidance and risk management in trading and investing. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
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Nieuw narratief • Aug 27

Expanding Into AI With Dash Could Spur Growth Amidst Team Segment Struggles And Margin Pressures

Enhanced features like AI-enabled Dash and FSS encryption aim to boost revenue by attracting new users and retaining existing ones.
Seeking Alpha • Aug 12

After Earnings Beat, Dropbox Growth Is Worth Keeping An Eye On

Summary Dropbox has seen slowing growth, but beat earnings estimates last week and reported 18.22 million paying users. The company offers various premium services related to data storage and sharing, investing in AI technology for a competitive advantage. Dropbox's balance sheet shows negative shareholder equity, but manageable debt with potential for growth if user conversion to paid services continues. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jun 06

Dropbox: The Growth Engine Has Sputtered (Rating Downgrade)

Summary Dropbox's stock has dropped over 20% this year, with slowing growth and disappointing Q1 results. The company cited conversion issues at the top of its funnel, stemming from its decision to focus on middle-priced SKU tiers. Q1 revenue growth not only decelerated sharply and declined sequentially from Q4, but also lagged several points behind rival Box's growth rate. The only positive offsets for Dropbox are a rich operating margin (~37%) and a cheap FCF multiple, but growth issues will likely keep the stock from re-rating to a normalized multiple. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • May 07

Dropbox: Attractive Forward Returns With Upside

Summary Dropbox has nearly reached its $1 billion free cash flow target for 2024, demonstrating its resilience and future prospects. The company's consistent recurring revenue and robust cash flow generation make it a great candidate for a private equity style take-out. Dropbox's strength lies in its impressive user retention and "stickiness" factor, giving it an edge over competitors. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Apr 02

Dropbox: Revenue Growth May Come Under Pressure (Rating Downgrade)

Summary Dropbox is facing challenges with slowing product adoption and a skewed customer mix, which may put pressure on its revenue growth. The company's financial prudence and margin improvement efforts are commendable, but it fell short of its free cash target in FY23. Dropbox's valuation suggests it is trading in the fair value range, leading to a neutral stance on the stock. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Opbrengsten en kosten

Hoe Dropbox geld verdient en uitgeeft. Gebaseerd op laatst gerapporteerde winst, op LTM-basis.

Inkomsten en omzetgeschiedenis

NasdaqGS:DBX Opbrengsten, kosten en inkomsten (USD Millions )
DatumInkomstenInkomstenG+A UitgavenR&D-uitgaven
31 Mar 262,526473598736
31 Dec 252,521508599730
30 Sep 252,528503618758
30 Jun 252,533485642801
31 Mar 252,542470670845
31 Dec 242,548452687885
30 Sep 242,540577691894
30 Jun 242,534584683884
31 Mar 242,522517682893
31 Dec 232,502454695909
30 Sep 232,465555675925
30 Jun 232,423524670937
31 Mar 232,374543657916
31 Dec 222,325553632892
30 Sep 222,292350634855
30 Jun 222,251342647815
31 Mar 222,209368640786
31 Dec 212,158336651756
30 Sep 212,097-135657731
30 Jun 212,034-177655727
31 Mar 211,971-248667727
31 Dec 201,914-256651728
30 Sep 201,85683651728
30 Jun 201,79733650717
31 Mar 201,731-6654694
31 Dec 191,661-53669662
30 Sep 191,591-56654622
30 Jun 191,523-44630582
31 Mar 191,461-27597540
31 Dec 181,392-485723768
30 Sep 181,321-513713735
30 Jun 181,248-521682699
31 Mar 181,175-544656670
31 Dec 171,107-112471380
30 Sep 171,039-103419350
30 Jun 17974-132393328
31 Mar 17900-174369309
31 Dec 16845-210358290
31 Dec 15604-326301202

Kwaliteitswinsten: DBX heeft hoge kwaliteitsinkomsten.

Groeiende winstmarge: De huidige netto winstmarges (18.7%) DBX } zijn hoger dan vorig jaar (18.5%).

Analyse vrije kasstroom versus winst

Analyse van de winstgroei in het verleden

Winsttrend: DBX is de afgelopen 5 jaar winstgevend geworden en heeft de winst met 25.7% per jaar laten groeien.

Versnelling van de groei: De winstgroei van DBX over het afgelopen jaar ( 0.5% ) ligt onder het 5-jarig gemiddelde ( 25.7% per jaar).

Winst versus industrie: De winstgroei DBX over het afgelopen jaar ( 0.5% ) overtrof de Software -sector 14.3%.

Rendement op eigen vermogen

Hoge ROE: De schulden van DBX zijn groter dan de activa, dus het is lastig om het rendement op het eigen vermogen te berekenen.

Rendement op activa

Rendement op geïnvesteerd vermogen

Ontdek sterk presterende bedrijven uit het verleden

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Bedrijfsanalyse en status van financiële gegevens

GegevensLaatst bijgewerkt (UTC-tijd)
Bedrijfsanalyse2026/05/13 04:42
Aandelenkoers aan het einde van de dag2026/05/13 00:00
Inkomsten2026/03/31
Jaarlijkse inkomsten2025/12/31

Gegevensbronnen

De gegevens die gebruikt zijn in onze bedrijfsanalyse zijn afkomstig van S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. De volgende gegevens worden gebruikt in ons analysemodel om dit rapport te genereren. De gegevens zijn genormaliseerd, waardoor er een vertraging kan optreden voordat de bron beschikbaar is.

PakketGegevensTijdframeVoorbeeld Amerikaanse bron *
Financiële gegevens bedrijf10 jaar
  • Resultatenrekening
  • Kasstroomoverzicht
  • Balans
Consensus schattingen analisten+3 jaar
  • Financiële prognoses
  • Koersdoelen analisten
Marktprijzen30 jaar
  • Aandelenprijzen
  • Dividenden, splitsingen en acties
Eigendom10 jaar
  • Top aandeelhouders
  • Handel met voorkennis
Beheer10 jaar
  • Leiderschapsteam
  • Raad van bestuur
Belangrijkste ontwikkelingen10 jaar
  • Bedrijfsaankondigingen

* Voorbeeld voor effecten uit de VS, voor niet-Amerikaanse effecten worden gelijkwaardige formulieren en bronnen gebruikt.

Tenzij anders vermeld zijn alle financiële gegevens gebaseerd op een jaarperiode, maar worden ze elk kwartaal bijgewerkt. Dit staat bekend als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) of Last Twelve Month (LTM) gegevens. Meer informatie.

Analysemodel en Snowflake

Details van het analysemodel dat is gebruikt om dit rapport te genereren zijn beschikbaar op onze Github-pagina. We hebben ook handleidingen over hoe je onze rapporten kunt gebruiken en tutorials op YouTube.

Leer meer over het team van wereldklasse dat het Simply Wall St-analysemodel heeft ontworpen en gebouwd.

Industrie en sector

Onze industrie- en sectormetrics worden elke 6 uur berekend door Simply Wall St, details van ons proces zijn beschikbaar op Github.

Bronnen van analisten

Dropbox, Inc. wordt gevolgd door 21 analisten. 7 van deze analisten hebben de schattingen van de omzet of winst ingediend die zijn gebruikt als input voor ons rapport. Inzendingen van analisten worden de hele dag door bijgewerkt.

AnalistInstelling
Edward MagiBerenberg
Zane ChraneBernstein
Matthew BullockBofA Global Research