AvalonBay Communities Toekomstige groei
Future criteriumcontroles 0/6
De winst van AvalonBay Communities zal naar verwachting dalen met 10.7% per jaar, terwijl de jaarlijkse omzet naar verwachting zal groeien met 4.8% per jaar. De winst per aandeel zal naar verwachting dalen met 8.8% per jaar. Het rendement op het eigen vermogen zal over 3 jaar naar verwachting 7% zijn.
Belangrijke informatie
-10.7%
Groei van de winst
-8.79%
Groei van de winst per aandeel
| Residential REITs winstgroei | -2.8% |
| Inkomstengroei | 4.8% |
| Toekomstig rendement op eigen vermogen | 6.96% |
| Dekking van analisten | Good |
| Laatst bijgewerkt | 29 Apr 2026 |
Recente toekomstige groei-updates
Recent updates
AvalonBay Communities Is Capitalizing On Valuation Gaps
Apr 30
AVB: 2026 Buybacks And Dividend Increases Will Support Leasing Recovery Potential
Narrative Update on AvalonBay Communities The analyst price target for AvalonBay Communities has shifted modestly lower, with the updated fair value moving from about $194.35 to $193.55 as analysts adjust models for near term earnings, sector wide residential REIT estimate changes, and softer occupancy commentary across U.S. multifamily markets. Analyst Commentary Recent research around AvalonBay Communities highlights a mix of caution on near term fundamentals and continued support for the longer term apartment REIT thesis.AVB: 2026 Coastal Apartments And Buybacks Will Support Q4 Leasing Recovery Potential
The updated analyst price target for AvalonBay Communities edges slightly lower to $194.35 from $195.05, as analysts factor in revised Q4 earnings and 2026 guidance assumptions, modestly higher discount rates, and sector wide adjustments to multifamily REIT estimates. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on AvalonBay Communities clusters around updated models for Q4 results and 2026 guidance, with several firms adjusting price targets and ratings as they refresh sector views on multifamily REITs. Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts maintaining Overweight views see room for value in apartments relative to other REIT categories, citing apartments, storage, and single family rentals as areas with stronger perceived upside into 2026 compared with segments such as cold storage and retail.AVB: 2026 Coastal Apartments And Buybacks Will Support Renewed Sector Upside
AvalonBay Communities' analyst fair value estimate has been nudged lower by about $1 to $195, as analysts factor in more moderate revenue growth, slightly higher discount rates, and broadly reduced sector price targets despite some upward revisions from a few firms. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on AvalonBay Communities shows a split picture.AVB: 2026 Coastal Apartments And Buybacks May Support Renewed Sector Upside
AvalonBay Communities' analyst price targets have edged slightly lower, with our fair value estimate easing by about $2 to $196, as analysts trim growth and margin expectations and reset sector assumptions for U.S. multifamily REITs. Analyst Commentary Street research on AvalonBay Communities has recently centered on recalibrating price targets and expectations for the wider U.S. multifamily REIT sector, rather than on company specific surprises. Targets have generally shifted within a relatively tight band around the high US$190s, reflecting a mix of cautious and constructive views on valuation, execution, and sector level growth drivers.AVB: 2026 Coastal Apartments And Buybacks May Support Measured Upside
The updated analyst price target for AvalonBay Communities has shifted modestly as mixed recent revisions, including several cuts of $2 to $7 alongside a smaller $1 increase, reflect analysts balancing slightly adjusted growth and margin assumptions with sector-wide views on apartments and broader REITs. Analyst Commentary Recent research on AvalonBay Communities points to a split view, with some analysts nudging targets higher and others trimming them. They are reassessing apartment REIT valuations, the 2026 outlook, and relative positioning versus other property types.AVB: 2026 Coastal Apartments And Capital Returns May Support Measured Upside
The updated analyst price target for AvalonBay Communities reflects a modest adjustment of about $1, as analysts balance mixed target moves across firms along with revised assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, margins, and future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows a split view on AvalonBay Communities, with some firms nudging price targets higher and others trimming them.AVB: Share Repurchases Will Support 2026 Coastal Apartment Turnaround Potential
Analysts have edged their blended price target for AvalonBay Communities slightly lower to about US$200 from roughly US$203, citing more cautious assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, margins, and future P/E multiples following a series of modest target trims across recent REIT sector reviews. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows a mix of bullish and bearish views on AvalonBay Communities, with adjustments to price targets reflecting shifting expectations around fundamentals into 2026.AVB: Share Repurchases And 2026 REIT Turnaround Expectations Will Support Returns
Analysts have trimmed their price targets on AvalonBay Communities by a few dollars, with recent cuts to about $190 to $197 reflecting softer leasing trends and higher operating expenses, even as they continue to highlight the potential for REITs to benefit from improving macro conditions into 2026. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on AvalonBay Communities point to a mixed setup, with modestly lower price targets clustered around the low to high $190s and a consistent message of Neutral or similar ratings.AVB: Share Repurchases Will Support Returns As Leasing Headwinds Eventually Ease
AvalonBay Communities' analyst price target has inched lower by approximately $0.40 to about $203.40, as analysts weigh faster than expected leasing spread deterioration, softer apartment fundamentals into 2026, and mixed operating expense performance against still constructive long term residential REIT trends. Analyst Commentary Analysts remain divided on AvalonBay Communities, balancing near term operational softness against a still constructive longer term outlook for residential REITs. Recent price target changes reflect this push and pull between execution risk and valuation support.AVB: Share Repurchase Program Will Support Returns Despite Softer Leasing Spreads
AvalonBay Communities' analyst price target has been nudged lower to about $204 from roughly $206, as analysts factor in faster than expected leasing spread deterioration, softer apartment fundamentals into 2026, modestly weaker margin and growth assumptions, and a slightly higher future earnings multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a mixed but slightly more cautious stance on AvalonBay Communities, with pricing targets shifting both higher and lower as analysts recalibrate expectations for earnings growth and operating performance into 2026.AVB: Share Repurchase Program Will Drive Returns Amid Sector Headwinds
AvalonBay Communities' analyst price target has decreased by approximately $3.31 to $205.88, as analysts cite weaker-than-anticipated leasing spreads, rising operating expenses, and ongoing headwinds for the multifamily REIT sector. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst updates reflect a mix of cautious and optimistic sentiment surrounding AvalonBay Communities, with price targets both reduced and slightly raised in light of earnings performance and projected sector dynamics.AVB: Upcoming $2.9 Billion Development Pipeline Will Drive Future Upside
AvalonBay Communities' analyst price target has been revised downward from $216.48 to $209.19. Analysts point to weakening leasing spreads, higher operating expenses, and tempered earnings outlooks amid challenging sector fundamentals.Upper-Tier Apartment Developments Will Shape Returns Amid Sector Rotation Risks
AvalonBay Communities’ analyst price target saw a slight decrease of $0.95 to $216.48 as analysts weighed recent upgrades and downgrades, along with updated earnings growth expectations and ongoing development activity. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst activity for AvalonBay Communities has shown a range of perspectives, reflecting both optimism and caution regarding the company's outlook and market performance.Undersupplied US Apartments Will Prosper Despite Regulatory And Market Risks
AvalonBay Communities' analyst price target has been modestly reduced from $219.65 to $217.43 per share. This change reflects analysts' tempered expectations for profit margins and revenue growth following recent sector reviews.Undersupplied US Apartments Will Prosper Despite Regulatory And Market Risks
Analysts maintain a positive outlook on AvalonBay’s robust growth pipeline, favorable market positioning, and prospective sector rotation benefits, but given valuation now aligns with peers after recent underperformance, the consensus price target remains unchanged at $219.65. Analyst Commentary Increased confidence in AvalonBay’s “best in class” earnings growth, supported by a significant $2.9B development pipeline expected to contribute meaningfully to future results.AvalonBay Communities: A Good Portfolio Anchor For A Turbulent Market
Apr 28AvalonBay Communities: Buy And Sleep Tight
Feb 09AvalonBay Stock: 6 Reasons Why I'm Skeptical Of The Price
Nov 22AvalonBay: Balanced Hold Despite Potential Cap Rate Reductions
Sep 24AvalonBay: Limited Upside And Overvalued
Sep 04AvalonBay: No Margin Of Safety At The Current Price
Jun 28AvalonBay: Encouraging Rent Trends Make Shares Attractive
May 02AvalonBay Communities: The Sunbelt Region Has A New Player In Town
Apr 10Winst- en omzetgroeiprognoses
| Datum | Inkomsten | Inkomsten | Vrije kasstroom | Geldmiddelen uit operationele activiteiten | Gem. Aantal analisten |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 3,531 | 787 | N/A | N/A | 2 |
| 12/31/2027 | 3,240 | 727 | N/A | N/A | 12 |
| 12/31/2026 | 3,109 | 708 | N/A | N/A | 9 |
| 3/31/2026 | 3,065 | 1,138 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 3,041 | 1,049 | 1,668 | 1,671 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 3,066 | 1,166 | 1,597 | 1,599 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 3,033 | 1,158 | 1,605 | 1,609 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 2,989 | 1,143 | 1,607 | 1,611 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 2,913 | 1,080 | 1,603 | 1,608 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 2,879 | 1,040 | 1,615 | 1,625 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 2,844 | 840 | 1,597 | 1,610 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 2,822 | 954 | 1,560 | 1,577 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 2,776 | 927 | 1,541 | 1,560 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 2,713 | 926 | 1,533 | 1,555 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 2,723 | 1,249 | 1,508 | 1,524 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 2,674 | 1,020 | 1,459 | 1,474 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 2,609 | 1,135 | 1,408 | 1,422 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 2,554 | 1,228 | 1,360 | 1,372 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 2,432 | 813 | 1,261 | 1,275 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 2,374 | 1,122 | 1,206 | 1,217 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 2,333 | 1,002 | 1,193 | 1,203 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 2,275 | 1,008 | 1,161 | 1,169 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 2,261 | 1,077 | 1,143 | 1,159 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 2,249 | 800 | 1,188 | 1,208 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 2,303 | 826 | 1,191 | 1,220 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 2,348 | 653 | 1,243 | 1,269 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 2,365 | 784 | 1,297 | 1,313 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 2,366 | 782 | 1,286 | 1,302 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 2,327 | 784 | N/A | 1,322 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 2,313 | 1,001 | N/A | 1,335 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 2,300 | 914 | N/A | 1,314 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 2,292 | 1,000 | N/A | 1,347 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 2,289 | 972 | N/A | 1,301 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 2,266 | 824 | N/A | 1,303 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 2,260 | 870 | N/A | 1,306 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 2,221 | 780 | N/A | 1,272 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 2,189 | 874 | N/A | 1,256 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 2,104 | 879 | N/A | 1,233 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 2,048 | 997 | N/A | 1,183 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 2,046 | 1,029 | N/A | 1,182 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 2,052 | 1,031 | N/A | 1,160 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 2,033 | 945 | N/A | 1,123 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 2,013 | 795 | N/A | 1,118 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 1,964 | 770 | N/A | 1,098 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 1,895 | 740 | N/A | 1,075 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 1,815 | 727 | N/A | 1,039 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 1,880 | 762 | N/A | 969 | N/A |
Toekomstige groeivoorspellingen analisten
Verdiensten versus spaarpercentage: De winst van AVB zal naar verwachting de komende 3 jaar dalen ( -10.7% per jaar).
Winst versus markt: De winst van AVB zal naar verwachting de komende 3 jaar dalen ( -10.7% per jaar).
Hoge groeiwinsten: De winst van AVB zal naar verwachting de komende 3 jaar dalen.
Omzet versus markt: De omzet van AVB ( 4.8% per jaar) zal naar verwachting langzamer groeien dan de markt US ( 11% per jaar).
Hoge groei-inkomsten: De omzet van AVB ( 4.8% per jaar) zal naar verwachting langzamer groeien dan 20% per jaar.
Groeiprognoses winst per aandeel
Toekomstig rendement op eigen vermogen
Toekomstige ROE: Het rendement op eigen vermogen AVB zal naar verwachting over 3 jaar laag zijn ( 7 %).
Ontdek groeibedrijven
Bedrijfsanalyse en status van financiële gegevens
| Gegevens | Laatst bijgewerkt (UTC-tijd) |
|---|---|
| Bedrijfsanalyse | 2026/04/30 11:52 |
| Aandelenkoers aan het einde van de dag | 2026/04/30 00:00 |
| Inkomsten | 2026/03/31 |
| Jaarlijkse inkomsten | 2025/12/31 |
Gegevensbronnen
De gegevens die gebruikt zijn in onze bedrijfsanalyse zijn afkomstig van S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. De volgende gegevens worden gebruikt in ons analysemodel om dit rapport te genereren. De gegevens zijn genormaliseerd, waardoor er een vertraging kan optreden voordat de bron beschikbaar is.
| Pakket | Gegevens | Tijdframe | Voorbeeld Amerikaanse bron * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Financiële gegevens bedrijf | 10 jaar |
| |
| Consensus schattingen analisten | +3 jaar |
|
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| Marktprijzen | 30 jaar |
| |
| Eigendom | 10 jaar |
| |
| Beheer | 10 jaar |
| |
| Belangrijkste ontwikkelingen | 10 jaar |
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* Voorbeeld voor effecten uit de VS, voor niet-Amerikaanse effecten worden gelijkwaardige formulieren en bronnen gebruikt.
Tenzij anders vermeld zijn alle financiële gegevens gebaseerd op een jaarperiode, maar worden ze elk kwartaal bijgewerkt. Dit staat bekend als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) of Last Twelve Month (LTM) gegevens. Meer informatie.
Analysemodel en Snowflake
Details van het analysemodel dat is gebruikt om dit rapport te genereren zijn beschikbaar op onze Github-pagina. We hebben ook handleidingen over hoe je onze rapporten kunt gebruiken en tutorials op YouTube.
Leer meer over het team van wereldklasse dat het Simply Wall St-analysemodel heeft ontworpen en gebouwd.
Industrie en sector
Onze industrie- en sectormetrics worden elke 6 uur berekend door Simply Wall St, details van ons proces zijn beschikbaar op Github.
Bronnen van analisten
AvalonBay Communities, Inc. wordt gevolgd door 45 analisten. 12 van deze analisten hebben de schattingen van de omzet of winst ingediend die zijn gebruikt als input voor ons rapport. Inzendingen van analisten worden de hele dag door bijgewerkt.
| Analist | Instelling |
|---|---|
| Jacob Kilstein | Argus Research Company |
| Andrew Babin | Baird |
| Ross Smotrich | Barclays |