National CineMedia Toekomstige groei
Future criteriumcontroles 3/6
De verwachting is dat National CineMedia de winst en omzet met respectievelijk 98% en 7% per jaar zal laten groeien, terwijl de winst per aandeel naar verwachting zal groeien met 100.4% per jaar.
Belangrijke informatie
98.0%
Groei van de winst
100.38%
Groei van de winst per aandeel
| Media winstgroei | 38.0% |
| Inkomstengroei | 7.0% |
| Toekomstig rendement op eigen vermogen | n/a |
| Dekking van analisten | Low |
| Laatst bijgewerkt | 13 May 2026 |
Recente toekomstige groei-updates
Recent updates
Narratiefupdate • May 08
NCMI: Expanded Lobby Media Rollout And Buybacks Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have maintained their $5.38 price target for National CineMedia, citing updated modeling inputs around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E assumptions rather than any change in their overall valuation view. What's in the News National CineMedia and Creative Realities agreed to expand and modernize AMC Theatres’ in lobby media footprint across 285 locations, adding multiple 75 inch digital screens per site and creating a broader platform for in theater advertising and branded content, with rollout targeted for completion by the end of 2026 (company announcement).Narratiefupdate • Apr 24
NCMI: Expanded Theater Media Footprint And Buybacks Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have held National CineMedia's price target steady at $5.38, reflecting updated assumptions around slightly different revenue growth, profit margins, and a future P/E of about 27x, without a change to their overall valuation view. What's in the News National CineMedia and Creative Realities agreed to expand and modernize AMC Theatres’ in-lobby media across 285 locations, adding multiple 75 inch digital screens per site and creating more touchpoints for advertisers throughout the theater.Narratiefupdate • Apr 10
NCMI: Guided Profitability And Share Repurchases Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed their price target on National CineMedia by $0.13 to reflect slightly softer assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts view the trimmed price target as a refinement of assumptions rather than a shift in the overall thesis, with valuation still supported by existing revenue and margin expectations.Narratiefupdate • Mar 27
NCMI: Guided Profitability And Share Repurchases Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have reduced their average price target on National CineMedia by about $1 to $6, citing weaker than expected theater attendance, which could result in Q4 revenue coming in modestly below prior expectations while still remaining within the guided profitability range. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts still see the current price target of about $6 as consistent with the company remaining within its guided profitability range, even with softer Q4 revenue expectations.Narratiefupdate • Mar 12
NCMI: Resilient Profitability And Cost Discipline Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have reduced their price targets on National CineMedia to around $6, down about $1. They cited softer than expected theater attendance and slightly weaker projected revenue, while still expecting profitability to remain within prior guidance ranges.Narratiefupdate • Feb 24
NCMI: Data Partnership And Cost Discipline Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have reduced their consolidated price target on National CineMedia by $1 to reflect recent target cuts from $7 to $6. They cited softer-than-expected theater attendance and the potential for Q4 revenue to come in modestly below prior expectations, while still remaining within guidance on profitability.Narratiefupdate • Feb 10
NCMI: Data Partnership And Profitability Discipline Will Support Future Upside
Narrative Update on National CineMedia Analysts have trimmed their price targets on National CineMedia, with the modeled fair value edging from US$5.75 to US$5.50 as they factor in expectations for softer Q4 attendance, slightly weaker revenue within guidance, and a lower assumed future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on National CineMedia reflect a more cautious tone, with price targets eased lower as analysts recalibrate their assumptions for Q4 attendance, revenue, and the appropriate P/E multiple.
Nieuw narratief • Feb 06
Programmatic Pressure And Soft Local Advertising Will Challenge Cinema Ads Yet Leave Upside Potential
Catalysts About National CineMedia National CineMedia sells cinema advertising across a large U.S. theater network, connecting brands with moviegoing audiences. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Narratiefupdate • Jan 27
NCMI: Profitability Resilience And Data Partnership Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed their price target on National CineMedia by $0.25 to $5.75, citing slightly softer revenue expectations tied to weaker theater attendance. They still see profitability tracking within prior guidance.
Nieuw narratief • Jan 23
Programmatic Expansion And Premium Cinema Formats Will Transform Long Term Advertising Potential
Catalysts About National CineMedia National CineMedia sells cinema advertising across a large theater network, connecting brands with moviegoers before and around feature films. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Narratiefupdate • Jan 12
NCMI: Profitability Discipline And Data Partnership Will Support Future Upside
Narrative Update on National CineMedia Analysts have reduced their 12 month price target on National CineMedia to $6.00 from $7.00, citing expectations for Q4 revenue to come in modestly below earlier views while remaining within the guided profitability range. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary points to a mixed setup for National CineMedia, with optimism around profitability discipline and caution around near term revenue pressure tied to attendance trends.Seeking Alpha • Jun 26
National CineMedia: Difficulties In Recovery
Summary National CineMedia remains a hold as recovery from the pandemic is slow, with stagnant stock price and weak financial health despite recent debt elimination. Exclusive partnerships with major theater chains and upcoming blockbuster releases could drive revenue growth in 2025 and 2026. Risks include heavy dependence on cinema attendance, competition from streaming, and potential delisting if the stock price falls further. While industry catalysts exist, current margins and EV/EBITDA multiples suggest limited near-term upside; patience is warranted before considering a buy. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Nieuw narratief • Sep 24
Risky Reliance On Blockbusters And Franchise Titles Threatens Sustainable Growth
Reliance on blockbuster hits for box office success is risky as audience preferences change and streaming competition rises.Seeking Alpha • Jun 11
National CineMedia: 2024 Looks Like A Write-Off
Summary National CineMedia emerged from bankruptcy in 2023 with a clean balance sheet but weak business fundamentals. The company's guidance for Q2/2024 suggests 2024 will be a major down year compared to 2023 for NCMI's ad business. The main issue is a weak film slate, which is outside of NCMI's control. Investors looking for an industry rebound in 2025 may find better value in beaten-down theater chains. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 15
National CineMedia: Starting With A Clean Slate
Summary As expected, National CineMedia filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy and restructured debts. Post restructuring, NCMI looks to be on much sounder footing, as the company's adj. OIBDA was positive with no debt. However, at 9.1x EV/EBITDA, I believe NCMI is currently properly valued relative to its theater chain peers. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Sep 23
National CineMedia creditors tap banker to examine options for debt - Bloomberg
A lender group of in-theater advertising name National CineMedia (NASDAQ:NCMI) has hired Centerview Partners to explore options, Bloomberg reports, amid an environment of movie-theater uncertainty and some approaching debt maturities. NCMI reported some bounceback revenues of $67M in the second quarter vs. an easy COVID-19 pandemic comparison. But it has about $73M in cash and equivalents against more than $900M in long-term debt at last report - and the domestic box office is in the midst of a lengthy lull in new offerings. The company has revolving credit due in June, and Standard & Poor's estimates that debt will be about 14 times earnings this year. Meanwhile, Bloomberg notes NCMI's first-lien term loan due 2025 is quoting around 73 cents on the dollar, down from 81 cents as of Aug. 8.Seeking Alpha • Aug 25
National CineMedia engages iSpot to enhance ad reporting
In-theater advertising company National CineMedia (NASDAQ:NCMI) is tapping TV measurement company iSpot to enhance its value to advertisers through better reach reporting. Bringing in iSpot's currency grade ad catalog and verification, National CineMedia can report on incremental reach that advertising brings brand and studio customers in addition to linear TV. NCM will also offer more comprehensive reach, frequency, attribution, and tune-in reporting for client campaigns thanks to iSpot's integration through Neustar identity resolution. “NCM’s integration with iSpot further delivers on our mission to provide our partners the ability to plan and buy premium inventory in a unified manner across all screens, including the coveted big screen," NCM's Manu Singh said.Analyseartikel • Aug 12
National CineMedia (NASDAQ:NCMI) Is Reducing Its Dividend To $0.03
National CineMedia, Inc. ( NASDAQ:NCMI ) has announced that on 6th of September, it will be paying a dividend of$0.03...Seeking Alpha • Aug 07
National CineMedia Q2 2022 Earnings Preview
National CineMedia (NASDAQ:NCMI) is scheduled to announce Q2 earnings results on Monday, August 8th, after market close. The consensus EPS Estimate is -$0.07 and the consensus Revenue Estimate is $65M (+364.3% Y/Y). Over the last 2 years, NCMI has beaten EPS estimates 25% of the time and has beaten revenue estimates 63% of the time. Over the last 3 months, EPS estimates have seen 0 upward revisions and 2 downward. Revenue estimates have seen 1 upward revision and 3 downward.Seeking Alpha • Jun 06
National CineMedia: A Dividend Trap In A Recovering Industry
NCMI was hit just as hard as theaters during covid, as theaters open, it should return to profitability eventually. Pre covid, this was a decent business with flat revenue but high debt plus dividend heavy policy added risk. Share prices currently offer an almost 10% dividend yield, but this is a classic dividend trap in my view.Analyseartikel • May 13
National CineMedia (NASDAQ:NCMI) Will Pay A Smaller Dividend Than Last Year
National CineMedia, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:NCMI ) dividend is being reduced to US$0.03 on the 7th of June. The dividend yield...Winst- en omzetgroeiprognoses
| Datum | Inkomsten | Inkomsten | Vrije kasstroom | Geldmiddelen uit operationele activiteiten | Gem. Aantal analisten |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 296 | 21 | 60 | 68 | 2 |
| 12/31/2027 | 277 | 14 | 44 | 52 | 4 |
| 12/31/2026 | 262 | -3 | 61 | 67 | 4 |
| 4/2/2026 | 242 | -8 | 15 | 21 | N/A |
| 1/1/2026 | 243 | -11 | 3 | 8 | N/A |
| 9/25/2025 | 236 | -15 | 24 | 31 | N/A |
| 6/26/2025 | 235 | -20 | 24 | 30 | N/A |
| 3/27/2025 | 238 | -18 | 37 | 42 | N/A |
| 12/26/2024 | 241 | -22 | 55 | 60 | N/A |
| 9/26/2024 | 245 | -23 | 40 | 45 | N/A |
| 6/27/2024 | 208 | 162 | 16 | 21 | N/A |
| 3/28/2024 | 168 | 716 | 3 | 7 | N/A |
| 12/28/2023 | 165 | 705 | -10 | -7 | N/A |
| 9/28/2023 | 166 | 688 | -35 | -33 | N/A |
| 6/29/2023 | 196 | 497 | -5 | -2 | N/A |
| 3/30/2023 | 248 | -49 | -16 | -13 | N/A |
| 12/29/2022 | 249 | -29 | -50 | -47 | N/A |
| 9/29/2022 | 221 | -26 | -43 | -39 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 198 | -32 | -78 | -74 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 145 | -54 | -98 | -94 | N/A |
| 12/30/2021 | 115 | -49 | -101 | -95 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 67 | -92 | -128 | -123 | N/A |
| 7/1/2021 | 41 | -90 | -119 | -114 | N/A |
| 4/1/2021 | 31 | -81 | -34 | -28 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 90 | -65 | 47 | 55 | N/A |
| 9/24/2020 | 222 | -11 | 105 | 116 | N/A |
| 6/25/2020 | 326 | 11 | 179 | 192 | N/A |
| 3/26/2020 | 433 | 34 | N/A | 156 | N/A |
| 12/26/2019 | 445 | 36 | N/A | 144 | N/A |
| 9/26/2019 | 435 | 33 | N/A | 145 | N/A |
| 6/27/2019 | 435 | 35 | N/A | 143 | N/A |
| 3/28/2019 | 438 | 31 | N/A | 147 | N/A |
| 12/27/2018 | 441 | 30 | N/A | 150 | N/A |
| 9/27/2018 | 445 | 54 | N/A | 154 | N/A |
| 6/28/2018 | 451 | 57 | N/A | 137 | N/A |
| 3/29/2018 | 434 | 58 | N/A | 131 | N/A |
| 12/28/2017 | 426 | 58 | N/A | 139 | N/A |
| 9/28/2017 | 428 | 27 | N/A | 147 | N/A |
| 6/29/2017 | 425 | 22 | N/A | 156 | N/A |
| 3/30/2017 | 443 | 23 | N/A | 167 | N/A |
| 12/29/2016 | 448 | 33 | N/A | 134 | N/A |
| 9/29/2016 | 442 | 17 | N/A | 134 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 440 | 17 | N/A | 141 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 446 | 20 | N/A | 129 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 447 | 11 | N/A | 105 | N/A |
| 10/1/2015 | 433 | 17 | N/A | 93 | N/A |
| 7/2/2015 | 422 | 14 | N/A | 92 | N/A |
Toekomstige groeivoorspellingen analisten
Verdiensten versus spaarpercentage: Er wordt voorspeld dat NCMI de komende 3 jaar winstgevend zal worden, wat wordt beschouwd als een snellere groei dan de spaarquote ( 3.5% ).
Winst versus markt: Er wordt verwacht dat NCMI de komende 3 jaar winstgevend zal worden. Dit wordt gezien als een groei die boven het gemiddelde van de markt ligt.
Hoge groeiwinsten: Er wordt verwacht dat NCMI binnen 3 jaar winstgevend zal worden.
Omzet versus markt: De omzet van NCMI ( 7% per jaar) zal naar verwachting langzamer groeien dan de markt US ( 11.7% per jaar).
Hoge groei-inkomsten: De omzet van NCMI ( 7% per jaar) zal naar verwachting langzamer groeien dan 20% per jaar.
Groeiprognoses winst per aandeel
Toekomstig rendement op eigen vermogen
Toekomstige ROE: Onvoldoende gegevens om te bepalen of het rendement op eigen vermogen van NCMI naar verwachting over 3 jaar hoog zal zijn
Ontdek groeibedrijven
Bedrijfsanalyse en status van financiële gegevens
| Gegevens | Laatst bijgewerkt (UTC-tijd) |
|---|---|
| Bedrijfsanalyse | 2026/05/22 22:54 |
| Aandelenkoers aan het einde van de dag | 2026/05/22 00:00 |
| Inkomsten | 2026/04/02 |
| Jaarlijkse inkomsten | 2026/01/01 |
Gegevensbronnen
De gegevens die gebruikt zijn in onze bedrijfsanalyse zijn afkomstig van S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. De volgende gegevens worden gebruikt in ons analysemodel om dit rapport te genereren. De gegevens zijn genormaliseerd, waardoor er een vertraging kan optreden voordat de bron beschikbaar is.
| Pakket | Gegevens | Tijdframe | Voorbeeld Amerikaanse bron * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Financiële gegevens bedrijf | 10 jaar |
| |
| Consensus schattingen analisten | +3 jaar |
|
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| Marktprijzen | 30 jaar |
| |
| Eigendom | 10 jaar |
| |
| Beheer | 10 jaar |
| |
| Belangrijkste ontwikkelingen | 10 jaar |
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* Voorbeeld voor effecten uit de VS, voor niet-Amerikaanse effecten worden gelijkwaardige formulieren en bronnen gebruikt.
Tenzij anders vermeld zijn alle financiële gegevens gebaseerd op een jaarperiode, maar worden ze elk kwartaal bijgewerkt. Dit staat bekend als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) of Last Twelve Month (LTM) gegevens. Meer informatie.
Analysemodel en Snowflake
Details van het analysemodel dat is gebruikt om dit rapport te genereren zijn beschikbaar op onze Github-pagina. We hebben ook handleidingen over hoe je onze rapporten kunt gebruiken en tutorials op YouTube.
Leer meer over het team van wereldklasse dat het Simply Wall St-analysemodel heeft ontworpen en gebouwd.
Industrie en sector
Onze industrie- en sectormetrics worden elke 6 uur berekend door Simply Wall St, details van ons proces zijn beschikbaar op Github.
Bronnen van analisten
National CineMedia, Inc. wordt gevolgd door 13 analisten. 4 van deze analisten hebben de schattingen van de omzet of winst ingediend die zijn gebruikt als input voor ons rapport. Inzendingen van analisten worden de hele dag door bijgewerkt.
| Analist | Instelling |
|---|---|
| Anthony DiClemente | Barclays |
| Patrick Sholl | Barrington Research Associates, Inc. |
| Michael Hickey | Benchmark Company |