AMERISAFE, Inc.

NasdaqGS:AMSF Voorraadrapport

Marktkapitalisatie: US$564.1m

AMERISAFE Toekomstige groei

Future criteriumcontroles 0/6

De winst van AMERISAFE zal naar verwachting dalen met 10.6% per jaar, terwijl de jaarlijkse omzet naar verwachting zal groeien met 4.6% per jaar. De winst per aandeel zal naar verwachting afnemen met 10.9% per jaar.

Belangrijke informatie

-10.6%

Groei van de winst

-10.86%

Groei van de winst per aandeel

Insurance winstgroei1.8%
Inkomstengroei4.6%
Toekomstig rendement op eigen vermogenn/a
Dekking van analisten

Low

Laatst bijgewerkt27 Apr 2026

Recente toekomstige groei-updates

Recent updates

Narratiefupdate May 13

AMSF: Premium Growth And Dividend Increases Will Support Future Share Returns

Analysts have trimmed their price target on AMERISAFE by $5 to $45, citing updated assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E. This follows recent research that highlighted higher accident year losses, partially offset by stronger premium growth, and a view that the stock is fairly valued.
Narratiefupdate Apr 28

AMSF: Higher Accident Year Losses And Margin Pressure Will Constrain Future Upside Potential

Analysts have trimmed AMERISAFE's price target to $31 from $36, citing updated assumptions for slower revenue growth, slightly lower profit margins, and a modestly reduced future P/E outlook after recent research following its Q4 earnings miss and higher accident year losses. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates highlight a more cautious tone around AMERISAFE, with several bearish analysts trimming price targets after the Q4 earnings miss and higher accident year losses.
Narratiefupdate Apr 14

AMSF: Premium Trends And Rebased P/E Are Expected To Drive Future Repricing

Analysts have reduced their price targets on AMERISAFE by about $11 to around $39. They cite recent earnings results in which higher accident year losses and revised growth and profitability assumptions are partially offset by higher premium growth and a recalibrated future P/E outlook.
Narratiefupdate Mar 31

AMSF: Higher Accident Year Losses Will Limit Upside As Shares Appear Fairly Valued

Analysts have reset their price target on AMERISAFE to $36, a reduction of $9 from the prior $45 level, citing higher accident year losses partially offset by stronger premium growth and a view that the shares are now fairly valued. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts are recalibrating expectations on AMERISAFE after the recent Q4 earnings miss, with a reset price target of $36 indicating a more cautious stance on the risk and reward tradeoff at current levels.
Narratiefupdate Mar 16

AMSF: Higher Accident Year Losses Will Cap Upside Despite Ongoing Capital Returns

Analysts cut their price target on AMERISAFE to $36 from $45, citing recent Q4 earnings with higher accident year losses, partly offset by stronger premium growth, and a view that the shares now look fairly valued at this level. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts are signaling a more cautious stance on AMERISAFE after the recent Q4 earnings miss, pointing to a mix of operational and valuation concerns that they believe limit upside at current levels.
Narratiefupdate Mar 02

AMSF: Premium Stability And Dividend Increases Will Support Future Share Returns

Narrative update on AMERISAFE The analyst price target for AMERISAFE has been revised from $60 to $50, reflecting analysts' lower external targets, including recent cuts from firms citing Q4 earnings pressure and higher accident year losses, partially balanced by premium growth. Analyst Commentary Recent research commentary on AMERISAFE has centered on the Q4 earnings miss and higher accident year losses, with analysts adjusting price targets to reflect a more cautious near term view on profitability.
Narratiefupdate Feb 16

AMSF: Updated Revenue And P/E Assumptions Will Support Future Repricing Potential

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for AMERISAFE from $47.67 to $50.00, reflecting updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins, the discount rate, and future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts view the revised US$50.00 fair value estimate as consistent with their updated assumptions on revenue growth and profit margins, suggesting the business model still supports a premium to prior internal estimates.
Narratiefupdate Feb 02

AMSF: Higher Fair Value Will Offset Margin Concerns And Support Multiple

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for AMERISAFE to $45.00 from $43.00, citing updated views on revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E assumptions following recent Street research, including the latest price target revision. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts have taken a more cautious stance on AMERISAFE, reflected in at least one price target reduction that pulled the target down by $5.00.
Narratiefupdate Jan 19

AMSF: Stable Earnings And Capital Returns Will Support Future Repricing

Analysts have trimmed their price targets on AMERISAFE by about $1.67 to reflect slightly lower fair value estimates and a modestly reduced future P/E assumption, while still expecting generally stable profitability. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on AMERISAFE center on trimmed price targets and a valuation reset that analysts link to broader pressure across the property and casualty space, rather than to a major shift in the company’s underlying profitability outlook.
Narratiefupdate Jan 05

AMSF: Lighter Catastrophe Activity And Book Value Trends Will Support Shares

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for AMERISAFE to $60 from $65, tying the lower target to higher assumed discount rates, slightly softer profit margin expectations, and updated industry views on pricing and valuations in the P&C space. Analyst Commentary Recent research on AMERISAFE points to a more cautious stance on valuation across the P&C insurance space, even as expectations for generally stable profitability remain in place.
Narratiefupdate Dec 14

AMSF: Sector Pressures Will Keep Multiple Constrained Despite Stable Profitability

Analysts have trimmed their price target on AMERISAFE to about $45 from roughly $50, reflecting pressure on broader P and C insurance valuations, even as they expect generally stable profitability and modest earnings tailwinds from a benign catastrophe loss environment. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts see the latest price target cuts as a signal that AMERISAFE's valuation has less room for multiple expansion in the near term, even as fundamentals remain relatively stable.
Analyseartikel Dec 06

AMERISAFE, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AMSF) Prospects Need A Boost To Lift Shares

AMERISAFE, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:AMSF ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 14.1x might make it look like a buy right now...
Narratiefupdate Nov 30

AMSF: Stable Profitability Will Persist Despite Sector Headwinds And CFO Transition

Analysts have revised AMERISAFE's price target downward, with the consensus fair value decreasing by about $1 to $49.33. They cite ongoing valuation pressures and a stable but modest financial outlook for the insurance sector.
Narratiefupdate Nov 16

AMSF: Profitability Will Remain Resilient Despite Industry Valuation Headwinds

Analysts have lowered their average price target for AMERISAFE, citing industry-wide valuation pressures and expectations for stable profitability. Recent targets have been reduced by $5 to $20 compared to previous estimates.
Narratiefupdate Nov 01

AMSF: Financial Tailwinds And Reduced Catastrophe Losses Will Support Share Performance

AMERISAFE's analyst price target has been revised downward by approximately $1.67 to $50.33. Analysts cite ongoing concerns about casualty loss reserves and a cautious pricing environment, despite modest financial tailwinds.
Narratiefupdate Oct 16

Technology Investments Will Improve Underwriting Even As Pricing Pressures Mount

Analysts have lowered their price target for AMERISAFE from $54.33 to $52.00, citing a modestly improved profit margin. However, there is ongoing sector-wide caution regarding casualty loss reserves and pricing conditions.
Analyseartikel Mar 02

AMERISAFE (NASDAQ:AMSF) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.39

AMERISAFE, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AMSF ) will pay a dividend of $0.39 on the 21st of March. This makes the dividend yield 8.9...
Seeking Alpha Nov 20

Amerisafe Has A Premium Worth Paying

Summary Amerisafe's core profits have declined since 2019, but the company generates more profit per dollar invested, increasing its long-term corporate value. Specializing in workers' compensation insurance for hazardous industries, AMSF maintains high client satisfaction with a 94.1% policy renewal rate and a low expense ratio. Despite a drop in NOPAT, Amerisafe's ROIC has improved, indicating better balance sheet efficiency and potential for future profit growth. Trading at a modest premium, Amerisafe's rising ROIC justifies investment, with market expectations of NOPAT growth at no more than 17%. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
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Nieuw narratief Sep 24

Rising Premiums And Customer Loyalty Meet Analysts' Gloomy Earnings Forecast And Shrinking Margins

Enhanced agent engagement and strategic underwriting practices are improving profitability and financial stability.
Analyseartikel Aug 30

AMERISAFE's (NASDAQ:AMSF) Dividend Will Be $0.37

The board of AMERISAFE, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AMSF ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.37 per share on the 20th...
Analyseartikel Apr 28

AMERISAFE (NASDAQ:AMSF) Has Announced A Dividend Of $0.37

AMERISAFE, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AMSF ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of $0.37 per share on the 21st of June. This...
Analyseartikel Feb 28

AMERISAFE (NASDAQ:AMSF) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of $0.37

The board of AMERISAFE, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AMSF ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 22nd of March, with...

Winst- en omzetgroeiprognoses

NasdaqGS:AMSF - Toekomstschattingen van analisten en financiële gegevens uit het verleden (USD Millions )
DatumInkomstenInkomstenVrije kasstroomGeldmiddelen uit operationele activiteitenGem. Aantal analisten
12/31/202735238N/AN/A2
12/31/202633338N/AN/A2
3/31/202632546810N/A
12/31/202531747911N/A
9/30/202531050911N/A
6/30/20253065089N/A
3/31/2025301471515N/A
12/31/2024309552324N/A
9/30/2024315611617N/A
6/30/2024309571314N/A
3/31/2024309622324N/A
12/31/2023307622930N/A
9/30/2023307641718N/A
6/30/2023305652324N/A
3/31/2023298563335N/A
12/31/2022295562628N/A
9/30/2022293384245N/A
6/30/2022295463537N/A
3/31/2022308642729N/A
12/31/2021316663738N/A
9/30/2021326914142N/A
6/30/2021336954647N/A
3/31/2021344956465N/A
12/31/2020340876263N/A
9/30/2020343926667N/A
6/30/2020352908081N/A
3/31/2020354847374N/A
12/31/201937093N/A79N/A
9/30/201937377N/A90N/A
6/30/201937576N/A101N/A
3/31/201937975N/A106N/A
12/31/201837872N/A98N/A
9/30/201837853N/A99N/A
6/30/201837750N/A127N/A
3/31/201837249N/A120N/A
12/31/201737546N/A131N/A
9/30/201737965N/A134N/A
6/30/201738466N/A99N/A
3/31/201739267N/A108N/A
12/31/201639778N/A114N/A
9/30/201640182N/A113N/A
6/30/201640082N/A123N/A
3/31/201640280N/A91N/A
12/31/201540270N/A93N/A
9/30/201540464N/A101N/A
6/30/201540960N/A107N/A

Toekomstige groeivoorspellingen analisten

Verdiensten versus spaarpercentage: De winst van AMSF zal naar verwachting de komende 3 jaar dalen ( -10.6% per jaar).

Winst versus markt: De winst van AMSF zal naar verwachting de komende 3 jaar dalen ( -10.6% per jaar).

Hoge groeiwinsten: De winst van AMSF zal naar verwachting de komende 3 jaar dalen.

Omzet versus markt: De omzet van AMSF ( 4.6% per jaar) zal naar verwachting langzamer groeien dan de markt US ( 11.6% per jaar).

Hoge groei-inkomsten: De omzet van AMSF ( 4.6% per jaar) zal naar verwachting langzamer groeien dan 20% per jaar.


Groeiprognoses winst per aandeel


Toekomstig rendement op eigen vermogen

Toekomstige ROE: Onvoldoende gegevens om te bepalen of het rendement op eigen vermogen van AMSF naar verwachting over 3 jaar hoog zal zijn


Ontdek groeibedrijven

Bedrijfsanalyse en status van financiële gegevens

GegevensLaatst bijgewerkt (UTC-tijd)
Bedrijfsanalyse2026/05/14 02:05
Aandelenkoers aan het einde van de dag2026/05/14 00:00
Inkomsten2026/03/31
Jaarlijkse inkomsten2025/12/31

Gegevensbronnen

De gegevens die gebruikt zijn in onze bedrijfsanalyse zijn afkomstig van S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. De volgende gegevens worden gebruikt in ons analysemodel om dit rapport te genereren. De gegevens zijn genormaliseerd, waardoor er een vertraging kan optreden voordat de bron beschikbaar is.

PakketGegevensTijdframeVoorbeeld Amerikaanse bron *
Financiële gegevens bedrijf10 jaar
  • Resultatenrekening
  • Kasstroomoverzicht
  • Balans
Consensus schattingen analisten+3 jaar
  • Financiële prognoses
  • Koersdoelen analisten
Marktprijzen30 jaar
  • Aandelenprijzen
  • Dividenden, splitsingen en acties
Eigendom10 jaar
  • Top aandeelhouders
  • Handel met voorkennis
Beheer10 jaar
  • Leiderschapsteam
  • Raad van bestuur
Belangrijkste ontwikkelingen10 jaar
  • Bedrijfsaankondigingen

* Voorbeeld voor effecten uit de VS, voor niet-Amerikaanse effecten worden gelijkwaardige formulieren en bronnen gebruikt.

Tenzij anders vermeld zijn alle financiële gegevens gebaseerd op een jaarperiode, maar worden ze elk kwartaal bijgewerkt. Dit staat bekend als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) of Last Twelve Month (LTM) gegevens. Meer informatie.

Analysemodel en Snowflake

Details van het analysemodel dat is gebruikt om dit rapport te genereren zijn beschikbaar op onze Github-pagina. We hebben ook handleidingen over hoe je onze rapporten kunt gebruiken en tutorials op YouTube.

Leer meer over het team van wereldklasse dat het Simply Wall St-analysemodel heeft ontworpen en gebouwd.

Industrie en sector

Onze industrie- en sectormetrics worden elke 6 uur berekend door Simply Wall St, details van ons proces zijn beschikbaar op Github.

Bronnen van analisten

AMERISAFE, Inc. wordt gevolgd door 10 analisten. 3 van deze analisten hebben de schattingen van de omzet of winst ingediend die zijn gebruikt als input voor ons rapport. Inzendingen van analisten worden de hele dag door bijgewerkt.

AnalistInstelling
Randy BinnerB. Riley Securities, Inc.
Matthew CarlettiCitizens JMP Securities, LLC
Meyer ShieldsKeefe, Bruyette, & Woods