THK Toekomstige groei
Future criteriumcontroles 3/6
THK zal naar verwachting groeien in winst en omzet met respectievelijk 15.5% en 6.7% per jaar. De winst per aandeel zal naar verwachting groeien met 16.3% per jaar. Het rendement op het eigen vermogen zal over 3 jaar naar verwachting 12.6% zijn.
Belangrijke informatie
15.5%
Groei van de winst
16.33%
Groei van de winst per aandeel
| Machinery winstgroei | 10.4% |
| Inkomstengroei | 6.7% |
| Toekomstig rendement op eigen vermogen | 12.65% |
| Dekking van analisten | Good |
| Laatst bijgewerkt | 01 Jul 2026 |
Recente toekomstige groei-updates
Recent updates
Narratiefupdate • Jun 25
6481: Post Automotive Exit Re Rating Will Face Pressure Beyond Peak AI Cycle
Analysts have raised THK's implied fair value and long term P/E assumptions, increasing the Street price target from ¥5,200 to ¥7,500 as they incorporate updated views on the company's role beyond the peak AI spending cycle. What’s in the News for THK THK revised consolidated guidance for the six months ending June 30, 2026, and now expects revenue of ¥138,000 million, operating income of ¥15,400 million, and profit attributable to owners of the parent of ¥10,500 million, citing stronger than originally forecast orders in industrial machinery across Japan and other regions.Narratiefupdate • Jun 10
6481: Post Automotive Exit Re Rating Looks Vulnerable To Lower Future P E
Analysts have lifted their price target on THK stock to ¥7,500 from ¥5,200, pointing to updated assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E. These changes reflect a more balanced view of demand beyond the current AI spending cycle.
Narratiefupdate • May 26
6481: Upgraded Margin Outlook And Higher P/E Assumptions Will Support Stronger Earnings Base
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for THK from ¥6,020 to ¥9,550, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple as key drivers of the new price target. What's in the News THK revised consolidated guidance for the six months ending June 30, 2026, now expecting revenue of ¥138,000 million, operating income of ¥15,400 million, and profit attributable to owners of the parent of ¥10,500 million, compared with prior guidance of ¥127,000 million, ¥10,200 million, and ¥8,300 million respectively (Key Developments).Narratiefupdate • May 06
6481: Higher Assumed P/E Will Likely Limit Future Equity Returns
Analysts have raised their price target on THK to ¥3,787 from ¥2,999, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and an increased future P/E multiple. What's in the News Board meeting scheduled for March 20, 2026 to consider disposing of treasury stock, which could affect share count and capital structure if approved (Board Meeting).
Narratiefupdate • Apr 21
6481: Stable Assumptions And Governance Moves Will Shape Balanced Future Outlook
Analysts have kept their ¥5,376 price target on THK steady, with only small adjustments to assumptions such as discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E that fine tune rather than reset their view on the stock. What's in the News Board meeting scheduled for March 20, 2026, with an agenda item to consider disposal of treasury stock, which could affect share count and capital structure if approved (Key Developments).Narratiefupdate • Apr 07
6481: Higher Profitability Assumptions And Capital Moves Will Shape Balanced Outlook
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for THK from about ¥4,400 to roughly ¥5,400, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple as key drivers behind the higher price target. What's in the News Board meeting scheduled for March 20, 2026 to consider disposal of treasury stock, which could affect share count and capital structure if approved (company board meeting) Resolution passed on February 19, 2026 to change THK's accounting auditor from Grant Thornton Taiyo LLC, with a proposal for a new auditor to be submitted at the 56th general shareholders meeting on March 20, 2026 (Audit & Supervisory Committee meeting) Board meeting held on February 12, 2026 to consider and approve Special Measures for the Next Career Support Program for employees, indicating ongoing adjustments in workforce and human capital policies (company board meeting) Board meeting on February 2, 2026 to review transfer of shares of consolidated subsidiaries and assignment of receivables, indicating changes in group structure and internal financing arrangements (company board meeting) Valuation Changes Fair Value: raised from about ¥4,441 to roughly ¥5,376, reflecting higher assumptions in the model.Narratiefupdate • Mar 24
6481: Higher Margin Outlook And Governance Changes Will Set Up A Stronger Earnings Base
Analysts have raised their price target for THK to ¥6,020 from ¥5,310, citing updated assumptions for higher revenue growth, a stronger profit margin outlook, a slightly lower discount rate, and a revised future P/E expectation. What's in the News A board meeting is scheduled for March 20, 2026, to consider the disposal of treasury stock, which could affect share count and capital structure if approved (Key Developments).Narratiefupdate • Mar 09
6481: Lower Profit Margin Outlook Will Pressure Future Equity Returns
Analysts have lifted their price target on THK from about ¥2,857 to roughly ¥2,999, reflecting updated assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and a higher expected future P/E multiple. What's in the News THK resolved at its Audit & Supervisory Committee meeting on February 19, 2026, to change its accounting auditor from Grant Thornton Taiyo LLC and plans to submit the appointment of a new accounting auditor to the 56th general shareholders meeting on March 20, 2026 (Key Developments).Narratiefupdate • Feb 23
6481: Lower Future P/E Assumptions Will Pressure Equity Returns
Analysts have reduced their price target on THK to ¥2,856.81 from ¥3,034.68 after revising their assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins, the discount rate and the future P/E, which has changed their view of fair value. What's in the News A board meeting is scheduled for February 12, 2026 to consider and approve Special Measures for the Next Career Support Program for employees, highlighting a focus on workforce related policies (Key Developments).Analyseartikel • Feb 13
Need To Know: This Analyst Just Made A Substantial Cut To Their THK Co., Ltd. (TSE:6481) Estimates
The analyst covering THK Co., Ltd. ( TSE:6481 ) delivered a dose of negativity to shareholders today, by making a...Analyseartikel • Feb 09
Revenues Not Telling The Story For THK Co., Ltd. (TSE:6481) After Shares Rise 25%
The THK Co., Ltd. ( TSE:6481 ) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 25...Narratiefupdate • Feb 09
6481: Weaker Industrial Machinery Outlook And Tariff Headwinds Will Pressure Earnings
Analysts have modestly lifted their fair value estimate for THK from ¥4,322 to ¥4,442, reflecting updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E multiples. What's in the News Board meeting scheduled for February 2, 2026, to discuss the transfer of shares of consolidated subsidiaries and the assignment of receivables, which could reshape parts of the group structure (Key Developments).Narratiefupdate • Jan 26
6481: Tariff And Restructuring Headwinds Will Set Up A Stronger Earnings Base
Analysts have revised their view on THK's outlook, keeping fair value steady at ¥5,310.0 while adjusting their assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E to reflect a more updated mix of risk and earnings. What's in the News THK revised its consolidated earnings guidance for the year ending December 31, 2025, now expecting revenue of ¥360,000 million, operating income of ¥16,000 million, and profit attributable to owners of the parent of ¥10,000 million, or earnings per share of ¥89.27, compared with prior guidance of revenue of ¥363,500 million, operating income of ¥23,500 million, and profit attributable to owners of the parent of ¥18,000 million, or earnings per share of ¥148.14 (company guidance).Narratiefupdate • Jan 11
6481: Weaker Industrial Orders And Tariff Costs Will Pressure Earnings
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for THK from ¥3,021.55 to ¥3,034.68, reflecting updated assumptions of higher revenue growth, slightly stronger profit margins, a modestly higher discount rate, and a lower future P/E. What's in the News THK lowered its consolidated earnings guidance for the year ending December 31, 2025, now guiding to revenue of ¥360,000 million, operating income of ¥16,000 million, and profit attributable to owners of the parent of ¥10,000 million, or earnings per share of ¥89.27, compared with its earlier outlook.Analyseartikel • Dec 22
Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of THK Co., Ltd. (TSE:6481)
Key Insights THK's estimated fair value is JP¥3,541 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity THK's JP¥4,061 share...Narratiefupdate • Dec 14
6481: Higher Discount Rate And Weaker Orders Will Pressure Earnings
Narrative Update The analyst price target for THK has been trimmed slightly. Fair value is edging down by approximately ¥0.34 per share as analysts factor in a higher discount rate and more moderate revenue growth assumptions, partially offset by a modestly improved profit margin outlook and a marginally lower future P/E multiple.Analyseartikel • Dec 06
Does THK (TSE:6481) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...Analyseartikel • Nov 13
THK Co., Ltd. Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now
Last week, you might have seen that THK Co., Ltd. ( TSE:6481 ) released its quarterly result to the market. The early...Analyseartikel • Oct 01
THK (TSE:6481) Is Experiencing Growth In Returns On Capital
There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Ideally, a business will show two...Analyseartikel • Sep 09
Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of THK Co., Ltd. (TSE:6481)
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, THK fair value estimate is JP¥3,747 Current share price of...Analyseartikel • Aug 08
THK Co., Ltd. Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now
Last week, you might have seen that THK Co., Ltd. ( TSE:6481 ) released its half-year result to the market. The early...Analyseartikel • Jul 24
Investors Interested In THK Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:6481) Earnings
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 51.2x THK Co., Ltd. ( TSE:6481 ) may be sending very bearish signals at...Nieuw narratief • Jun 15
Lean Reforms And Automation Will Drive Global Efficiency
Structural reforms, automation investments, and resource reallocation are aimed at improving profitability, operating margins, and revenue resilience through efficiency and market diversification.Winst- en omzetgroeiprognoses
| Datum | Inkomsten | Inkomsten | Vrije kasstroom | Geldmiddelen uit operationele activiteiten | Gem. Aantal analisten |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 322,490 | 36,120 | 31,074 | 50,670 | 10 |
| 12/31/2027 | 315,491 | 34,022 | 31,568 | 49,641 | 12 |
| 12/31/2026 | 295,139 | 29,618 | 25,964 | 46,037 | 10 |
| 3/31/2026 | 255,306 | 14,702 | 21,760 | 38,965 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 240,444 | 10,149 | 23,853 | 42,748 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 355,856 | 6,503 | 15,124 | 36,741 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 349,154 | 6,953 | 6,241 | 30,200 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 352,578 | 8,798 | 6 | 26,946 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 352,759 | 10,439 | -1,151 | 28,412 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 348,950 | 13,514 | 3,889 | 32,542 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 346,197 | 13,569 | 7,501 | 36,714 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 343,529 | 13,467 | 15,609 | 43,554 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 351,939 | 18,398 | 12,287 | 39,332 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 374,270 | 11,958 | 18,623 | 46,312 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 392,610 | 18,874 | 21,476 | 49,867 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 399,127 | 21,195 | 15,303 | 44,766 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 393,687 | 21,198 | 8,154 | 37,561 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 375,578 | 33,408 | -3,101 | 23,820 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 353,818 | 29,852 | -15,003 | 10,488 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 335,533 | 27,203 | -14,195 | 8,614 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 318,188 | 23,007 | -3,605 | 15,643 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 292,608 | 6,413 | 3,126 | 20,741 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 266,987 | 887 | 11,221 | 26,373 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 234,315 | -4,639 | 8,550 | 24,173 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 218,998 | -9,992 | 7,390 | 25,399 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 216,145 | -1,096 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 228,516 | -1,523 | 7,919 | 29,730 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 253,700 | 3,382 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 274,599 | 11,690 | N/A | 28,383 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 303,246 | 16,213 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 323,163 | 25,648 | N/A | 40,392 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 342,418 | 31,866 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 353,479 | 35,400 | N/A | 55,177 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 382,137 | 34,305 | N/A | 34,155 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 339,713 | 29,305 | N/A | 39,572 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 328,856 | 24,925 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 273,577 | 16,731 | N/A | 40,175 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 270,182 | 13,483 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 264,524 | 11,094 | N/A | 30,807 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 252,943 | 8,928 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 240,478 | 13,575 | N/A | 19,753 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 230,112 | 15,773 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 223,657 | 19,527 | N/A | 20,772 | N/A |
Toekomstige groeivoorspellingen analisten
Verdiensten versus spaarpercentage: De verwachte winstgroei 6481 ( 15.5% per jaar) ligt boven de spaarquote ( 0.8% ).
Winst versus markt: De winst van 6481 ( 15.5% per jaar) zal naar verwachting sneller groeien dan de JP markt ( 9.8% per jaar).
Hoge groeiwinsten: De winst van 6481 zal naar verwachting groeien, maar niet aanzienlijk.
Omzet versus markt: De omzet van 6481 ( 6.7% per jaar) zal naar verwachting sneller groeien dan de markt JP ( 6.4% per jaar).
Hoge groei-inkomsten: De omzet van 6481 ( 6.7% per jaar) zal naar verwachting langzamer groeien dan 20% per jaar.
Groeiprognoses winst per aandeel
Toekomstig rendement op eigen vermogen
Toekomstige ROE: Het rendement op eigen vermogen 6481 zal naar verwachting over 3 jaar laag zijn ( 12.6 %).
Ontdek groeibedrijven
Bedrijfsanalyse en status van financiële gegevens
| Gegevens | Laatst bijgewerkt (UTC-tijd) |
|---|---|
| Bedrijfsanalyse | 2026/07/03 17:35 |
| Aandelenkoers aan het einde van de dag | 2026/07/03 00:00 |
| Inkomsten | 2026/03/31 |
| Jaarlijkse inkomsten | 2025/12/31 |
Gegevensbronnen
De gegevens die gebruikt zijn in onze bedrijfsanalyse zijn afkomstig van S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. De volgende gegevens worden gebruikt in ons analysemodel om dit rapport te genereren. De gegevens zijn genormaliseerd, waardoor er een vertraging kan optreden voordat de bron beschikbaar is.
| Pakket | Gegevens | Tijdframe | Voorbeeld Amerikaanse bron * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Financiële gegevens bedrijf | 10 jaar |
| |
| Consensus schattingen analisten | +3 jaar |
|
|
| Marktprijzen | 30 jaar |
| |
| Eigendom | 10 jaar |
| |
| Beheer | 10 jaar |
| |
| Belangrijkste ontwikkelingen | 10 jaar |
|
* Voorbeeld voor effecten uit de VS, voor niet-Amerikaanse effecten worden gelijkwaardige formulieren en bronnen gebruikt.
Tenzij anders vermeld zijn alle financiële gegevens gebaseerd op een jaarperiode, maar worden ze elk kwartaal bijgewerkt. Dit staat bekend als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) of Last Twelve Month (LTM) gegevens. Meer informatie.
Analysemodel en Snowflake
Details van het analysemodel dat is gebruikt om dit rapport te genereren zijn beschikbaar op onze Github-pagina, we hebben ook handleidingen over hoe u onze rapporten kunt gebruiken en tutorials op YouTube.
Leer meer over het team van wereldklasse dat het Simply Wall St-analysemodel heeft ontworpen en gebouwd.
Industrie en sector
Onze industrie- en sectormetrics worden elke 6 uur berekend door Simply Wall St, details van ons proces zijn beschikbaar op Github.
Bronnen van analisten
THK Co., Ltd. wordt gevolgd door 23 analisten. 12 van deze analisten hebben de schattingen van de omzet of winst ingediend die zijn gebruikt als input voor ons rapport. Inzendingen van analisten worden de hele dag door bijgewerkt.
| Analist | Instelling |
|---|---|
| Tsutomu Kijima | Barclays |
| Kenjin Hotta | BofA Global Research |
| Graeme McDonald | Citigroup Inc |