New Risk • May 16
New minor risk - Share price stability The company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of French stocks, typically moving 7.8% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Less than 1 year of cash runway based on free cash flow trend (-€52m free cash flow). Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 7.0% per year for the foreseeable future. Minor Risks Currently unprofitable and not forecast to become profitable over next 2 years (€24m net loss in 2 years). Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (7.8% average weekly change). Aankondiging • May 15
Arverne Group S.A., Annual General Meeting, Jun 17, 2026 Arverne Group S.A., Annual General Meeting, Jun 17, 2026. Location: 2 rue saint florentin, paris France Major Estimate Revision • Apr 30
Consensus EPS estimates fall by 10% The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2026 has been updated. 2026 expected loss increased from -€0.595 to -€0.657 per share. Revenue forecast of €17.7m unchanged since last update. Construction industry in France expected to see average net income growth of 6.3% next year. Consensus price target of €7.95 unchanged from last update. Share price rose 6.7% to €6.02 over the past week. Major Estimate Revision • Apr 23
Consensus EPS estimates fall by 11% The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2026 has deteriorated. 2026 revenue forecast decreased from €19.0m to €17.7m. Losses expected to increase from €0.59 per share to €0.66. Construction industry in France expected to see average net income growth of 6.3% next year. Consensus price target up from €7.63 to €7.95. Share price fell 8.7% to €5.64 over the past week. New Risk • Apr 21
New minor risk - Shareholder dilution The company's shareholders have been diluted in the past year. Increase in shares outstanding: 21% This is considered a minor risk. Shareholder dilution occurs when there is an increase in the number of shares on issue that is not proportionally distributed between all shareholders. Often due to the company raising equity capital or some options being converted into stock. All else being equal, if there are more shares outstanding then each existing share will be entitled to a lower proportion of the company's total earnings, thus reducing earnings per share (EPS). While dilution might not always result in lower EPS (like if the company is using the capital to fund an EPS accretive acquisition) in a lot cases it does, along with lower dividends per share and less voting power at shareholder meetings. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Less than 1 year of cash runway based on free cash flow trend (-€52m free cash flow). Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 7.0% per year for the foreseeable future. Minor Risks Currently unprofitable and not forecast to become profitable over next 2 years (€24m net loss in 2 years). Shareholders have been diluted in the past year (21% increase in shares outstanding). Major Estimate Revision • Apr 09
Consensus revenue estimates decrease by 29% The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2026 has been updated. 2026 revenue forecast fell from €26.6m to €19.0m. EPS estimate unchanged at -€0.595 per share. Construction industry in France expected to see average net income growth of 7.5% next year. Consensus price target of €7.63 unchanged from last update. Share price rose 2.3% to €5.32 over the past week. Reported Earnings • Mar 27
Full year 2025 earnings released Full year 2025 results: Revenue: €18.3m (up 29% from FY 2024). Net loss: €20.7m (loss widened 107% from FY 2024). Revenue is forecast to grow 58% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, compared to a 4.5% growth forecast for the Construction industry in Europe. Aankondiging • Dec 19
Arverne Group S.A. to Report First Half, 2026 Results on Sep 23, 2026 Arverne Group S.A. announced that they will report first half, 2026 results on Sep 23, 2026 Aankondiging • Nov 25
Arverne Group S.A. Announces the Start of Drilling of the First Geothermal Doublet At the Schwabwiller Site in Alsace Arverne Group S.A. announced the start of drilling of the first geothermal doublet at the Schwabwiller site in Alsace. In accordance with the established schedule, following site preparation work, Arverne's teams are beginning drilling operations. On the surface, the two wells will be spaced 10 meters apart and will gradually move further apart to reach a spacing of 1 kilometer at a depth of 2,400 meters. These initial drillings will confirm the flow rate, temperature, and lithium content of the geothermal fluid at this site. This phase will be crucial for collecting data that will help refine geological models and adapt technical protocols. The Lithium de France project will actively contribute to the energy transition by providing carbon-free geothermal heat to businesses, farms, and local communities in northern Alsace via a short supply chain. The geothermal brines, rich in critical metals, will also be used to produce low-carbon lithium to support electric mobility. Overall, this project will enhance the attractiveness of the region and generate nearly 200 direct jobs in the area. By exploiting geothermal heat, it will contribute to the decarbonization of the region and reduce CO2 emissions by up to 90% compared to natural gas heating3. The geothermal lithium produced will have a reduced environmental footprint, with approximately 70% less CO2 emissions compared to the lithium currently available on the market4. Drilling operations for the first doublet of the Lithium de France project will take place over a period of seven months and will contribute to gross business volume in 2025 and 2026. Arverne confirms and clarifies its 2025 forecasts, with gross activity volume expected to be between €25 million and €27 million, representing an increase of +45% to +55% compared to 2024. Major Estimate Revision • Oct 01
Consensus revenue estimates increase by 18% The consensus outlook for revenues in fiscal year 2025 has improved. 2025 revenue forecast increased from €17.3m to €20.4m. Forecast losses expected to reduce from -€0.635 to -€0.623 per share. Renewable Energy industry in France expected to see average net income growth of 25% next year. Consensus price target of €8.17 unchanged from last update. Share price rose 4.4% to €5.20 over the past week. Reported Earnings • Sep 26
First half 2025 earnings released First half 2025 results: Net loss: €10.0m (flat on 1H 2024). Revenue is forecast to grow 53% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 2.7% growth forecast for the Renewable Energy industry in Europe. Aankondiging • Sep 24
Arverne Group S.A. to Report Fiscal Year 2025 Results on Mar 25, 2026 Arverne Group S.A. announced that they will report fiscal year 2025 results on Mar 25, 2026 Aankondiging • Jul 22
Arverne Group Receives Grant for over Three Years (2025–2027) from the Nouvelle-Aquitaine Region, with Support from the European Social Fund Arverne Group, announces a €396,585 grant over three years (2025–2027) from the Nouvelle-Aquitaine Region, with support from the European Social Fund, to strengthen training in geothermal drilling - a strategic and high-demand profession. This grant is part of the call for projects “Support and Anticipation of Economic Transformations and Training for the Employed Workforce.” It will enable Arverne Drilling Services, a subsidiary of the Group, to implement an ambitious program focused on knowledge transfer and continuous professional development. Already actively involved in the field, the Group is carrying out numerous concrete initiatives in internal training, mentoring, and professional retraining, aimed at strengthening employee skills and supporting career transitions into technical roles in the geothermal sector. The announced grant supports this existing momentum by taking it to a new level. New Risk • Jul 01
New major risk - Financial position The company has less than a year of cash runway based on its current free cash flow trend. Free cash flow: -€27m This is considered a major risk. With less than a year's worth of cash, the company will need to raise capital or take on debt unless its cash flows improve. This would dilute existing shareholders or increase balance sheet risk. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Less than 1 year of cash runway based on free cash flow trend (-€27m free cash flow). Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 28% per year for the foreseeable future. Minor Risks Currently unprofitable and not forecast to become profitable over next 3 years (€31m net loss in 3 years). Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (8.0% average weekly change). Aankondiging • Jun 25
Arverne Group S.A. Announces Committees Changes Arverne Group S.A. announces changes in its governance structure, with a reorganization of its Board of Directors’ committees. This reorganization aims to strengthen the efficiency and specialization of these bodies in line with the Group's strategic priorities. As of today, the committees are composed as follows. Xavier Caïtucoli Appointed Chairman of the Strategy and CSR Committee Mr. Xavier Caïtucoli, Director, becomes Chairman of the Committee Mr. Pierre Brossollet, Director Mr. Jérôme Gouet, representative of Renault SAS, Director Ms. Karine Mérère, representative of ADEME Investissement, Director The Audit Committee, now renamed the Audit and Risk Committee, expands its scope to include risk oversight, which was previously under the purview of the Strategy Committee. Ms. Françoise Malrieu, Independent Director, remains Chair of the Committee Mr. Bruno Gérard, Independent Director Both members bring strong expertise in finance, accounting, and risk management, ensuring enhanced governance in these areas. Nominations and Remuneration Committee Ms. Colette Lewiner, representative of Cowin and Independent Director, remains Chair of the Committee Ms. Tiphaine Auzière, Independent Director The committee continues its work on Board composition and remuneration policy, with a particular focus on diversity, fairness, and the pursuit of excellence in candidate profiles. Additionally, the Board of Directors has appointed Mr. Vladislav Tcaci, representative of Bpifrance, as non-voting board member. New Risk • Jun 04
New minor risk - Share price stability The company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of French stocks, typically moving 7.5% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 39% per year for the foreseeable future. Minor Risks Currently unprofitable and not forecast to become profitable over next 2 years (€27m net loss in 2 years). Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (7.5% average weekly change). Major Estimate Revision • Jun 01
Consensus EPS estimates upgraded to €0.60 loss The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2025 has been updated. 2025 losses forecast to reduce from -€0.685 to -€0.598 per share. Revenue forecast unchanged from €25.5m at last update. Renewable Energy industry in France expected to see average net income growth of 8.3% next year. Consensus price target of €7.83 unchanged from last update. Share price rose 36% to €5.45 over the past week. New Risk • May 23
New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 39% per year for the foreseeable future. This is considered a major risk. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. If profits are expected to decline, then in most cases the share price will decline over time as well. In addition, if the company pays dividends it will also likely need to reduce or cut them, striking a dual blow to total shareholder returns. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Earnings are forecast to decline by an average of 39% per year for the foreseeable future. Minor Risk Currently unprofitable and not forecast to become profitable over next 2 years (€27m net loss in 2 years). Aankondiging • May 13
Arverne Group S.A., Annual General Meeting, Jun 18, 2025 Arverne Group S.A., Annual General Meeting, Jun 18, 2025. Location: 2 rue saint florentin, paris France New Risk • May 02
New major risk - Financial data availability The company's latest financial reports are more than a year old. Last reported fiscal period ended December 2023. This is considered a major risk. If the company has not reported its earnings on time, it may have been delayed due to audit problems or it may be finding it difficult to reconcile its accounts. In the worst case scenario, it may be facing other major going concern issues jeopardizing its viability as a listed company. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Latest financial reports are more than 1 year old (reported December 2023 fiscal period end). Minor Risk Currently unprofitable and not forecast to become profitable over next 3 years (€27m net loss in 3 years). Major Estimate Revision • Mar 28
Consensus revenue estimates fall by 36% The consensus outlook for revenues in fiscal year 2025 has deteriorated. 2025 revenue forecast decreased from €26.9m to €17.3m. Forecast losses increased from -€0.505 to -€0.63 per share. Renewable Energy industry in France expected to see average net income growth of 1.0% next year. Consensus price target down from €8.50 to €7.83. Share price was steady at €4.01 over the past week. Aankondiging • Jan 13
Arverne Group Announces Deputy CEO Changes Arverne Group announced the appointment of Thierry Trouyet as Deputy CEO, effective from January 13, 2025. He joins the Executive Committee of Arverne Group, founded and led by Pierre Brossollet. With over 20 years of experience in senior management roles, Thierry Trouyet has recognized expertise in the development of new business activities, managing high-growth organizations, and leading commercial operations. With a focus on innovation and performance, he will be responsible for supporting Arverne Group and its subsidiaries in the development and execution of projects. Thierry Trouyet began his career at E.Leclerc before contributing to the growth of Cultura, the leader in cultural and artistic leisure in France. For 15 years, he held key management positions in stores, logistics, and central purchasing. He played a central role in commercial strategy, sales acceleration, and margin growth. In 2017, he founded the consulting firm AKT to assist executives and structure organizations, and in this context, he held positions of CEO. Arverne Group announced the departure of Sébastien Renaud, currently Deputy CEO of the Group. New Risk • Dec 31
New minor risk - Financial data availability The company's latest financial reports are more than 6 months old. Last reported fiscal period ended December 2023. This is considered a minor risk. If the company has not reported its earnings on time, it may have been delayed due to audit problems or it may be finding it difficult to reconcile its accounts. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Latest financial reports are more than 6 months old (reported December 2023 fiscal period end). Currently unprofitable and not forecast to become profitable over next 3 years (€13m net loss in 3 years). Board Change • Dec 12
Less than half of directors are independent Following the recent departure of a director, there are only 5 independent directors on the board. The company's board is composed of: 5 independent directors. 6 non-independent directors. Independent Director Bruno Gerard was the last independent director to join the board, commencing their role in 2024. The company's minority of independent directors is a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model. Aankondiging • Dec 10
Arverne Group Appoints Manoelle Lepoutre-Saint-M’leux to the Board of Directors Arverne Group announced the appointment of Manoelle Lepoutre-Saint-M’leux to the Board of Directors, as a representative of Arosco. Her appointment reflects Arverne Group's commitment to strengthening its governance with recognized and dedicated experts to support its development. Already President of Arverne Group's Mission Committee, Manoelle Lepoutre-Saint-M’leux will also bring her extensive expertise in the energy sector, particularly in geosciences. With a long international career in the energy industry, Manoelle Lepoutre-Saint-M’leux has held various operational and functional roles at TotalEnergies. After beginning her career in the Exploration and Production branch, with several positions in prospecting and R&D, in France, the Netherlands, and Norway, she was appointed in 2000 to the Executive Committee of Total E&P USA, where she served as Senior Vice-President of Geosciences, responsible for exploration and permits and reserves. Manoelle Lepoutre-Saint-M’leux then led R&D for the Exploration and Production branch, before taking on management positions at corporate level (Sustainability, Human Resources, CSR and Engagement). She also has extensive experience as a board member: Manoelle Lepoutre-Saint-M’leux has served on various Boards of Directors for companies, research organizations, associations, and several scientific advisory boards. Manoelle Lepoutre-Saint-M’leux is a graduate of the École Nationale de Géologie de Nancy (ENSG) and the École Nationale Supérieure des Pétroles et des Moteurs (ENSPM). She is “Chevalier dans l’Ordre de la Légion d’honneur” and Vice-President of the French Technologies’ Academy. Aankondiging • Dec 06
Arverne Group S.A. to Report First Half, 2025 Results on Sep 24, 2025 Arverne Group S.A. announced that they will report first half, 2025 results on Sep 24, 2025 Price Target Changed • Oct 03
Price target decreased by 33% to €8.00 Down from €12.00, the current price target is an average from 2 analysts. New target price is 59% above last closing price of €5.04. Stock is down 51% over the past year. The company is forecast to post a net loss per share of €0.36 next year compared to a net loss per share of €2.34 last year. Aankondiging • Sep 27
Arverne Group S.A. to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on Mar 26, 2025 Arverne Group S.A. announced that they will report fiscal year 2024 results After-Market on Mar 26, 2025 New Risk • Jun 05
New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth Revenue has declined by 5.8% over the past year. This is considered a major risk. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. If revenues are declining, then it is difficult for the company to prevent its earnings from declining as well. A trend of falling revenue can be very difficult to turn around. If the company is well already established it may also be a sign the company has matured and is in decline. In addition, if the company pays dividends it will also likely need to reduce or cut them, striking a dual blow to total shareholder returns. This is currently the only risk that has been identified for the company. Reported Earnings • Mar 31
Full year 2023 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind Full year 2023 results: €2.34 loss per share. Revenue: €11.3m (up 5.3% from FY 2022). Net loss: €52.0m (loss widened €50.4m from FY 2022). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 19%. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates significantly. New Risk • Jan 02
New minor risk - Financial data availability The company's latest financial reports are more than 6 months old. Last reported fiscal period ended December 2022. This is considered a minor risk. If the company has not reported its earnings on time, it may have been delayed due to audit problems or it may be finding it difficult to reconcile its accounts. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Revenue has declined by 17% over the past year. Minor Risks Negative equity (-€4.9m). Latest financial reports are more than 6 months old (reported December 2022 fiscal period end). 
