Recent Insider Transactions • Dec 17
Director recently bought €127k worth of stock On the 13th of December, Jon Gudmundsson bought around 32k shares on-market at roughly €3.94 per share. This transaction amounted to 3.8% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest purchase by an insider in the last 3 months. Despite this recent purchase, insiders have collectively sold €264k more in shares than they bought in the last 12 months. Recent Insider Transactions • Dec 05
President & CEO recently sold €430k worth of stock On the 30th of November, Peter Nilsson sold around 110k shares on-market at roughly €3.91 per share. This transaction amounted to 100% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest sale by an insider in the last 3 months. Peter has been a net seller over the last 12 months, reducing personal holdings by €405k. New Risk • Oct 28
New major risk - Share price stability The company's share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 90% of German stocks, typically moving 25% a week. This is considered a major risk. Share price volatility increases the risk of potential losses in the short-term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. It may also indicate the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (25% average weekly change). Minor Risk Paying a dividend despite being loss-making. Reported Earnings • Oct 28
Third quarter 2023 earnings released Third quarter 2023 results: Revenue: kr795.0m (up 12% from 3Q 2022). Net loss: kr19.0m (down 186% from profit in 3Q 2022). Revenue is forecast to grow 11% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 1.4% growth forecast for the Forestry industry in Europe. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 5% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 17% per year, which means it is tracking significantly ahead of earnings growth. Reported Earnings • Jul 26
Second quarter 2023 earnings released Second quarter 2023 results: Revenue: kr796.0m (down 21% from 2Q 2022). Net loss: kr40.0m (down 126% from profit in 2Q 2022). Revenue is forecast to grow 9.7% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, while revenues in the Forestry industry in Europe are expected to remain flat. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 40% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 3% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings. Aankondiging • Jun 30
Bergs Timber AB (publ) (OM:BRG B) acquired 100% stake in Hedlunda Holding Ab from Dalvi Ab and Firmum AB for approximately SEK 225 million. Bergs Timber AB (publ) (OM:BRG B) acquired 100% stake in Hedlunda Holding Ab from Dalvi Ab and Firmum AB for approximately SEK 225 million on June 29, 2023. The purchase price on a cash and debt-free basis and SEK 140 million will be paid immediately and remaining SEK 85 million will may paid to Dalvi Ab and Firmum AB based on the performance over the next two financial years. The purchase price is financed through a new loan of SEK 200 million within the framework of the existing loan agreement with Danske Bank and SEB. Jerry Johansson remains in his position as CEO of Hedlunda Holding Ab. Hedlunda Holding Ab will be reported in a new product area, Furniture & Components of Bergs. Erneholm Haskel AB acted as financial advisor and Advokatfirman Vinge KB acted as legal advisor to Advokatfirman Vinge KB.Bergs Timber AB (publ) (OM:BRG B) completed the acquisition of 100% stake in Hedlunda Holding Ab from Dalvi Ab and Firmum AB on June 29, 2023. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • May 11
Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 15% After last week's 15% share price decline to €2.61, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 5x. Average forward P/E is 11x in the Forestry industry in Europe. Total returns to shareholders of 37% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at €4.89 per share. Reported Earnings • May 05
First quarter 2023 earnings released First quarter 2023 results: Revenue: kr718.0m (down 21% from 1Q 2022). Net loss: kr18.0m (down 129% from profit in 1Q 2022). Revenue is forecast to grow 2.6% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, while revenues in the Forestry industry in Europe are expected to remain flat. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 63% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 16% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. Upcoming Dividend • Apr 28
Upcoming dividend of kr2.00 per share at 5.5% yield Eligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 05 May 2023. Payment date: 11 May 2023. Payout ratio is a comfortable 30% and this is well supported by cash flows. Trailing yield: 5.5%. Within top quartile of German dividend payers (4.6%). In line with average of industry peers (5.8%). Reported Earnings • Apr 05
Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: kr6.66 (vs kr12.03 in FY 2021) Full year 2022 results: EPS: kr6.66 (down from kr12.03 in FY 2021). Revenue: kr3.27b (up 6.9% from FY 2021). Net income: kr231.0m (down 45% from FY 2021). Profit margin: 7.1% (down from 14% in FY 2021). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to stay flat during the next 3 years, in line with the revenue forecast for the Forestry industry in Europe. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 64% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 22% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Feb 09
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 17% After last week's 17% share price gain to €3.23, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 11x. Average forward P/E is 11x in the Forestry industry in Europe. Total returns to shareholders of 56% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at €5.27 per share. Reported Earnings • Feb 05
Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: kr6.66 (vs kr12.03 in FY 2021) Full year 2022 results: EPS: kr6.66 (down from kr12.03 in FY 2021). Revenue: kr3.27b (up 6.9% from FY 2021). Net income: kr231.0m (down 45% from FY 2021). Profit margin: 7.1% (down from 14% in FY 2021). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue is forecast to decline by 2.1% p.a. on average during the next 2 years, while revenues in the Forestry industry in Europe are expected to remain flat. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 64% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 13% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. Board Change • Nov 16
No independent directors Following the recent departure of a director, there are no independent directors on the board. The company's board is composed of: No independent directors. 6 non-independent directors. Director Anna Rasmuson was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2022. The company's lack of independent directors is a risk according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model. Reported Earnings • Oct 28
Third quarter 2022 earnings released Third quarter 2022 results: Revenue: kr715.0m (down 16% from 3Q 2021). Net income: kr22.0m (down 86% from 3Q 2021). Profit margin: 3.1% (down from 19% in 3Q 2021). Revenue is forecast to grow 2.9% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, while revenues in the Forestry industry in Europe are expected to remain flat. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 90% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 15% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Sep 24
Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week After last week's 17% share price decline to €2.99, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 4x. Average forward P/E is 8x in the Forestry industry in Europe. Total returns to shareholders of 43% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at €4.71 per share. Buying Opportunity • Sep 03
Now 22% undervalued after recent price drop Over the last 90 days, the stock is down 28%. The fair value is estimated to be €4.79, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 19% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 76%. Revenue is forecast to decline by 0.1% in 2 years. Earnings is forecast to decline by 42% in the next 2 years. Reported Earnings • Jul 26
Second quarter 2022 earnings released Second quarter 2022 results: Revenue: kr1.01b (up 23% from 2Q 2021). Net income: kr153.0m (up 30% from 2Q 2021). Profit margin: 15% (in line with 2Q 2021). Over the next year, revenue is expected to shrink by 2.8% compared to a 5.5% growth forecast for the industry in Germany. Aankondiging • Jul 06
Bergs Timber AB (publ) (OM:BRG B) acquired PPUH Pinus Jerzy Smolarczyk Mariusz Smolarczyk Sp.J. for SEK 36 million. Bergs Timber AB (publ) (OM:BRG B) acquired PPUH Pinus Jerzy Smolarczyk Mariusz Smolarczyk Sp.J. for SEK 36 million on July 5, 2022. PPUH PINUS SP.Z O.O. had a turnover of approximately SEK 80 million in 2021.
Bergs Timber AB (publ) (OM:BRG B) completed the acquisition of PPUH Pinus Jerzy Smolarczyk Mariusz Smolarczyk Sp.J. on July 5, 2022. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jun 15
Investor sentiment deteriorated over the past week After last week's 16% share price decline to €4.40, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 7x. Average forward P/E is 8x in the Forestry industry in Europe. Total returns to shareholders of 78% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at €3.55 per share. Reported Earnings • May 06
First quarter 2022 earnings released First quarter 2022 results: Revenue: kr912.0m (up 54% from 1Q 2021). Net income: kr63.0m (up 19% from 1Q 2021). Profit margin: 6.9% (down from 8.9% in 1Q 2021). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Over the next year, revenue is expected to shrink by 5.9% compared to a 6.3% growth forecast for the industry in Germany. Aankondiging • May 06
Bergs Timber AB (publ) Appoints Anna Rasmuson as its Board Member Bergs Timber AB (publ) at its annual general meeting held on 5 May 2022 elected Anna Rasmuson as Board member. Upcoming Dividend • Apr 29
Upcoming dividend of kr0.30 per share Eligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 06 May 2022. Payment date: 12 May 2022. Payout ratio is a comfortable 25% but the company is not cash flow positive. Trailing yield: 5.3%. Within top quartile of German dividend payers (4.0%). Higher than average of industry peers (3.2%). Board Change • Apr 27
No independent directors No new directors have joined the board in the last 3 years. The company's board is composed of: No new directors. 5 experienced directors. 1 highly experienced director. No independent directors (6 non-independent directors). Director Gudmundur Jonsson was the last director to join the board, commencing their role in 2018. The following issues are considered to be risks according to the Simply Wall St Risk Model: Lack of independent directors. Insufficient board refreshment. Buying Opportunity • Apr 23
Now 20% undervalued Over the last 90 days, the stock is up 29%. The fair value is estimated to be €0.74, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 7.2% over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 43%. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 4.1% per annum. Earnings is forecast to decline by 19% per annum over the same time period. Reported Earnings • Apr 03
Full year 2021 earnings released: EPS: kr1.20 (vs kr0.30 in FY 2020) Full year 2021 results: EPS: kr1.20 (up from kr0.30 in FY 2020). Revenue: kr3.06b (up 42% from FY 2020). Net income: kr417.0m (up 297% from FY 2020). Profit margin: 14% (up from 4.9% in FY 2020). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to grow 1.4%, compared to a 3.9% growth forecast for the industry in Germany. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 43% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 23% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. Aankondiging • Apr 01
Bergs Timber AB (publ) Proposes Dividend for the Financial Year 2021 The Board of Directors of Bergs Timber AB (publ) proposed that a dividend of SEK 0.30 per share be paid for the 2021 financial year at the Annual General Meeting to be held on 5 May 2022. The record date to be entitled to receive a dividend is proposed as 9 May 2022. Reported Earnings • Feb 04
Full year 2021 earnings: Revenues exceed analyst expectations Full year 2021 results: Revenue: kr3.07b (up 43% from FY 2020). Net income: kr417.0m (up 297% from FY 2020). Profit margin: 14% (up from 4.9% in FY 2020). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 1.2%. Over the next year, revenue is expected to shrink by 6.2% compared to a 4.3% growth forecast for the industry in Germany. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 28% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 23% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. Buying Opportunity • Jan 27
Now 24% undervalued after recent price drop Over the last 90 days, the stock is down 15%. The fair value is estimated to be kr0.60, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 3.8% per annum over the last 3 years. Earnings per share has grown by 14% per annum over the last 3 years. Reported Earnings • Oct 29
Third quarter 2021 earnings released The company reported a strong third quarter result with improved earnings, revenues and profit margins. Third quarter 2021 results: Revenue: kr847.0m (up 64% from 3Q 2020). Net income: kr158.0m (up 464% from 3Q 2020). Profit margin: 19% (up from 5.4% in 3Q 2020). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 15% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 23% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings. Recent Insider Transactions • Sep 03
Chief Financial Officer recently bought €10k worth of stock On the 27th of August, Anders Marklund bought around 20k shares on-market at roughly €0.52 per share. This was the largest purchase by an insider in the last 3 months. Anders has been a buyer over the last 12 months, purchasing a net total of €20k worth in shares. Recent Insider Transactions • Sep 01
Chief Financial Officer recently bought €10k worth of stock On the 27th of August, Anders Marklund bought around 20k shares on-market at roughly €0.52 per share. This was the largest purchase by an insider in the last 3 months. Anders has been a buyer over the last 12 months, purchasing a net total of €20k worth in shares. Reported Earnings • Jul 30
Second quarter 2021 earnings released The company reported a strong second quarter result with improved earnings, revenues and profit margins. Second quarter 2021 results: Revenue: kr829.0m (up 52% from 2Q 2020). Net income: kr118.0m (up kr105.0m from 2Q 2020). Profit margin: 14% (up from 2.4% in 2Q 2020). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 40% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 17% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings. Aankondiging • Jun 25
Bergs Timber AB (publ) (OM:BRG B) acquired Performance Timber Products Group Ltd. from Graphite Capital Management LLP, and current and former management of Performance Timber Products Group Ltd. for approximately SEK 140 million. Bergs Timber AB (publ) (OM:BRG B) acquired Performance Timber Products Group Ltd. from Graphite Capital Management LLP, and current and former management of Performance Timber Products Group Ltd. for approximately SEK 140 million on June 23, 2021. Bergs acquires 100% of PTPG for SEK 140 million on a debt-free basis, of which approximately SEK 110 million relates to shares and is paid in cash. The acquisition is largely financed by a new loan within the framework of an existing loan agreement with Danske Bank and Swedish Export Credit Corporation. In 2020, Performance Timber Products had sales of approximately £22 million (SEK 260 million). An agreement has been reached with senior executives, including Jay Pengelly PTPG Chief Executive Officer, who will remain and continue to operate the business as a wholly owned subsidiary of Bergs. The acquisition is expected to contribute a turnover of approximately SEK 250 million per year and show an EBITDA margin that over time is in line with the Group's targets. In addition to a favorable cash flow, the acquisition is expected to make a positive contribution to earnings per share already during the current year.
Bergs Timber AB (publ) (OM:BRG B) completed the acquisition of Performance Timber Products Group Ltd. from Graphite Capital Management LLP, and current and former management of Performance Timber Products Group Ltd. on June 23, 2021. Reported Earnings • May 06
First quarter 2021 earnings released The company reported a strong first quarter result with improved earnings, revenues and profit margins. First quarter 2021 results: Revenue: kr596.0m (up 13% from 1Q 2020). Net income: kr53.0m (up 165% from 1Q 2020). Profit margin: 8.9% (up from 3.8% in 1Q 2020). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Aankondiging • May 06
Bergs Timber AB (publ) Approves Dividend for 2020 Payable on 12 May 2021 Bergs Timber's annual general meeting was held on 5 May 2021. The annual general meeting resolved that a dividend of SEK 0.20 per share will be paid for the 2020 financial year. The record date for the dividend was set to 7 May 2021 and payment is expected to be distributed on 12 May 2021. Upcoming Dividend • Apr 29
Upcoming dividend of kr0.20 per share Eligible shareholders must have bought the stock before 06 May 2021. Payment date: 12 May 2021. Trailing yield: 1.8%. Lower than top quartile of German dividend payers (3.2%). Lower than average of industry peers (2.6%). Is New 90 Day High Low • Mar 10
New 90-day high: €0.38 The company is up 45% from its price of €0.27 on 10 December 2020. The German market is up 9.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Forestry industry, which is up 10.0% over the same period. Is New 90 Day High Low • Feb 10
New 90-day high: €0.34 The company is up 29% from its price of €0.26 on 11 November 2020. The German market is up 10.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Forestry industry, which is up 13% over the same period. Reported Earnings • Feb 05
Full year 2020 earnings released The company reported a decent full year result with improved earnings and profit margins, although revenues were weaker. Full year 2020 results: Revenue: kr2.15b (down 33% from FY 2019). Net income: kr105.0m (up 133% from FY 2019). Profit margin: 4.9% (up from 1.4% in FY 2019). The increase in margin was driven by lower expenses. Analyst Estimate Surprise Post Earnings • Feb 05
Revenue beats expectations Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 5.2%. Over the next year, revenue is forecast to decline by -5.6% while the Forestry industry in Germany is not expected to grow. Is New 90 Day High Low • Jan 22
New 90-day high: €0.32 The company is up 39% from its price of €0.23 on 23 October 2020. The German market is up 12% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Forestry industry, which is up 22% over the same period. Is New 90 Day High Low • Jan 05
New 90-day high: €0.32 The company is up 31% from its price of €0.24 on 07 October 2020. The German market is up 8.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Forestry industry, which is up 13% over the same period. Is New 90 Day High Low • Nov 26
New 90-day high: €0.27 The company is up 7.0% from its price of €0.25 on 28 August 2020. The German market is up 2.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. However, it underperformed the Forestry industry, which is up 13% over the same period. Analyst Estimate Surprise Post Earnings • Nov 05
Revenue beats expectations Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 15%. Over the next year, revenue is expected to shrink by 30% compared to a 1.6% decline forecast for the Forestry industry in Germany. Is New 90 Day High Low • Oct 31
New 90-day low: €0.23 The company is down 12% from its price of €0.26 on 31 July 2020. The German market is down 4.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company underperformed over that time. It also underperformed the Forestry industry, which is up 9.0% over the same period. Aankondiging • Sep 02
VIDA AB completed the acquisition of three sawmills from Bergs Timber AB (publ) (OM:BRG B). VIDA AB entered into an agreement to acquire three sawmills from Bergs Timber AB (publ) (OM:BRG B) for CAD 43 million on June 17, 2020. Under the terms, VIDA AB will pay working capital in addition to the purchase price. The transaction is subject to due diligence, completion of certain transaction documents and other customary closing conditions, including any required regulatory approvals and approvals from relevant competition authorities. The transaction is expected to close in the third quarter of 2020. Mikael Klang, Johanna Wärnberg, Jenny Lundberg, Peter Forsberg and Mattias Friberg of Hannes Snellman Attorneys Ltd. acted as the legal advisors to Vida AB. The total purchase consideration for the operations, including the working capital involved, is estimated at approximately SEK 400 million, of which SEK 303 million pertains to fixed assets.
VIDA AB completed the acquisition of three sawmills from Bergs Timber AB (publ) (OM:BRG B) on September 1, 2020. The transaction encompasses the sawmills in Orrefors, Vimmerby, Mörlunda and the assets at the discontinued operation at Gransjö sawmill. The transaction has been approved by Swedish Competition Authority. In connection with transaction, Jan Liljegren is leaving the Group Management in Bergs Timber AB (publ) to take up a position at VIDA AB. Group management then consists of Peter Nilsson as President and Chief Executive Officer and Anders Marklund as Chief Financial Officer. Furthermore, the employee representatives on the board will leave when they transfer to employment at VIDA AB. Aankondiging • Jun 18
VIDA AB entered into an agreement to acquire three sawmills from Bergs Timber AB (publ) (OM:BRG B) for CAD 43 million. VIDA AB entered into an agreement to acquire three sawmills from Bergs Timber AB (publ) (OM:BRG B) for CAD 43 million on June 17, 2020. Under the terms, VIDA AB will pay working capital addition to the purchase price. The transaction is subject to due diligence, completion of certain transaction documents and other customary closing conditions, including any required regulatory approvals. The transaction is expected to close in the third quarter of 2020.