Gerdau Toekomstige groei
Future criteriumcontroles 3/6
Gerdau zal naar verwachting groeien in winst en omzet met respectievelijk 31.4% en 4% per jaar. De winst per aandeel zal naar verwachting groeien met 27.2% per jaar. Het rendement op het eigen vermogen zal over 3 jaar naar verwachting 10% zijn.
Belangrijke informatie
31.4%
Groei van de winst
27.19%
Groei van de winst per aandeel
| Metals and Mining winstgroei | 21.1% |
| Inkomstengroei | 4.0% |
| Toekomstig rendement op eigen vermogen | 10.05% |
| Dekking van analisten | Good |
| Laatst bijgewerkt | 07 May 2026 |
Recente toekomstige groei-updates
Recent updates
Narratiefupdate • May 13
GGBR4: Share Repurchases And Higher Margin Assumptions Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have nudged their price target for Gerdau higher to R$29.95 from R$29.52, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, following a series of recent upgrades and target increases across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has leaned more constructive on Gerdau, with several bullish analysts adjusting their views and price targets in quick succession.
Narratiefupdate • Apr 28
GGBR4: Share Buybacks And Higher P/E Framework Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have inched their average price target on Gerdau higher to about R$24.64 from roughly R$24.57, citing updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E. These changes reflect the latest rounds of target increases and rating changes across the Street.Narratiefupdate • Apr 14
GGBR4: Share Buybacks And Refined Margin Assumptions Will Support Future Upside
Gerdau's updated R$29.52 analyst price target edges slightly below the prior R$29.66, with analysts citing refined assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E following a mix of recent upgrades and downgrades across major firms. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Gerdau shows a mix of upgrades, downgrades and price target tweaks, with several bullish analysts focusing on refined expectations for execution and earnings power rather than wholesale changes to the underlying story.
Narratiefupdate • Mar 31
GGBR4: Buyback Plan And Firmer Margins Will Likely Unlock Upside
Analysts raised the fair value estimate for Gerdau to R$21.00 from R$20.00, citing updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E that reflect the latest mix of upgrades and downgrades in recent research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Gerdau presents a mixed picture, with some firms turning more constructive while others are taking a step back and reassessing risk.Narratiefupdate • Mar 17
GGBR4: Share Buybacks Will Shape More Optimistic Future Earnings Profile
Analysts have trimmed their stance on Gerdau and now see fair value at about R$24.57 per share, a change of roughly R$0.44. This reflects expectations for lower revenue growth, a higher profit margin and a lower future P/E multiple.Narratiefupdate • Mar 03
GGBR4: Share Buybacks And Higher Margins Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have made only a slight upward adjustment to their R$ price target for Gerdau, reflecting more cautious views following recent downgrades that point to tempered expectations, despite updated assumptions for profit margins and future P/E levels. Analyst Commentary Recent research has turned more cautious on Gerdau, with downgrades reflecting a preference to wait for clearer visibility on earnings and valuation.Narratiefupdate • Feb 17
GGBR4: Share Buybacks And Higher Future P/E Will Support Upside Potential
Analysts have nudged their price target on Gerdau to R$29.60 from R$27.96, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and a higher future P/E multiple, even as some recent research, such as BTG Pactual turning more cautious, reflects a more mixed stance on the shares. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlight the updated price target of R$29.60 as a sign that they see room for the shares to better reflect their assumptions on revenue, margins and a higher future P/E multiple.Narratiefupdate • Feb 03
GGBR4: Share Buybacks And Refined Earnings Assumptions Will Shape Balanced Outlook
Analysts now set their fair value estimate for Gerdau at US$24.13 per share, up from US$23.08. This reflects updated views on discount rates, long term profit margins and future P/E assumptions, even as some recent research has turned more cautious on the stock.Narratiefupdate • Jan 20
GGBR4: Share Cancellations And Rich P/E Will Likely Restrain Returns
Analysts have lifted their price target on Gerdau from US$17.00 to US$20.00, citing revised assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, the discount rate, and the future P/E they apply to the shares. What's in the News Between July 1, 2025 and September 30, 2025, Gerdau repurchased 293,000 shares for BRL 4.59 million under its buyback program announced on January 20, 2025, bringing total repurchases under the program to 1,033,500 shares for BRL 16.17 million (company filing).Narratiefupdate • Jan 05
GGBR4: Share Cancellations And Dividend Payout Will Support Bullish Outlook
Analysts have nudged their price target for Gerdau higher from US$22.61 to about US$23.08, reflecting updated views that factor in slightly adjusted forecasts for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News From October 1, 2025 to December 19, 2025, Gerdau repurchased 466,500 shares for BRL 7.3 million, completing the 1,500,000 share buyback program announced on January 20, 2025 for a total of BRL 23.48 million (company filing).Narratiefupdate • Dec 14
GGBR4: Share Cancellations And Dividend Policy Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts have modestly trimmed their price target on Gerdau to approximately $27.96 from $28.00, citing a combination of slower expected revenue growth, a slightly higher discount rate, and improved profit margin and future valuation assumptions. What's in the News A board meeting is scheduled for October 30, 2025, to evaluate the cancellation of 283,900 common shares (GGBR3) and 12,650,000 preferred shares (GGBR4) without reducing capital stock (company filing).Narratiefupdate • Nov 25
GGBR4: Upcoming Dividend Payment and Share Buybacks Will Drive Market Optimism
Analysts have raised Gerdau's fair value estimate from $22.19 to $22.61, citing recent adjustments to growth and profitability expectations as key factors in the revised price target. What's in the News The Board of Directors approved the cancellation of 283,900 common shares (GGBR3) and 12,650,000 preferred shares (GGBR4) with no reduction in capital stock (Key Developments).
Nieuw narratief • Nov 30
Strategic Shifts And Efficiency Enhancements Set The Stage For Growth Amid Global Challenges
Cost reduction efforts and a strategic product mix are set to improve margins and efficiency, enhancing Gerdau's financial performance.Winst- en omzetgroeiprognoses
| Datum | Inkomsten | Inkomsten | Vrije kasstroom | Geldmiddelen uit operationele activiteiten | Gem. Aantal analisten |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 75,943 | 5,505 | 4,603 | 8,641 | 11 |
| 12/31/2027 | 73,071 | 5,397 | 4,495 | 7,886 | 13 |
| 12/31/2026 | 70,276 | 5,360 | 3,901 | 7,849 | 11 |
| 3/31/2026 | 69,199 | 1,640 | 2,410 | 8,596 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 69,859 | 1,387 | 1,135 | 7,987 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 69,707 | 3,001 | 380 | 7,627 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 69,102 | 3,269 | 3,346 | 10,530 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 68,192 | 3,272 | 4,742 | 11,451 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 67,027 | 4,566 | 5,435 | 11,381 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 64,920 | 4,828 | 6,596 | 12,208 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 64,605 | 5,063 | 3,296 | 8,725 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 66,254 | 6,339 | 4,542 | 10,006 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 68,916 | 7,502 | 5,802 | 11,139 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 72,165 | 8,131 | 3,745 | 9,250 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 76,251 | 9,560 | 5,056 | 10,153 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 80,954 | 11,707 | 5,960 | 10,794 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 82,412 | 11,426 | 6,669 | 11,150 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 86,003 | 13,713 | 13,238 | 17,248 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 86,171 | 16,296 | 12,840 | 16,575 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 82,333 | 15,968 | 9,919 | 13,268 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 78,345 | 15,494 | 9,325 | 12,517 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 70,410 | 13,047 | 4,751 | 7,290 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 61,315 | 8,239 | 5,116 | 7,199 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 50,930 | 4,600 | 5,047 | 6,815 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 43,815 | 2,366 | 4,603 | 6,408 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 39,728 | 1,417 | 1,946 | 3,653 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 37,437 | 917 | 895 | 2,783 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 38,846 | 971 | 1,118 | 3,161 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 39,644 | 1,204 | N/A | 1,643 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 41,010 | 1,488 | N/A | 3,520 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 43,915 | 1,987 | N/A | 1,938 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 45,796 | 2,312 | N/A | 1,847 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 46,159 | 2,304 | N/A | 2,000 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 45,077 | 536 | N/A | 2,573 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 41,717 | -114 | N/A | 2,308 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 38,848 | -734 | N/A | 1,836 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 36,918 | -359 | N/A | 2,076 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 35,720 | -2,039 | N/A | 1,465 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 34,943 | -2,082 | N/A | 2,060 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 36,026 | -2,084 | N/A | 2,624 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 37,652 | -2,891 | N/A | 3,516 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 39,481 | -2,984 | N/A | 3,791 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 42,708 | -5,018 | N/A | 6,409 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 43,218 | -4,836 | N/A | 7,147 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 43,581 | -4,551 | N/A | 7,162 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 43,976 | -997 | N/A | 5,827 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 42,757 | 1,198 | N/A | 3,515 | N/A |
Toekomstige groeivoorspellingen analisten
Verdiensten versus spaarpercentage: De verwachte winstgroei GGBR4 ( 31.4% per jaar) ligt boven de spaarquote ( 12.4% ).
Winst versus markt: De winst van GGBR4 ( 31.4% per jaar) zal naar verwachting sneller groeien dan de BR markt ( 12.5% per jaar).
Hoge groeiwinsten: De winst van GGBR4 zal naar verwachting de komende 3 jaar aanzienlijk groeien.
Omzet versus markt: De omzet van GGBR4 ( 4% per jaar) zal naar verwachting langzamer groeien dan de markt BR ( 6.5% per jaar).
Hoge groei-inkomsten: De omzet van GGBR4 ( 4% per jaar) zal naar verwachting langzamer groeien dan 20% per jaar.
Groeiprognoses winst per aandeel
Toekomstig rendement op eigen vermogen
Toekomstige ROE: Het rendement op eigen vermogen GGBR4 zal naar verwachting over 3 jaar laag zijn ( 10 %).
Ontdek groeibedrijven
Bedrijfsanalyse en status van financiële gegevens
| Gegevens | Laatst bijgewerkt (UTC-tijd) |
|---|---|
| Bedrijfsanalyse | 2026/05/22 11:16 |
| Aandelenkoers aan het einde van de dag | 2026/05/21 00:00 |
| Inkomsten | 2026/03/31 |
| Jaarlijkse inkomsten | 2025/12/31 |
Gegevensbronnen
De gegevens die gebruikt zijn in onze bedrijfsanalyse zijn afkomstig van S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. De volgende gegevens worden gebruikt in ons analysemodel om dit rapport te genereren. De gegevens zijn genormaliseerd, waardoor er een vertraging kan optreden voordat de bron beschikbaar is.
| Pakket | Gegevens | Tijdframe | Voorbeeld Amerikaanse bron * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Financiële gegevens bedrijf | 10 jaar |
| |
| Consensus schattingen analisten | +3 jaar |
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| Marktprijzen | 30 jaar |
| |
| Eigendom | 10 jaar |
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| Beheer | 10 jaar |
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| Belangrijkste ontwikkelingen | 10 jaar |
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* Voorbeeld voor effecten uit de VS, voor niet-Amerikaanse effecten worden gelijkwaardige formulieren en bronnen gebruikt.
Tenzij anders vermeld zijn alle financiële gegevens gebaseerd op een jaarperiode, maar worden ze elk kwartaal bijgewerkt. Dit staat bekend als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) of Last Twelve Month (LTM) gegevens. Meer informatie.
Analysemodel en Snowflake
Details van het analysemodel dat is gebruikt om dit rapport te genereren zijn beschikbaar op onze Github-pagina. We hebben ook handleidingen over hoe je onze rapporten kunt gebruiken en tutorials op YouTube.
Leer meer over het team van wereldklasse dat het Simply Wall St-analysemodel heeft ontworpen en gebouwd.
Industrie en sector
Onze industrie- en sectormetrics worden elke 6 uur berekend door Simply Wall St, details van ons proces zijn beschikbaar op Github.
Bronnen van analisten
Gerdau S.A. wordt gevolgd door 22 analisten. 13 van deze analisten hebben de schattingen van de omzet of winst ingediend die zijn gebruikt als input voor ons rapport. Inzendingen van analisten worden de hele dag door bijgewerkt.
| Analist | Instelling |
|---|---|
| Leonardo Correa | Barclays |
| Mary Cleia da Silva | BB Banco de Investimento S.A. |
| Caio Ribeiro | BofA Global Research |