YPF Sociedad Anónima

BASE:YPFD Voorraadrapport

Marktkapitalisatie: AR$32.1t

YPF Sociedad Anónima Toekomstige groei

Future criteriumcontroles 3/6

De verwachting is dat YPF Sociedad Anónima de winst en omzet met respectievelijk 27.8% en 3.8% per jaar zal laten groeien, terwijl de winst per aandeel naar verwachting zal groeien met 13.7% per jaar.

Belangrijke informatie

27.8%

Groei van de winst

13.75%

Groei van de winst per aandeel

Oil and Gas winstgroei-0.9%
Inkomstengroei3.8%
Toekomstig rendement op eigen vermogenn/a
Dekking van analisten

Good

Laatst bijgewerkt19 Aug 2026

Recente toekomstige groei-updates

Recent updates

Narratiefupdate • Aug 09

YPFD: Higher Revenue Outlook Will Be Outweighed By Compressed Future Earnings Multiple

Analysts lifted their fair value estimate for YPF Sociedad Anónima to ARS1,043.19, supported by a higher ARS48 price target from recent Street research that reflects updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and the stock's future P/E. What's in the News Transportadora de Gas del Sur S.A. executed commercial agreements for the Integrated NGLs Project with YPF Sociedad Anónima, Pluspetrol entities and Chevron Argentina.
Narratiefupdate • Jul 26

YPFD: Higher Revenue Assumptions Will Temper Neutral Street Views On Execution

Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for YPF Sociedad Anónima to ARS 81,000 from ARS 71,000, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E in line with recent Street price target increases. Analyst Commentary Recent price target updates for YPF Sociedad Anónima highlight a mixed tone, with some analysts adjusting fair value assumptions but maintaining neutral stances.
Narratiefupdate • Jul 12

YPFD: Higher UBS Price Assumptions Will Support Future Earnings Repricing

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for YPF Sociedad Anónima from ARS 109,461 to ARS 127,958, reflecting updated views on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E after a recent series of price target increases cited in Street research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on YPF Sociedad Anónima points to a more constructive tone, with higher price targets reflecting updated assumptions on valuation and earnings power.
Narratiefupdate • Jun 28

YPFD: LNG Expansion And Margin Execution Will Drive Future Upside Potential

Analysts have adjusted the fair value estimate for YPF Sociedad Anónima to ARS 102,586 from ARS 84,420, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, profit margins, and future P/E that are broadly consistent with recent increases in Street price targets. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on YPF Sociedad Anónima shows price targets clustered in a similar range, with one update setting a target of US$48 and another indicating an US$8 uplift from a prior level.
Narratiefupdate • Jun 14

YPFD: Higher Revenue Assumptions Will Eventually Expose Execution Risk

Narrative Update on YPF Sociedad Anónima Analysts have raised their ARS price target on YPF Sociedad Anónima to ARS 48 from ARS 45, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and a slightly lower future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a mixed stance on YPF Sociedad Anónima, with the latest move being a price target adjustment to $48 from $45 while keeping a Neutral rating on the stock.
Narratiefupdate • May 31

YPFD: Cautious Oil Price Reliance Will Limit Future Upside Potential

Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for YPF Sociedad Anónima to ARS 71,000 from ARS 60,000, reflecting updated views on profit margins, discount rate, and future P/E after a series of recent price target increases from ARS 36 to ARS 48 in Street research. Analyst Commentary Recent price target revisions on YPF Sociedad Anónima have generally moved higher, but commentary around those changes still carries a cautious tone.
Narratiefupdate • May 10

YPFD: Higher Oil Price Scenarios Will Support Future Earnings Repricing

Analyst price targets for YPF Sociedad Anónima have been raised to ARS 109,461, supported by updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and P/E expectations that reflect recent Street research discussing potential upside risks for oil prices. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on YPF Sociedad Anónima points to a cluster of raised price targets, with bullish analysts citing updated assumptions for discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and P/E expectations, alongside potential upside risks for oil prices.
Narratiefupdate • Apr 22

YPFD: Oil Price Upside And LNG Project Will Shape A Balanced Outlook

Analysts have lifted the YPF Sociedad Anónima price target to ARS 40 from ARS 36. The change is supported by updated assumptions around oil price upside, a lower discount rate, modestly higher revenue growth and profit margin forecasts, and a slightly lower future P/E multiple.
Narratiefupdate • Apr 08

YPFD: Higher Oil Price Scenarios Will Support Future Share Upside

Analysts have raised their price target for YPF Sociedad Anónima to ARS 40 from ARS 36, citing upside risks to oil prices and updated estimates for regional oil peers as the main drivers of the revision. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on YPF Sociedad Anónima points to a more constructive tone from several research desks, with a focus on higher oil price assumptions and updated peer benchmarks in Latin America.
Narratiefupdate • Mar 25

YPFD: Oil Price Assumptions And LNG Project Will Shape A Fair Outlook

Analysts now place fair value for YPF Sociedad Anónima at ARS 60,000, up from ARS 55,000. This reflects updates to oil price assumptions and related earnings estimates cited in recent Street research.
Narratiefupdate • Mar 10

YPFD: LNG Expansion And Margin Execution Will Support Future Upside

Narrative Update: YPF Sociedad Anónima The updated analyst work trims YPF Sociedad Anónima's fair value estimate by ARS 400 to ARS 84,420, as analysts incorporate a lower discount rate, adjust revenue growth expectations, factor in a slightly higher profit margin, and revise the assumed future P/E multiple in line with the recent ARS 3 price target increase cited in Street research. Analyst Commentary Street research around YPF Sociedad Anónima currently centers on the recent US$3 price target increase reported by JPMorgan, alongside the updated fair value estimate of ARS 84,420.
Narratiefupdate • Feb 24

YPFD: LNG Push And Vaca Muerta Exports Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have raised their ARS price target on YPF Sociedad Anónima by ARS 3, reflecting updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and a revised future P/E outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on YPF Sociedad Anónima, including a price target increase of ARS 3 cited in a JPMorgan report, points to a more constructive stance from bullish analysts who are updating their models for the stock.
Narratiefupdate • Feb 09

YPFD: Export Agreements And Governance Changes Will Shape A Fairly Valued Outlook

Analysts have raised their price target on YPF Sociedad Anónima from AR$47,800 to AR$55,000, citing revised assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E as key drivers of the updated view. What's in the News A board meeting is set for November 18, 2025, with the agenda not yet publicly detailed.
Narratiefupdate • Jan 25

YPFD: Long-Term Vaca Muerta Export Deals Will Underpin Future Upside

Analysts have raised their price target for YPF Sociedad Anónima from AR$65,000 to AR$109,461, citing updated assumptions that include a lower discount rate, revised expectations for revenue growth and profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News YPF and partners Vista Energy Lach, Shell Argentina, Equinor Argentina and ENAP signed long term agreements for shale oil exports from Vaca Muerta, with contracts valid until June 2033 and an initial combined volume of up to 70,000 barrels per day, which is expected to generate an estimated US$12b in revenues for Argentina over the term of the contracts (Key Developments).
Narratiefupdate • Jan 10

YPFD: Refined Assumptions Will Support Future Upside Potential

Analysts trimmed their price target on YPF Sociedad Anónima to US$44 from US$47, citing updated modeling assumptions that refine estimates for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary centers on how the updated model feeds into valuation rather than a change in overall stance.
Narratiefupdate • Dec 27

YPFD: Future Export Agreements Will Support Efficiency Gains And Forward Momentum

Analysts have modestly lowered their price target on YPF Sociedad Anónima to $44 from $47, reflecting updated models that incorporate stronger top line growth but more conservative assumptions on profitability and valuation multiples. Analyst Commentary Analysts describe the modest price target reduction as a recalibration rather than a shift in fundamental conviction.
Narratiefupdate • Dec 13

YPFD: Lower Projected Upside Will Constrain Future Share Price Performance

Analysts modestly cut their price target on YPF Sociedad Anónima from $47.80 to $44.00, reflecting updated models that incorporate a slightly lower fair value despite improved projected revenue growth, profit margins, and a more attractive future price-to-earnings multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates suggest that, while the overall rating on YPF Sociedad Anónima remains constructive, the recalibration of price targets signals a more cautious stance on the balance of risk and reward at current levels.
Narratiefupdate • Nov 27

YPFD: Improved Margins Will Drive Efficiency And Support Forward Momentum

Analysts have raised YPF Sociedad Anónima's fair value estimate from $57,100 to $70,000, citing improved profit margins and a lower discount rate. This revision comes despite a moderated revenue growth outlook.
Narratiefupdate • Aug 15

Vaca Muerta Expansion Will Unlock Long Term Export Potential

The upward revision in YPF Sociedad Anónima’s price target reflects improved valuation as indicated by a lower future P/E ratio, despite a modest decline in net profit margin, resulting in a consensus analyst target increase from ARS53,800 to ARS57,100. What's in the News YPF is nearing an agreement to acquire shale oil assets from France’s TotalEnergies, potentially valued between $400 million and $500 million.
User avatar
Nieuw narratief • Nov 18

Vaca Muerta's Shale Boom Sparks Revenue Boost Amidst PE Challenges And Efficient Restructuring

Strategic focus on Vaca Muerta and midstream expansions aims to boost margins, manage cash flow, and reduce financial leverage.

Winst- en omzetgroeiprognoses

BASE:YPFD - Toekomstschattingen van analisten en financiële gegevens uit het verleden (ARS Millions )
DatumInkomstenInkomstenVrije kasstroomGeldmiddelen uit operationele activiteitenGem. Aantal analisten
12/31/202831,862,2654,294,1762,032,3789,653,29011
12/31/202730,083,4623,518,7751,245,0498,727,42611
12/31/202631,557,1213,874,4443,112,21010,027,4619
6/30/202629,234,8381,170,1773,593,18810,978,226N/A
3/31/202625,325,776-461,5681,549,6598,208,987N/A
12/31/202523,240,162-1,087,72141,8876,481,040N/A
9/30/202521,465,436-523,917-323,0435,491,011N/A
6/30/202520,186,7531,127,195-352,7955,385,857N/A
3/31/202519,163,6551,520,528-138,2785,417,615N/A
12/31/202417,895,0312,077,482213,4285,599,148N/A
9/30/202415,204,649760,020147,6604,629,172N/A
6/30/202411,619,517-699,04520,7413,512,774N/A
3/31/20248,266,415-1,082,69368,4992,556,503N/A
12/31/20235,484,544-1,561,217183,2731,774,199N/A
9/30/20234,117,211144,18543,6891,270,456N/A
6/30/20233,386,133301,660123,0881,034,110N/A
3/31/20232,945,340321,020184,018879,675N/A
12/31/20222,526,466289,057204,532736,660N/A
9/30/20222,151,285236,426233,447632,068N/A
6/30/20221,762,291167,030198,165522,591N/A
3/31/20221,482,19428,926184,605459,395N/A
12/31/20211,315,633257165,213400,014N/A
9/30/20211,091,79419,652169,187360,715N/A
6/30/2021911,721-38,314166,572303,918N/A
3/31/2021729,406-77,927133,795243,511N/A
12/31/2020692,514-69,64994,600209,216N/A
9/30/2020688,623-124,36086,320214,791N/A
6/30/2020695,587-101,62071,325226,351N/A
3/31/2020722,358-19,674N/A233,452N/A
12/31/2019678,595-34,071N/A217,137N/A
9/30/2019617,460-6,245N/A187,505N/A
6/30/2019558,19919,684N/A159,408N/A
3/31/2019490,90424,361N/A146,272N/A
12/31/2018435,82038,613N/A125,058N/A
9/30/2018359,65933,273N/A102,035N/A
6/30/2018304,50520,163N/A83,377N/A
3/31/2018271,63318,382N/A68,750N/A
12/31/2017252,81312,340N/A71,974N/A
9/30/2017237,7572,051N/A66,208N/A
6/30/2017227,572-28,253N/A69,377N/A
3/31/2017220,169-29,208N/A63,008N/A
12/31/2016210,100-28,237N/A49,183N/A
9/30/2016196,488-31,653N/A43,849N/A
6/30/2016180,695408N/A36,910N/A
3/31/2016167,9393,448N/A40,298N/A
12/31/2015156,1364,579N/A41,404N/A
9/30/2015152,9297,657N/A41,475N/A

Toekomstige groeivoorspellingen analisten

Verdiensten versus spaarpercentage: De verwachte winstgroei YPFD ( 27.8% per jaar) ligt boven de spaarquote ( 9% ).

Winst versus markt: De winst van YPFD ( 27.8% per jaar) zal naar verwachting sneller groeien dan de AR markt ( 21.6% per jaar).

Hoge groeiwinsten: De winst van YPFD zal naar verwachting de komende 3 jaar aanzienlijk groeien.

Omzet versus markt: De omzet van YPFD ( 3.8% per jaar) zal naar verwachting langzamer groeien dan de markt AR ( 11.3% per jaar).

Hoge groei-inkomsten: De omzet van YPFD ( 3.8% per jaar) zal naar verwachting langzamer groeien dan 20% per jaar.

Groeiprognoses winst per aandeel

Toekomstig rendement op eigen vermogen

Toekomstige ROE: Onvoldoende gegevens om te bepalen of het rendement op eigen vermogen van YPFD naar verwachting over 3 jaar hoog zal zijn

Ontdek groeibedrijven

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Bedrijfsanalyse en status van financiële gegevens

GegevensLaatst bijgewerkt (UTC-tijd)
Bedrijfsanalyse2026/08/24 06:59
Aandelenkoers aan het einde van de dag2026/08/21 00:00
Inkomsten2026/06/30
Jaarlijkse inkomsten2025/12/31

Gegevensbronnen

De gegevens die gebruikt zijn in onze bedrijfsanalyse zijn afkomstig van S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. De volgende gegevens worden gebruikt in ons analysemodel om dit rapport te genereren. De gegevens zijn genormaliseerd, waardoor er een vertraging kan optreden voordat de bron beschikbaar is.

PakketGegevensTijdframeVoorbeeld Amerikaanse bron *
Financiële gegevens bedrijf10 jaar
  • Resultatenrekening
  • Kasstroomoverzicht
  • Balans
Consensus schattingen analisten+3 jaar
  • Financiële prognoses
  • Koersdoelen analisten
Marktprijzen30 jaar
  • Aandelenprijzen
  • Dividenden, splitsingen en acties
Eigendom10 jaar
  • Top aandeelhouders
  • Handel met voorkennis
Beheer10 jaar
  • Leiderschapsteam
  • Raad van bestuur
Belangrijkste ontwikkelingen10 jaar
  • Bedrijfsaankondigingen

* Voorbeeld voor effecten uit de VS, voor niet-Amerikaanse effecten worden gelijkwaardige formulieren en bronnen gebruikt.

Tenzij anders vermeld zijn alle financiële gegevens gebaseerd op een jaarperiode, maar worden ze elk kwartaal bijgewerkt. Dit staat bekend als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) of Last Twelve Month (LTM) gegevens. Meer informatie.

Analysemodel en Snowflake

Details van het analysamodel dat is gebruikt om dit rapport te genereren zijn beschikbaar op onze Github-pagina, we hebben ook handleidingen over hoe u onze rapporten kunt gebruiken en tutorials op YouTube.

Leer meer over het team van wereldklasse dat het Simply Wall St-analysemodel heeft ontworpen en gebouwd.

Industrie en sector

Onze industrie- en sectormetrics worden elke 6 uur berekend door Simply Wall St, details van ons proces zijn beschikbaar op Github.

Bronnen van analisten

YPF Sociedad Anónima wordt gevolgd door 18 analisten. 11 van deze analisten hebben de schattingen van de omzet of winst ingediend die zijn gebruikt als input voor ons rapport. Inzendingen van analisten worden de hele dag door bijgewerkt.

AnalistInstelling
Matias CattaruzziAdCap Securities Argentina S.A.
Leonardo MarcondesBofA Global Research
Vicente Falanga NetoBradesco S.A. Corretora de Títulos e Valores Mobiliários