New Risk • May 18
New major risk - Financial position The company has less than a year of cash runway based on its current free cash flow trend. Free cash flow: -AR$4.3b This is considered a major risk. With less than a year's worth of cash, the company will need to raise capital or take on debt unless its cash flows improve. This would dilute existing shareholders or increase balance sheet risk. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Less than 1 year of cash runway based on free cash flow trend (-AR$4.3b free cash flow). Earnings have declined by 57% per year over the past 5 years. Market cap is less than US$10m (AR$9.13b market cap, or US$6.54m). New Risk • Mar 25
New major risk - Financial position The company has less than a year of cash runway based on its current free cash flow trend. Free cash flow: -AR$6.8b This is considered a major risk. With less than a year's worth of cash, the company will need to raise capital or take on debt unless its cash flows improve. This would dilute existing shareholders or increase balance sheet risk. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Less than 1 year of cash runway based on free cash flow trend (-AR$6.8b free cash flow). Dividend is not well covered by earnings and cash flows. Paying a dividend despite being loss-making. Paying a dividend despite having no free cash flows. Earnings have declined by 57% per year over the past 5 years. Market cap is less than US$10m (AR$9.68b market cap, or US$6.93m). New Risk • Dec 11
New major risk - Market cap size The company's market capitalization is less than US$10m. Market cap: AR$14.1b (US$9.80m) This is considered a major risk. Companies with a small market capitalization are most likely businesses that have not yet released a product to market or are simply a very small company without a wide reach. Either way, risk is elevated with these companies because there is a chance the product may not come to fruition or the company's addressable market or demand may not be as large as expected. In addition, if the company's size is the main factor, it is less likely to have many investors and analysts following it and scrutinizing its performance and outlook. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Less than 1 year of cash runway based on free cash flow trend (-AR$6.1b free cash flow). Dividend is not well covered by earnings and cash flows. Paying a dividend despite being loss-making. Paying a dividend despite having no free cash flows. Earnings have declined by 56% per year over the past 5 years. Market cap is less than US$10m (AR$14.1b market cap, or US$9.80m). New Risk • Nov 18
New major risk - Financial position The company has less than a year of cash runway based on its current free cash flow trend. Free cash flow: -AR$5.5b This is considered a major risk. With less than a year's worth of cash, the company will need to raise capital or take on debt unless its cash flows improve. This would dilute existing shareholders or increase balance sheet risk. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Less than 1 year of cash runway based on free cash flow trend (-AR$5.5b free cash flow). Dividend is not well covered by earnings and cash flows. Paying a dividend despite being loss-making. Paying a dividend despite having no free cash flows. Earnings have declined by 57% per year over the past 5 years. Minor Risk Market cap is less than US$100m (AR$16.0b market cap, or US$11.5m). New Risk • Aug 22
New major risk - Market cap size The company's market capitalization is less than US$10m. Market cap: AR$13.1b (US$9.92m) This is considered a major risk. Companies with a small market capitalization are most likely businesses that have not yet released a product to market or are simply a very small company without a wide reach. Either way, risk is elevated with these companies because there is a chance the product may not come to fruition or the company's addressable market or demand may not be as large as expected. In addition, if the company's size is the main factor, it is less likely to have many investors and analysts following it and scrutinizing its performance and outlook. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Dividend is not well covered by earnings and cash flows. Paying a dividend despite being loss-making. Paying a dividend despite having no free cash flows. Earnings have declined by 56% per year over the past 5 years. Market cap is less than US$10m (AR$13.1b market cap, or US$9.92m). New Risk • Aug 19
New major risk - Dividend sustainability The dividend is not well covered by earnings and cash flows. The company is paying a dividend despite being loss-making. The company is paying a dividend despite having no free cash flows. Dividend yield: 2.4% This is considered a major risk. Companies that pay out too much of their earnings and cash flows are at risk of having to reduce or cut their dividend in future. If earnings or cash flows stagnate or fall, then there may not be enough to maintain the same dividend. Or in extreme cases, companies may opt to dig into capital reserves or take on debt to maintain the dividend. For dividend paying companies, any reduction in the dividend can significantly impact the share price. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Dividend is not well covered by earnings and cash flows. Paying a dividend despite being loss-making. Paying a dividend despite having no free cash flows. Earnings have declined by 56% per year over the past 5 years. Minor Risk Market cap is less than US$100m (AR$13.3b market cap, or US$10.3m). Reported Earnings • Aug 11
First quarter 2025 earnings released: AR$3.81 loss per share (vs AR$5.25 loss in 1Q 2024) First quarter 2025 results: AR$3.81 loss per share (improved from AR$5.25 loss in 1Q 2024). Revenue: AR$11.4b (up 51% from 1Q 2024). Net loss: AR$2.11b (loss narrowed 27% from 1Q 2024). Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 182 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance. Aankondiging • Mar 18
Longvie S.A., Annual General Meeting, Apr 25, 2025 Longvie S.A., Annual General Meeting, Apr 25, 2025. Location: held via microsoft teams, Argentina Reported Earnings • Mar 13
Full year 2024 earnings released: AR$16.53 loss per share (vs AR$3.62 profit in FY 2023) Full year 2024 results: AR$16.53 loss per share (down from AR$3.62 profit in FY 2023). Revenue: AR$56.6b (up 64% from FY 2023). Net loss: AR$9.14b (down AR$11.1b from profit in FY 2023). Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 219 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Feb 13
Now 21% overvalued Over the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 19% to AR$32.90. The fair value is estimated to be AR$27.17, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 25% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company became loss making. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jan 23
Now 20% overvalued Over the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 4.7% to AR$35.55. The fair value is estimated to be AR$29.52, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 25% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company became loss making. New Risk • Nov 18
New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth Earnings have declined by 30% per year over the past 5 years. This is considered a major risk. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. If profits are declining over an extended period, then in most cases the share price will decline over time unless the company can turn around its fortunes. A trend of falling earnings can be very difficult to turn around. If the company is well already established it may also be a sign the company has matured and is in decline. In addition, if the company pays dividends it will also likely need to reduce or cut them, striking a dual blow to total shareholder returns. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Earnings have declined by 30% per year over the past 5 years. Shareholders have been substantially diluted in the past year (100% increase in shares outstanding). Minor Risks Paying a dividend despite being loss-making. Market cap is less than US$100m (AR$22.4b market cap, or US$22.4m). New Risk • Nov 06
New minor risk - Share price stability The company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Argentinean stocks, typically moving 6.1% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Shareholders have been substantially diluted in the past year (100% increase in shares outstanding). Minor Risks Paying a dividend despite being loss-making. Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (6.1% average weekly change). Market cap is less than US$100m (AR$21.5b market cap, or US$21.6m). New Risk • Aug 14
New major risk - Shareholder dilution The company's shareholders have been substantially diluted in the past year. Increase in shares outstanding: 100% This is considered a major risk. Shareholder dilution occurs when there is an increase in the number of shares on issue that is not proportionally distributed between all shareholders. Often due to the company raising equity capital or some options being converted into stock. All else being equal, if there are more shares outstanding then each existing share will be entitled to a lower proportion of the company's total earnings, thus reducing earnings per share (EPS). While dilution might not always result in lower EPS (like if the company is using the capital to fund an EPS accretive acquisition) in a lot cases it does, along with lower dividends per share and less voting power at shareholder meetings. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (14% average weekly change). Shareholders have been substantially diluted in the past year (100% increase in shares outstanding). Minor Risks Paying a dividend despite being loss-making. Market cap is less than US$100m (AR$17.5b market cap, or US$18.6m). Reported Earnings • Aug 13
Second quarter 2024 earnings released: AR$9.08 loss per share (vs AR$1.02 profit in 2Q 2023) Second quarter 2024 results: AR$9.08 loss per share (down from AR$1.02 profit in 2Q 2023). Revenue: AR$13.5b (up 67% from 2Q 2023). Net loss: AR$2.51b (down AR$2.79b from profit in 2Q 2023). Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 51% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 86% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jul 29
Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop Over the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 35% to AR$32.20. The fair value is estimated to be AR$40.31, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 50% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company became loss making. New Risk • Jul 28
New major risk - Market cap size The company's market capitalization is less than US$10m. Market cap: AR$9.13b (US$9.82m) This is considered a major risk. Companies with a small market capitalization are most likely businesses that have not yet released a product to market or are simply a very small company without a wide reach. Either way, risk is elevated with these companies because there is a chance the product may not come to fruition or the company's addressable market or demand may not be as large as expected. In addition, if the company's size is the main factor, it is less likely to have many investors and analysts following it and scrutinizing its performance and outlook. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (14% average weekly change). Market cap is less than US$10m (AR$9.13b market cap, or US$9.82m). Minor Risk Paying a dividend despite being loss-making. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jul 01
Now 11% undervalued after recent price drop Over the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 30% to AR$37.15. The fair value is estimated to be AR$41.71, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 50% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company became loss making. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • Jun 25
Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop Over the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 38% to AR$33.00. The fair value is estimated to be AR$41.38, however this is not to be taken as a buy recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 50% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company became loss making. New Risk • May 28
New major risk - Market cap size The company's market capitalization is less than US$10m. Market cap: AR$8.92b (US$9.98m) This is considered a major risk. Companies with a small market capitalization are most likely businesses that have not yet released a product to market or are simply a very small company without a wide reach. Either way, risk is elevated with these companies because there is a chance the product may not come to fruition or the company's addressable market or demand may not be as large as expected. In addition, if the company's size is the main factor, it is less likely to have many investors and analysts following it and scrutinizing its performance and outlook. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (15% average weekly change). Market cap is less than US$10m (AR$8.92b market cap, or US$9.98m). Minor Risk Unstable dividend paying track record with dividend experiencing an annual drop of over 20% in the past. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • May 16
Now 24% overvalued Over the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 3.7% to AR$56.50. The fair value is estimated to be AR$45.72, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 35% over the last 3 years, while earnings per share has been flat. Reported Earnings • May 15
First quarter 2024 earnings released First quarter 2024 results: Revenue: AR$6.36b (up 88% from 1Q 2023). Net loss: AR$2.45b (down AR$2.45b from profit in 1Q 2023). Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 1% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 143% per year, which means it is tracking significantly ahead of earnings growth. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • May 03
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 18% After last week's 18% share price gain to AR$57.20, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 7.9x. Average trailing P/E is 9x in the Consumer Durables industry in South America. Total returns to shareholders of 1,437% over the past three years. New Risk • Mar 07
New minor risk - Share price stability The company's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 75% of Argentinean stocks, typically moving 12% a week. This is considered a minor risk. Share price volatility indicates the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. It also increases the risk of potential losses in the short term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Minor Risks Share price has been volatile over the past 3 months (12% average weekly change). Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (0.3% net profit margin). Market cap is less than US$100m (AR$12.8b market cap, or US$15.1m). Reported Earnings • Dec 22
Third quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: AR$0.59 (vs AR$0.49 in 3Q 2022) Third quarter 2023 results: EPS: AR$0.59 (up from AR$0.49 in 3Q 2022). Revenue: AR$5.85b (up 65% from 3Q 2022). Net income: AR$161.9m (up 18% from 3Q 2022). Profit margin: 2.8% (down from 3.9% in 3Q 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 13% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 126% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings. Reported Earnings • Aug 18
Second quarter 2023 earnings released Second quarter 2023 results: Revenue: AR$5.13b (up 100% from 2Q 2022). Net income: AR$117.0m (down 23% from 2Q 2022). Profit margin: 2.3% (down from 5.9% in 2Q 2022). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 23% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 102% per year, which means it is tracking significantly ahead of earnings growth. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Aug 17
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 23% After last week's 23% share price gain to AR$25.25, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 23.4x. Average trailing P/E is 11x in the Consumer Durables industry in South America. Total returns to shareholders of 745% over the past three years. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jul 20
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 19% After last week's 19% share price gain to AR$22.65, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 21x. Average trailing P/E is 13x in the Consumer Durables industry in South America. Total returns to shareholders of 741% over the past three years. New Risk • Jun 25
New minor risk - Profit margin trend The company's profit margins are lower than last year and have reduced by more than 30%. Net profit margin: 2.9% Last year net profit margin: 5.1% This is considered a minor risk. A large drop in profit margin could indicate the company does not have strong competitive advantages or it is yet to establish itself and its core business. Even if it is a well established business, this may make it a much riskier investment than one that has a combination of proven competitive advantages and a stable or growing profit margin. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk High level of non-cash earnings (49% accrual ratio). Minor Risks Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (2.9% net profit margin). Market cap is less than US$100m (AR$5.32b market cap, or US$21.0m). New Risk • Jun 08
New major risk - Share price stability The company's share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months. It is more volatile than 90% of Argentinean stocks, typically moving 14% a week. This is considered a major risk. Share price volatility increases the risk of potential losses in the short-term as the stock tends to have larger drops in price more frequently than other stocks. It may also indicate the stock is highly sensitive to market conditions or economic conditions rather than being sensitive to its own business performance, which may also be inconsistent. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risks Share price has been highly volatile over the past 3 months (14% average weekly change). High level of non-cash earnings (49% accrual ratio). Minor Risk Market cap is less than US$100m (AR$5.17b market cap, or US$21.2m). Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jun 06
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 17% After last week's 17% share price gain to AR$32.00, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 11x. Average trailing P/E is 11x in the Consumer Durables industry in South America. Total returns to shareholders of 560% over the past three years. Reported Earnings • Mar 15
Full year 2022 earnings released Full year 2022 results: Revenue: AR$11.1b (up 77% from FY 2021). Net income: AR$446.4m (up 12% from FY 2021). Profit margin: 4.0% (down from 6.3% in FY 2021). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Dec 27
Investor sentiment improved over the past week After last week's 17% share price gain to AR$17.85, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 15.7x. Average trailing P/E is 9x in the Consumer Durables industry in South America. Total returns to shareholders of 190% over the past three years. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jul 22
Investor sentiment improved over the past week After last week's 17% share price gain to AR$13.95, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 5.4x. Average trailing P/E is 7x in the Consumer Durables industry in South America. Total returns to shareholders of 481% over the past three years. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jul 08
Investor sentiment improved over the past week After last week's 17% share price gain to AR$12.25, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 4.7x. Average trailing P/E is 6x in the Consumer Durables industry in South America. Total returns to shareholders of 379% over the past three years. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Feb 10
Investor sentiment improved over the past week After last week's 18% share price gain to AR$12.50, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 3.9x. Average trailing P/E is 9x in the Consumer Durables industry in South America. Total returns to shareholders of 423% over the past three years. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jun 05
Investor sentiment improved over the past week After last week's 18% share price gain to AR$8.10, the stock trades at a trailing P/E ratio of 27.3x. Average trailing P/E is 15x in the Consumer Durables industry in South America. Total returns to shareholders of 104% over the past three years. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jan 19
Investor sentiment improved over the past week After last week's 17% share price gain to AR$7.75, the stock is trading at a trailing P/E ratio of 26.1x, up from the previous P/E ratio of 22.2x. This compares to an average P/E of 17x in the Consumer Durables industry in South America. Total returns to shareholders over the past three years are 24%. Is New 90 Day High Low • Jan 14
New 90-day high: AR$6.78 The company is up 33% from its price of AR$5.10 on 16 October 2020. The Argentinean market is up 2.0% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Consumer Durables industry, which is up 8.0% over the same period. Is New 90 Day High Low • Dec 29
New 90-day high: AR$6.70 The company is up 33% from its price of AR$5.04 on 30 September 2020. The Argentinean market is up 14% over the last 90 days, indicating the company outperformed over that time. It also outperformed the Consumer Durables industry, which is up 17% over the same period. Reported Earnings • Dec 12
Third quarter 2020 earnings released: EPS AR$0.66 The company reported a strong third quarter result with improved earnings, revenues and profit margins. Third quarter 2020 results: Revenue: AR$1.06b (up 86% from 3Q 2019). Net income: AR$100.6m (up AR$89.6m from 3Q 2019). Profit margin: 9.5% (up from 1.9% in 3Q 2019). The increase in margin was driven by higher revenue. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 8% per year whereas the company’s share price has increased by 3% per year. Is New 90 Day High Low • Dec 04
New 90-day high: AR$6.01 The company is up 13% from its price of AR$5.34 on 04 September 2020. The Argentinean market is up 26% over the last 90 days, indicating the company underperformed over that time. However, it outperformed the Consumer Durables industry, which is up 11% over the same period.