Stock Analysis

What Type Of Returns Would Siyaram Silk Mills'(NSE:SIYSIL) Shareholders Have Earned If They Purchased Their SharesThree Years Ago?

NSEI:SIYSIL
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Every investor on earth makes bad calls sometimes. But you have a problem if you face massive losses more than once in a while. So spare a thought for the long term shareholders of Siyaram Silk Mills Limited (NSE:SIYSIL); the share price is down a whopping 77% in the last three years. That would certainly shake our confidence in the decision to own the stock. And more recent buyers are having a tough time too, with a drop of 40% in the last year. More recently, the share price has dropped a further 11% in a month. This could be related to the recent financial results - you can catch up on the most recent data by reading our company report.

View our latest analysis for Siyaram Silk Mills

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

Over the three years that the share price declined, Siyaram Silk Mills' earnings per share (EPS) dropped significantly, falling to a loss. Due to the loss, it's not easy to use EPS as a reliable guide to the business. But it's safe to say we'd generally expect the share price to be lower as a result!

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

earnings-per-share-growth
NSEI:SIYSIL Earnings Per Share Growth November 10th 2020

Dive deeper into Siyaram Silk Mills' key metrics by checking this interactive graph of Siyaram Silk Mills's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

A Different Perspective

Investors in Siyaram Silk Mills had a tough year, with a total loss of 40% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 5.5%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 4% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Siyaram Silk Mills , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on IN exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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