Stock Analysis

What Type Of Returns Would Gulf Oil Lubricants India's(NSE:GULFOILLUB) Shareholders Have Earned If They Purchased Their SharesYear Ago?

NSEI:GULFOILLUB
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It's easy to match the overall market return by buying an index fund. While individual stocks can be big winners, plenty more fail to generate satisfactory returns. For example, the Gulf Oil Lubricants India Limited (NSE:GULFOILLUB) share price is down 33% in the last year. That's disappointing when you consider the market declined 3.3%. Even if shareholders bought some time ago, they wouldn't be particularly happy: the stock is down 29% in three years. Even worse, it's down 15% in about a month, which isn't fun at all. Importantly, this could be a market reaction to the recently released financial results. You can check out the latest numbers in our company report.

See our latest analysis for Gulf Oil Lubricants India

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

During the unfortunate twelve months during which the Gulf Oil Lubricants India share price fell, it actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 13%. It could be that the share price was previously over-hyped.

It's surprising to see the share price fall so much, despite the improved EPS. So it's well worth checking out some other metrics, too.

In contrast, the 3.7% drop in revenue is a real concern. If the market sees the weak revenue as jeopardising EPS, that could explain the lower share price.

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

NSEI:GULFOILLUB Earnings and Revenue Growth July 8th 2020
NSEI:GULFOILLUB Earnings and Revenue Growth July 8th 2020

Take a more thorough look at Gulf Oil Lubricants India's financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.

What about the Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

We've already covered Gulf Oil Lubricants India's share price action, but we should also mention its total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR attempts to capture the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested) as well as any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings offered to shareholders. Dividends have been really beneficial for Gulf Oil Lubricants India shareholders, and that cash payout explains why its total shareholder loss of 32%, over the last year, isn't as bad as the share price return.

A Different Perspective

While the broader market lost about 3.3% in the twelve months, Gulf Oil Lubricants India shareholders did even worse, losing 32% (even including dividends) . However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 4.8% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Take risks, for example - Gulf Oil Lubricants India has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

But note: Gulf Oil Lubricants India may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on IN exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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