Long term investing works well, but it doesn’t always work for each individual stock. We don’t wish catastrophic capital loss on anyone. Imagine if you held China Digital Culture (Group) Limited (HKG:8175) for half a decade as the share price tanked 86%. And we doubt long term believers are the only worried holders, since the stock price has declined 61% over the last twelve months. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 24% in the last three months.
While a drop like that is definitely a body blow, money isn’t as important as health and happiness.
Because China Digital Culture (Group) made a loss in the last twelve months, we think the market is probably more focussed on revenue and revenue growth, at least for now. When a company doesn’t make profits, we’d generally expect to see good revenue growth. That’s because it’s hard to be confident a company will be sustainable if revenue growth is negligible, and it never makes a profit.
Over five years, China Digital Culture (Group) grew its revenue at 24% per year. That’s better than most loss-making companies. So on the face of it we’re really surprised to see the share price has averaged a fall of 33% each year, in the same time period. It could be that the stock was over-hyped before. While there might be an opportunity here, you’d want to take a close look at the balance sheet strength.
You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.
A Different Perspective
Investors in China Digital Culture (Group) had a tough year, with a total loss of 61%, against a market gain of about 9.4%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Unfortunately, last year’s performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 33% over the last half decade. We realise that Buffett has said investors should ‘buy when there is blood on the streets’, but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For instance, we’ve identified 4 warning signs for China Digital Culture (Group) (1 shouldn’t be ignored) that you should be aware of.
If you would prefer to check out another company — one with potentially superior financials — then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.
If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at firstname.lastname@example.org. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.
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