Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Bang Overseas (NSE:BANG) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

NSEI:BANG
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Bang Overseas Limited (NSE:BANG) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

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How Much Debt Does Bang Overseas Carry?

As you can see below, Bang Overseas had ₹264.4m of debt at March 2020, down from ₹289.0m a year prior. However, it also had ₹249.2m in cash, and so its net debt is ₹15.2m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:BANG Debt to Equity History August 8th 2020

How Strong Is Bang Overseas's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Bang Overseas had liabilities of ₹550.6m due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹64.2m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₹249.2m in cash and ₹575.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast ₹209.4m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This luscious liquidity implies that Bang Overseas's balance sheet is sturdy like a giant sequoia tree. On this basis we think its balance sheet is strong like a sleek panther or even a proud lion.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Given net debt is only 0.31 times EBITDA, it is initially surprising to see that Bang Overseas's EBIT has low interest coverage of 2.1 times. So while we're not necessarily alarmed we think that its debt is far from trivial. If Bang Overseas can keep growing EBIT at last year's rate of 11% over the last year, then it will find its debt load easier to manage. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Bang Overseas will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Bang Overseas reported free cash flow worth 16% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

Our View

Happily, Bang Overseas's impressive level of total liabilities implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its interest cover. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like Bang Overseas is pretty sensible with its use of debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Bang Overseas (including 1 which is is concerning) .

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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