Should You Use AdEPT Technology Group’s (LON:ADT) Statutory Earnings To Analyse It?

Statistically speaking, it is less risky to invest in profitable companies than in unprofitable ones. However, sometimes companies receive a one-off boost (or reduction) to their profit, and it’s not always clear whether statutory profits are a good guide, going forward. In this article, we’ll look at how useful this year’s statutory profit is, when analysing AdEPT Technology Group (LON:ADT).

It’s good to see that over the last twelve months AdEPT Technology Group made a profit of UK£1.36m on revenue of UK£57.7m. The chart below shows how it has grown revenue over the last three years, but that profit has declined.

View our latest analysis for AdEPT Technology Group

AIM:ADT Income Statement May 24th 2020
AIM:ADT Income Statement May 24th 2020

Not all profits are equal, and we can learn more about the nature of a company’s past profitability by diving deeper into the financial statements. In this article we’ll look at how AdEPT Technology Group is impacting shareholders by issuing new shares, as well as how unusual items have affected the income line. That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

To understand the value of a company’s earnings growth, it is imperative to consider any dilution of shareholders’ interests. As it happens, AdEPT Technology Group issued 5.6% more new shares over the last year. That means its earnings are split among a greater number of shares. To talk about net income, without noticing earnings per share, is to be distracted by the big numbers while ignoring the smaller numbers that talk to per share value. Check out AdEPT Technology Group’s historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.

A Look At The Impact Of AdEPT Technology Group’s Dilution on Its Earnings Per Share (EPS).

Unfortunately, AdEPT Technology Group’s profit is down 51% per year over three years. Even looking at the last year, profit was still down 64%. Sadly, earnings per share fell further, down a full 64% in that time. So you can see that the dilution has had a bit of an impact on shareholders. Therefore, the dilution is having a noteworthy influence on shareholder returns. And so, you can see quite clearly that dilution is influencing shareholder earnings.

If AdEPT Technology Group’s EPS can grow over time then that drastically improves the chances of the share price moving in the same direction. However, if its profit increases while its earnings per share stay flat (or even fall) then shareholders might not see much benefit. For that reason, you could say that EPS is more important that net income in the long run, assuming the goal is to assess whether a company’s share price might grow.

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

Alongside that dilution, it’s also important to note that AdEPT Technology Group’s profit suffered from unusual items, which reduced profit by UK£1.2m in the last twelve months. It’s never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And, after all, that’s exactly what the accounting terminology implies. Assuming those unusual expenses don’t come up again, we’d therefore expect AdEPT Technology Group to produce a higher profit next year, all else being equal.

Our Take On AdEPT Technology Group’s Profit Performance

To sum it all up, AdEPT Technology Group took a hit from unusual items which pushed its profit down; without that, it would have made more money. But unfortunately the dilution means that shareholders now own a smaller proportion of the company (assuming they maintained the same number of shares). That will weigh on earnings per share, even if it is not reflected in net income. Considering the aforementioned, we think that AdEPT Technology Group’s profits are probably a reasonable reflection of its underlying profitability; although we’d be confident in that conclusion if we saw a cleaner set of results. If you’d like to know more about AdEPT Technology Group as a business, it’s important to be aware of any risks it’s facing. For example, AdEPT Technology Group has 7 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit concerning) we think you should know about.

Our examination of AdEPT Technology Group has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.