Stock Analysis

Market Still Lacking Some Conviction On TCPL Packaging Limited (NSE:TCPLPACK)

NSEI:TCPLPACK
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When close to half the companies in India have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 14x, you may consider TCPL Packaging Limited (NSE:TCPLPACK) as an attractive investment with its 7.4x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Earnings have risen firmly for TCPL Packaging recently, which is pleasing to see. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this respectable earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Check out our latest analysis for TCPL Packaging

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NSEI:TCPLPACK Price Based on Past Earnings August 6th 2020
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on TCPL Packaging's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, TCPL Packaging would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 26% last year. As a result, it also grew EPS by 7.5% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been respectable for the company.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 1.3% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is pretty similar based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.

With this information, we find it odd that TCPL Packaging is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently some shareholders are more bearish than recent times would indicate and have been accepting lower selling prices.

What We Can Learn From TCPL Packaging's P/E?

While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

Our examination of TCPL Packaging revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't contributing to its P/E as much as we would have predicted, given they look similar to current market expectations. When we see average earnings with market-like growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears some are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions should normally provide more support to the share price.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 5 warning signs for TCPL Packaging (2 are a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of TCPL Packaging's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether TCPL Packaging is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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