Is Weakness In Tassal Group Limited (ASX:TGR) Stock A Sign That The Market Could be Wrong Given Its Strong Financial Prospects?

With its stock down 2.6% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard Tassal Group (ASX:TGR). However, a closer look at its sound financials might cause you to think again. Given that fundamentals usually drive long-term market outcomes, the company is worth looking at. Specifically, we decided to study Tassal Group’s ROE in this article.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

Check out our latest analysis for Tassal Group

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders’ Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Tassal Group is:

8.6% = AU$66m ÷ AU$773m (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2019).

The ‘return’ is the income the business earned over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every A$1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn A$0.09 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company’s future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or “retains” for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don’t necessarily bear these characteristics.

Tassal Group’s Earnings Growth And 8.6% ROE

On the face of it, Tassal Group’s ROE is not much to talk about. However, the fact that the company’s ROE is higher than the average industry ROE of 4.8%, is definitely interesting. This certainly adds some context to Tassal Group’s moderate 6.6% net income growth seen over the past five years. Bear in mind, the company does have a moderately low ROE. It is just that the industry ROE is lower. Therefore, the growth in earnings could also be the result of other factors. Such as- high earnings retention or the company belonging to a high growth industry.

When you consider the fact that the industry earnings have shrunk at a rate of 2.2% in the same period, the company’s net income growth is pretty remarkable.

past-earnings-growth
ASX:TGR Past Earnings Growth July 29th 2020

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is TGR fairly valued? This infographic on the company’s intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

Is Tassal Group Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Tassal Group has a healthy combination of a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 48% (or a retention ratio of 52%) and a respectable amount of growth in earnings as we saw above, meaning that the company has been making efficient use of its profits.

Moreover, Tassal Group is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Upon studying the latest analysts’ consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 54% of its profits over the next three years. Accordingly, forecasts suggest that Tassal Group’s future ROE will be 8.9% which is again, similar to the current ROE.

Conclusion

Overall, we are quite pleased with Tassal Group’s performance. Specifically, we like that it has been reinvesting a high portion of its profits at a moderate rate of return, resulting in earnings expansion. Having said that, looking at the current analyst estimates, we found that the company’s earnings are expected to gain momentum. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company’s fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst’s forecasts page for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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