Stock Analysis

Is Poly Medicure (NSE:POLYMED) Using Too Much Debt?

NSEI:POLYMED
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Poly Medicure Limited (NSE:POLYMED) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

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What Is Poly Medicure's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Poly Medicure had ₹1.39b of debt in September 2020, down from ₹1.45b, one year before. On the flip side, it has ₹698.2m in cash leading to net debt of about ₹694.2m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:POLYMED Debt to Equity History November 10th 2020

How Strong Is Poly Medicure's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Poly Medicure had liabilities of ₹2.03b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹1.09b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹698.2m and ₹1.25b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling ₹1.17b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Given Poly Medicure has a market capitalization of ₹43.5b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Poly Medicure has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.37. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 10.4 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. In addition to that, we're happy to report that Poly Medicure has boosted its EBIT by 40%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Poly Medicure will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. In the last three years, Poly Medicure's free cash flow amounted to 31% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

Happily, Poly Medicure's impressive EBIT growth rate implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But truth be told we feel its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow does undermine this impression a bit. It's also worth noting that Poly Medicure is in the Medical Equipment industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. Zooming out, Poly Medicure seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. After all, sensible leverage can boost returns on equity. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of Poly Medicure's earnings per share history for free.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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