Stock Analysis

ICICI Lombard General Insurance (NSE:ICICIGI) Shareholders Booked A 84% Gain In The Last Three Years

NSEI:ICICIGI
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One simple way to benefit from the stock market is to buy an index fund. But if you choose individual stocks with prowess, you can make superior returns. For example, the ICICI Lombard General Insurance Company Limited (NSE:ICICIGI) share price is up 84% in the last three years, clearly besting the market decline of around 5.3% (not including dividends).

View our latest analysis for ICICI Lombard General Insurance

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

ICICI Lombard General Insurance was able to grow its EPS at 19% per year over three years, sending the share price higher. We don't think it is entirely coincidental that the EPS growth is reasonably close to the 23% average annual increase in the share price. This suggests that sentiment and expectations have not changed drastically. Quite to the contrary, the share price has arguably reflected the EPS growth.

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-per-share-growth
NSEI:ICICIGI Earnings Per Share Growth October 25th 2020

We know that ICICI Lombard General Insurance has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? You could check out this free report showing analyst revenue forecasts.

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for ICICI Lombard General Insurance the TSR over the last 3 years was 86%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

ICICI Lombard General Insurance shareholders are down 5.1% for the year, (even including dividends), but the broader market is up 4.5%. Of course the long term matters more than the short term, and even great stocks will sometimes have a poor year. Fortunately the longer term story is brighter, with total returns averaging about 23% per year over three years. The recent sell-off could be an opportunity if the business remains sound, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long-term growth trend. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand ICICI Lombard General Insurance better, we need to consider many other factors. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for ICICI Lombard General Insurance that you should be aware of before investing here.

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on IN exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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