Stock Analysis

Here's Why Om Metals Infraprojects (NSE:OMMETALS) Is Weighed Down By Its Debt Load

NSEI:OMINFRAL
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Om Metals Infraprojects Limited (NSE:OMMETALS) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Om Metals Infraprojects

How Much Debt Does Om Metals Infraprojects Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2020 Om Metals Infraprojects had debt of ₹1.02b, up from ₹792.1m in one year. On the flip side, it has ₹473.0m in cash leading to net debt of about ₹547.3m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:OMMETALS Debt to Equity History November 16th 2020

How Strong Is Om Metals Infraprojects's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Om Metals Infraprojects had liabilities of ₹4.23b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹783.4m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₹473.0m in cash and ₹1.78b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹2.76b.

This deficit casts a shadow over the ₹1.61b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Om Metals Infraprojects would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

While Om Metals Infraprojects has a quite reasonable net debt to EBITDA multiple of 1.7, its interest cover seems weak, at 1.3. This does suggest the company is paying fairly high interest rates. Either way there's no doubt the stock is using meaningful leverage. Notably Om Metals Infraprojects's EBIT was pretty flat over the last year. We would prefer to see some earnings growth, because that always helps diminish debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Om Metals Infraprojects's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Om Metals Infraprojects barely recorded positive free cash flow, in total. Some might say that's a concern, when it comes considering how easily it would be for it to down debt.

Our View

On the face of it, Om Metals Infraprojects's interest cover left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least its net debt to EBITDA is not so bad. Taking into account all the aforementioned factors, it looks like Om Metals Infraprojects has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Om Metals Infraprojects (1 is potentially serious!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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