Stock Analysis

Getting In Cheap On Fleury S.A. (BVMF:FLRY3) Might Be Difficult

BOVESPA:FLRY3
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When close to half the companies in Brazil have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 16x, you may consider Fleury S.A. (BVMF:FLRY3) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 59.3x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Fleury hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

See our latest analysis for Fleury

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BOVESPA:FLRY3 Price Based on Past Earnings August 30th 2020
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Fleury.

How Is Fleury's Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Fleury's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 56%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 55% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 38% per year as estimated by the nine analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 19% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we can see why Fleury is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Bottom Line On Fleury's P/E

The price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Fleury's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Fleury has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a P/E below 20x.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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