David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Sical Logistics Limited (NSE:SICAL) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Sical Logistics
What Is Sical Logistics's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Sical Logistics had debt of ₹13.4b at the end of March 2020, a reduction from ₹14.4b over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₹640.6m, its net debt is less, at about ₹12.7b.
How Healthy Is Sical Logistics's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Sical Logistics had liabilities of ₹15.3b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₹5.71b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹640.6m as well as receivables valued at ₹2.41b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹17.9b.
This deficit casts a shadow over the ₹634.4m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Sical Logistics would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Sical Logistics's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Over 12 months, Sical Logistics made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to ₹7.8b, which is a fall of 50%. To be frank that doesn't bode well.
Caveat Emptor
While Sical Logistics's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost a very considerable ₹1.4b at the EBIT level. When you combine this with the very significant balance sheet liabilities mentioned above, we are so wary of it that we are basically at a loss for the right words. Sure, the company might have a nice story about how they are going on to a brighter future. But the reality is that it is low on liquid assets relative to liabilities, and it lost ₹1.4b in the last year. So we think buying this stock is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Sical Logistics (at least 2 which shouldn't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NSEI:SICALLOG
Imperfect balance sheet very low.