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Capricor Therapeutics (NASDAQ:CAPR) Is In A Good Position To Deliver On Growth Plans
There's no doubt that money can be made by owning shares of unprofitable businesses. For example, although Amazon.com made losses for many years after listing, if you had bought and held the shares since 1999, you would have made a fortune. Nonetheless, only a fool would ignore the risk that a loss making company burns through its cash too quickly.
So should Capricor Therapeutics (NASDAQ:CAPR) shareholders be worried about its cash burn? For the purposes of this article, cash burn is the annual rate at which an unprofitable company spends cash to fund its growth; its negative free cash flow. The first step is to compare its cash burn with its cash reserves, to give us its 'cash runway'.
See our latest analysis for Capricor Therapeutics
When Might Capricor Therapeutics Run Out Of Money?
A company's cash runway is the amount of time it would take to burn through its cash reserves at its current cash burn rate. As at March 2020, Capricor Therapeutics had cash of US$13m and no debt. Importantly, its cash burn was US$6.4m over the trailing twelve months. That means it had a cash runway of about 2.1 years as of March 2020. That's decent, giving the company a couple years to develop its business. The image below shows how its cash balance has been changing over the last few years.
How Is Capricor Therapeutics' Cash Burn Changing Over Time?
Whilst it's great to see that Capricor Therapeutics has already begun generating revenue from operations, last year it only produced US$960k, so we don't think it is generating significant revenue, at this point. As a result, we think it's a bit early to focus on the revenue growth, so we'll limit ourselves to looking at how the cash burn is changing over time. While it hardly paints a picture of imminent growth, the fact that it has reduced its cash burn by 47% over the last year suggests some degree of prudence. While the past is always worth studying, it is the future that matters most of all. So you might want to take a peek at how much the company is expected to grow in the next few years.
How Easily Can Capricor Therapeutics Raise Cash?
Even though it has reduced its cash burn recently, shareholders should still consider how easy it would be for Capricor Therapeutics to raise more cash in the future. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. One of the main advantages held by publicly listed companies is that they can sell shares to investors to raise cash and fund growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).
Capricor Therapeutics' cash burn of US$6.4m is about 8.5% of its US$76m market capitalisation. That's a low proportion, so we figure the company would be able to raise more cash to fund growth, with a little dilution, or even to simply borrow some money.
So, Should We Worry About Capricor Therapeutics' Cash Burn?
It may already be apparent to you that we're relatively comfortable with the way Capricor Therapeutics is burning through its cash. For example, we think its cash burn relative to its market cap suggests that the company is on a good path. And even its cash runway was very encouraging. Based on the factors mentioned in this article, we think its cash burn situation warrants some attention from shareholders, but we don't think they should be worried. Taking a deeper dive, we've spotted 5 warning signs for Capricor Therapeutics you should be aware of, and 2 of them don't sit too well with us.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies insiders are buying, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NasdaqCM:CAPR
Capricor Therapeutics
A clinical-stage biotechnology company, engages in the development of transformative cell and exosome-based therapeutics for treating duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD) and other diseases with unmet medical needs in the United States.
High growth potential with excellent balance sheet.
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