Stock Analysis

There's Reason For Concern Over Tata Steel Limited's (NSE:TATASTEEL) Price

NSEI:TATASTEEL
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There wouldn't be many who think Tata Steel Limited's (NSE:TATASTEEL) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.9x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Metals and Mining industry in India is similar at about 1.2x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

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ps-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:TATASTEEL Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 18th 2024

How Tata Steel Has Been Performing

Tata Steel could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S from falling. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Tata Steel will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Tata Steel's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 6.5% decrease to the company's top line. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 73% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 0.7% during the coming year according to the analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 7.6% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this information, we find it interesting that Tata Steel is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

The Bottom Line On Tata Steel's P/S

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Given that Tata Steel's revenue growth projections are relatively subdued in comparison to the wider industry, it comes as a surprise to see it trading at its current P/S ratio. When we see companies with a relatively weaker revenue outlook compared to the industry, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/S lower. Circumstances like this present a risk to current and prospective investors who may see share prices fall if the low revenue growth impacts the sentiment.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Tata Steel (1 can't be ignored!) that we have uncovered.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Tata Steel, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.