Stock Analysis

Theratechnologies Inc.'s (TSE:TH) Share Price Boosted 25% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too

TSX:TH
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Those holding Theratechnologies Inc. (TSE:TH) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 25% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Still, the 30-day jump doesn't change the fact that longer term shareholders have seen their stock decimated by the 52% share price drop in the last twelve months.

Although its price has surged higher, it would still be understandable if you think Theratechnologies is a stock with good investment prospects with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 0.9x, considering almost half the companies in Canada's Biotechs industry have P/S ratios above 2.4x. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for Theratechnologies

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSX:TH Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 10th 2024

What Does Theratechnologies' Recent Performance Look Like?

Recent times haven't been great for Theratechnologies as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting the current trend of poor revenue growth to continue, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Theratechnologies will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Theratechnologies' Revenue Growth Trending?

Theratechnologies' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any revenue growth to speak of for the company over the past year. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 24% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the four analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 9.6% per annum over the next three years. With the industry predicted to deliver 167% growth per year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this information, we can see why Theratechnologies is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Key Takeaway

Despite Theratechnologies' share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Theratechnologies maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 4 warning signs for Theratechnologies (2 are a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Theratechnologies is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.