Stock Analysis

Sino Horizon Holdings (TWSE:2923) shareholders have lost 14% over 3 years, earnings decline likely the culprit

TWSE:2923
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For many investors, the main point of stock picking is to generate higher returns than the overall market. But if you try your hand at stock picking, your risk returning less than the market. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term Sino Horizon Holdings Limited (TWSE:2923) shareholders, since the share price is down 25% in the last three years, falling well short of the market return of around 33%. The last week also saw the share price slip down another 6.0%.

After losing 6.0% this past week, it's worth investigating the company's fundamentals to see what we can infer from past performance.

View our latest analysis for Sino Horizon Holdings

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

During the three years that the share price fell, Sino Horizon Holdings' earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 22% each year. In comparison the 9% compound annual share price decline isn't as bad as the EPS drop-off. So, despite the prior disappointment, shareholders must have some confidence the situation will improve, longer term. This positive sentiment is also reflected in the generous P/E ratio of 74.65.

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

earnings-per-share-growth
TWSE:2923 Earnings Per Share Growth April 17th 2024

It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Sino Horizon Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, Sino Horizon Holdings' TSR for the last 3 years was -14%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

Sino Horizon Holdings shareholders gained a total return of 8.2% during the year. But that was short of the market average. The silver lining is that the gain was actually better than the average annual return of 7% per year over five year. This suggests the company might be improving over time. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Take risks, for example - Sino Horizon Holdings has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Taiwanese exchanges.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Sino Horizon Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.