Stock Analysis

Risks To Shareholder Returns Are Elevated At These Prices For Fennec Pharmaceuticals Inc. (NASDAQ:FENC)

NasdaqCM:FENC
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With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 12.9x in the Biotechs industry in the United States, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Fennec Pharmaceuticals Inc.'s (NASDAQ:FENC) P/S ratio of 12.4x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

View our latest analysis for Fennec Pharmaceuticals

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:FENC Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 18th 2024

How Fennec Pharmaceuticals Has Been Performing

Fennec Pharmaceuticals certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting this level of performance to taper off, keeping the P/S from soaring. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Fennec Pharmaceuticals.

How Is Fennec Pharmaceuticals' Revenue Growth Trending?

Fennec Pharmaceuticals' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an explosive gain to the company's top line. The amazing performance means it was also able to deliver huge revenue growth over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have been over the moon with those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 64% each year during the coming three years according to the six analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 166% per annum, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Fennec Pharmaceuticals' P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

What Does Fennec Pharmaceuticals' P/S Mean For Investors?

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Given that Fennec Pharmaceuticals' revenue growth projections are relatively subdued in comparison to the wider industry, it comes as a surprise to see it trading at its current P/S ratio. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

It is also worth noting that we have found 4 warning signs for Fennec Pharmaceuticals (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you need to take into consideration.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Fennec Pharmaceuticals is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.