Stock Analysis

Little Excitement Around Tigers Realm Coal Limited's (ASX:TIG) Revenues As Shares Take 33% Pounding

ASX:TIG
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Tigers Realm Coal Limited (ASX:TIG) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 33% share price drop in the last month. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 60% loss during that time.

Since its price has dipped substantially, Tigers Realm Coal may be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x, since almost half of all companies in the Metals and Mining industry in Australia have P/S ratios greater than 92.1x and even P/S higher than 522x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.

View our latest analysis for Tigers Realm Coal

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:TIG Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 17th 2024

How Has Tigers Realm Coal Performed Recently?

For example, consider that Tigers Realm Coal's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. It might be that many expect the disappointing revenue performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/S. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Tigers Realm Coal, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Tigers Realm Coal's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 25% decrease to the company's top line. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 193% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 140% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this in consideration, it's easy to understand why Tigers Realm Coal's P/S falls short of the mark set by its industry peers. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the wider industry.

The Key Takeaway

Having almost fallen off a cliff, Tigers Realm Coal's share price has pulled its P/S way down as well. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Tigers Realm Coal confirms that the company's revenue trends over the past three-year years are a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, as we suspected, given they fall short of current industry expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price experience a reversal of fortunes anytime soon.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 3 warning signs for Tigers Realm Coal (2 are a bit unpleasant!) that you need to be mindful of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Tigers Realm Coal is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.