Stock Analysis

Is Caixa Seguridade Participações S.A.'s (BVMF:CXSE3) Stock's Recent Performance Being Led By Its Attractive Financial Prospects?

BOVESPA:CXSE3
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Caixa Seguridade Participações (BVMF:CXSE3) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 13% over the last three months. Given that the market rewards strong financials in the long-term, we wonder if that is the case in this instance. In this article, we decided to focus on Caixa Seguridade Participações' ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

See our latest analysis for Caixa Seguridade Participações

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Caixa Seguridade Participações is:

28% = R$3.6b ÷ R$13b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every R$1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of R$0.28.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

A Side By Side comparison of Caixa Seguridade Participações' Earnings Growth And 28% ROE

At first glance, Caixa Seguridade Participações seems to have a decent ROE. Especially when compared to the industry average of 18% the company's ROE looks pretty impressive. Probably as a result of this, Caixa Seguridade Participações was able to see a decent growth of 20% over the last five years.

We then compared Caixa Seguridade Participações' net income growth with the industry and we're pleased to see that the company's growth figure is higher when compared with the industry which has a growth rate of 11% in the same 5-year period.

past-earnings-growth
BOVESPA:CXSE3 Past Earnings Growth April 18th 2024

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is CXSE3 fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

Is Caixa Seguridade Participações Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Caixa Seguridade Participações has a three-year median payout ratio of 41%, which implies that it retains the remaining 59% of its profits. This suggests that its dividend is well covered, and given the decent growth seen by the company, it looks like management is reinvesting its earnings efficiently.

Along with seeing a growth in earnings, Caixa Seguridade Participações only recently started paying dividends. Its quite possible that the company was looking to impress its shareholders. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company is expected to rise to 90% over the next three years. However, Caixa Seguridade Participações' future ROE is expected to rise to 37% despite the expected increase in the company's payout ratio. We infer that there could be other factors that could be driving the anticipated growth in the company's ROE.

Summary

On the whole, we feel that Caixa Seguridade Participações' performance has been quite good. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business, and at a high rate of return. Unsurprisingly, this has led to an impressive earnings growth. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Caixa Seguridade Participações is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.