Stock Analysis

Investors Don't See Light At End Of SEALSQ Corp's (NASDAQ:LAES) Tunnel And Push Stock Down 39%

NasdaqCM:LAES
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To the annoyance of some shareholders, SEALSQ Corp (NASDAQ:LAES) shares are down a considerable 39% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. To make matters worse, the recent drop has wiped out a year's worth of gains with the share price now back where it started a year ago.

Since its price has dipped substantially, SEALSQ may look like a strong buying opportunity at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x, considering almost half of all companies in the Semiconductor industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 4.2x and even P/S higher than 10x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

View our latest analysis for SEALSQ

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:LAES Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 18th 2024

How SEALSQ Has Been Performing

SEALSQ could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. It seems that many are expecting the uninspiring revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the growth of the P/S ratio. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on SEALSQ.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

SEALSQ's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 30% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 110% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to slump, contracting by 5.2% during the coming year according to the only analyst following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 45% growth, that's a disappointing outcome.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that SEALSQ's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.

The Bottom Line On SEALSQ's P/S

SEALSQ's P/S looks about as weak as its stock price lately. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of SEALSQ's analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking revenue is contributing to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for SEALSQ (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you need to take into consideration.

If you're unsure about the strength of SEALSQ's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether SEALSQ is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.