Stock Analysis

Here's Why Kuehne + Nagel International (VTX:KNIN) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

SWX:KNIN
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Kuehne + Nagel International AG (VTX:KNIN) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Kuehne + Nagel International

How Much Debt Does Kuehne + Nagel International Carry?

As you can see below, Kuehne + Nagel International had CHF203.0m of debt, at December 2023, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have CHF2.07b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CHF1.86b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SWX:KNIN Debt to Equity History April 4th 2024

How Strong Is Kuehne + Nagel International's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Kuehne + Nagel International had liabilities of CHF5.24b due within 12 months and liabilities of CHF2.57b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CHF2.07b in cash and CHF4.12b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CHF1.63b.

Given Kuehne + Nagel International has a humongous market capitalization of CHF30.5b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Kuehne + Nagel International also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

In fact Kuehne + Nagel International's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 50% in the last twelve months. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Kuehne + Nagel International's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. Kuehne + Nagel International may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, Kuehne + Nagel International recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 91% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

Summing Up

We could understand if investors are concerned about Kuehne + Nagel International's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of CHF1.86b. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CHF1.4b, being 91% of its EBIT. So we don't have any problem with Kuehne + Nagel International's use of debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Kuehne + Nagel International is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is a bit concerning...

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Kuehne + Nagel International is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.